Chris Kay’s 5/2 MLB DFS Picks
Sunday’s baseball is a full slate of action spread out, so beware of any unnecessary risks. Best of luck on this fun slate and never plug Troy Tulowitzki without seeing he’s in the lineup from multiple sources.
**All stats come from end of Friday MLB action.
With the way I continuously talk up Johnny Cueto, you guys must think I’m his secret lover, but I swear that’s not the case. I don’t think I’ve steered you wrong with him either. He put up 27 Fantasy points on DraftKings in his last start (one I discussed with you about) and now gets an Atlanta team that isn’t very deep. Beyond Freddie Freeman and Nick Markakis, the lineup isn’t that threatening. If you’re worried about Cueto against Kelly Johnson and Alberto Callaspo then you’ll get worried over anything. Cueto has a great matchup on Sunday.
If you want to get a little bold then how about Trevor Bauer against the Blue Jays? Toronto is away from home (Cleveland) and will be hitting in a worse ballpark. They’ve also thinned out at the bottom of the order with guys like Pillar, Saunders, Goins and Carrera hitting at the bottom of the order on Saturday due to the Reyes injury and Bautista being a designated hitter. Bauer has electric stuff and has three starts of seven or more strikeouts out of four. He’s a very intriguing option for me on Sunday.
Sundays get very tricky at this position, so don’t risk a later catcher just to get cute. One guy I like at a cheap price is Kurt Suzuki. He has a nice matchup against John Danks (LHP) and has been playing well in recent games. Suzuki has a hit in five of his last six games and surprisingly had some pop with two home runs so far. Danks has given up three earned runs or more in every start.
Derek Norris doesn’t get to hit in Colorado, but does face a LHP in Tyler Matzek. He crushes southpaws and just had a three-hit game on Friday. I would typically say stay away from him due to a likely high price, but it really isn’t that bad at $3,600 on DraftKings.
Ike Davis is a guy I don’t like due to season league experiences with him, but he’s starting to grow on me. He’s been good in 2015 (.319, 1 HR, 9 RBI) and gets the platoon advantage against Yovani Gallardo Sunday. Davis had a .341 wOBA against right-handers last season and should be in the three or five hole against Gallardo.
Anthony Rizzo is a worthy guy to spend on Sunday, especially due to how Jimmy Nelson pitched in his last start. If you’re banking on another seven earned run performance out of him then Rizzo should play a part in that. He’s hitting .324 on the season and even has four stolen bases in his last 10 games. Rizzo had a .394 wOBA against right-handed pitching in 2014 and sits in a really nice spot in the order for the Cubs between Soler and Bryant.
One second basemen who is real hot right now is Jason Kipnis. He has five hits in his last four games including two home runs. He has a .354 wOBA against RHP in 2015 after a down season in 2014 (.318). His career wOBA against them is .341, so it’s not dumb to think he’ll continue to have success against them. Sunday he’s going against Drew Hutchison, who has allowed five home runs in 27 innings. He has allowed tons of base runners (1.52 WHIP) and should give Kipnis plenty of reason to be a safe cash option.
Hanley Ramirez has really surprised me in 2015, coming out with 10 home runs already on the season. In 2014, his ability to hit right-handers also surprised me (.355 wOBA). He was better against southpaws, but those are still good numbers. Well, I like him against Adam Warren and the Yankees and you should too. Warren hasn’t been dominant against them and Ramirez has double-digit point totals in five of his last seven games on DraftKings.
Pretty much every time Evan Longoria is facing a left-handed pitcher, I’m trying to target him. In 2015, he has hit .563 with a .551 wOBA against them. Chen has struggled to keep the ball in the park against righties, giving up 1.30 HR/9 in his career against them. Longoria could easily hit his first home run against a southpaw in 2015 against Chen.
While I hate going against my Tigers, it has to be considered with Anibal Sanchez on the mound. He has two really bad starts in 2015 and Mike Moustakas and others could make that three by the end of the day Sunday. He has multi-hit games in four of the last five games with 10 hits during that span. Moustakas has a .401 wOBA in 2015 while Sanchez is giving up a .345 wOBA to LHBs.
I’m a big fan of a Royals stack on this day, as Sanchez has given up five home runs on the season and has been below average against RHBs (.320 wOBA) as well as LHBs (.345 wOBA). This means that guys like Alex Gordon and even Lorenzo Cain are in play here. Cain’s numbers are better against southpaws, but his lineup placement plus .315 wOBA (2015) isn’t bad, so I think you add him in here despite not facing a RHP. Gordon on the other hand, has a .438 wOBA in this platoon advantage and is a great play even if you don’t want to stack the Royals.
Another two-some to consider is Evan Gattis and George Springer. Gattis is catcher eligible here at DraftKings and he posted a .419 wOBA in 2014 against LHP. J.A. Happ is on the mound and isn’t an intimidating pitcher and that’s why I also think it’s fine to add Springer to the mix. In 2014 and 2015, he posted wOBAs in the .340s and should be a great play against Happ. He’s also stealing bases with eight on the season already.
One last group to discuss is A.J. Pollock and Mark Trumbo. These two typically hit second and fourth in the order with Goldschmidt hitting in between them, so they’re a nice mini-stack to start. Last season, Pollock posted a ridiculous .407 wOBA against LHPs and he’ll face a southpaw in Brett Anderson. Trumbo is the same kind of beast against LHP, posting a .344 wOBA with a .213 ISO.