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College Football DFS Week 8

College Football DFS Week 8
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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This week I was hit with serious conversations about my future in terms of work and place of living. It sounds lame enough, but after playing three years of professional baseball I’m stuck rehabbing after major shoulder surgery and jobless because of it.

I have come to the conclusion that it’s time to face the music. It’s time to make real money. So, what jobs will I be applying for? None. I’m going to make fat cash stacks this weekend on fantasy college football.

This week’s action is looking as sexy as Britney Spears in her music video, Toxic (Brandin Cooks will be playing the role of Britney). This week’s action is so sexy, it reminds me of Jessica Biel in the pool in that one Freddie Prinze Jr. movie (don’t you dare judge me).  This week’s action is so sexy, that it reminds me of Jennifer Anniston when she was on Friends (or now even, damn that woman is sexy).  So maybe I’m getting a little off topic here. What I mean to say is, I’m averting the real world by winning thousands with these college football plays.

**DraftKings pricing on all selections

QBs

1. Marcus Mariota Oregon $11,000 – Mariota has been electric this season and has only gone for under 37 fantasy points just once out of six games so far for the Oregon Ducks. The one game he went under 37 points he went for 22 and it was during a sloppy wet game not suitable for passing. Against Washington State, Mariota should continue his passing ways and throw for over 300 yards like he has done so in three of the last four games. In those four games he accounted for 19 touchdowns total which is probably why he is priced so high. Washington State has given up 496, 521, and 322 passing yards in the last three games.

2. Sean Mannion Oregon State $8,750 – Manion cannot be stopped this season. He has a touchdown to interception ratio of 25 to 3. He has scored over 37 fantasy points in three last four weeks with a low of 26. In that time he has 18 touchdown passes. The only knock on him is that he doesn’t run the ball well at all. He is a very stationary quarterback, but who cares about running when he passes for a bajillion yards a game. I feel confident that Mannion will be great on Saturday.

3. Jamies Winston Florida State $8,250 – Winston was unbelievable in the game against Maryland two weeks ago. He threw for five touchdowns passing for 393 yards. That makes nine touchdowns and over 700 passing yards in the last two games. Florida State has needed Winston more those last two weeks and you can tell that Winston will be great in any close game for Florida State. Against Clemson who has a decently tough defense, I still like him due to the fact that they have scheduled struggled against great quarterbacks like Aaron Murray when they played Georgia.

4. CJ Brown Maryland $6,500 – Brown is a true playmaker with both his legs and his arm and should be returning this week against Wake Forest. They sat him last week due to a concussion, but he was close to playing on Saturday so this week should be a breeze for him. If he plays I’m expecting a 30-point game due to how he has played against other average defenses. Although Wake Forest is the 36th right defense when it comes to passing yards, I think that the dynamic nature of Browns game should make him a mismatch. Wake Forest has given up 11 passing touchdowns this season.

5. Nick Marshall Auburn $6,000 – Like CJ Brown, Marshall did not play last week. Another similarity they have is that they are both great runners. Marshall ran for 140 yards against Ole Miss last week and had two rushing touchdowns. He is not a great thrower, but against Texas A&M and their soft defense he should have a nice game. Texas A&M has not been great defensively recently giving up 71 total points to Arkansas and Ole Miss while allowing over 600 passing yards and six touchdowns through the air during that span. They have been weak against the pass this season allowing 1,639 yards in six games. This ranks them 94th in  passing yards allowed this season.

 

Value QBs

1. Caleb Rowe Maryland $2,500 – Rowe started last week for Maryland when Brown was hurt, and should see the same action if Brown is misses the start. I believe Brown will start, but it is worth noting that Rowe is a guy you can count on against Wake Forest if he does get the start. He only had one touchdown last game, but threw for over 300 yards against an average Virginia defense. Keep an eye on Brown’s status when considering Caleb Rowe.

2. Connor Cook Michigan State $2,750 – Cook has been a surprise in most people’s opinion for Michigan State this season. He has had favorable matchups in three of the last four weeks, and has put up at least 17 points in each of them. Against Purdue he finds himself with another nice matchup and should be very successful against the defense that ranks 117th in points allowed. They have given up 38 points per game and have given up at least 41 points in three straight games. Cook will be on most of my DraftKings teams this week because of this.

3. Tom Savage Pittsburgh $5,500 – I am not quite sure what to think of Tom Savage against Old Dominion on Saturday. This is obviously a matchup which he should excel in, but he has only had one game worthy of his price tag this season out of five. He played bad in his last two games against Virginia Tech and Virginia, but to be fair nobody would play well against VT. This is a somewhat risky play, but if he performs like he did against Duke where he threw for 424 yards and six touchdowns then you will be ahead of the pack because of this play.

3. Zach Mettenberger LSU $5,000 – Mettenberger has hovered around the $5,000 price range on DraftKings most of the season. He has been worth it in two of the last three games due to putting up 21 and 27 fantasy points against Mississippi State and Georgia. He goes back on the road against Ole Miss this week and in game where he should be successful due to his receivers Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. having better matchups. Against Florida, you can’t expect any good quarterback to have a great game because of how great that Gators’ defense is.

5. AJ McCarron Alabama $5,500 – McCarron is not a high upside guy, but he should be good for at least 22 fantasy points like he has been in the last two weeks. Arkansas has given up 52, 30, 45, and 28 points in the last four games. Those are big numbers and all from above average teams. It is safe to say that Alabama will have its way offensively against a team who just gave up 52 points to South Carolina who hasn’t had the best quarterback play this season. McCarron should be good for 250 yards and three touchdowns on Saturday.

 

RBs

1. Bishop Sankey Washington $8,750 – Snakey has run for over 120 yards in three straight games and honestly would have eclipsed that mark if he would have ran from more than four times against Idaho State four games ago. Besides that four carry for 77 yard game against Idaho State, he has ran for 120+ yards in the other five games. He has scored at least one touchdown in each and four different times he has scored two touchdowns. It is quite simple to say that Sankey is the key to the Huskies’ offense. Arizona State’s run defense has had a hard time this season against Wisconsin, Stanford, and USC. These three offenses are no better than the Washington Huskies. The top two rushers for USC ran for 450 yards on 30 carries and four touchdowns. I’m not expecting that big of a game for Sankey but he should easily eclipse 150 yards again this weekend.

2. Mike Davis South Carolina $7,750 – Davis has not once gone under 20 fantasy points this season. In half of his games, he has gone for 32+ points. Davis is a model of consistency in which all fantasy players appreciate. Davis has at least one touchdown of the season and has gone for 100+ yards in five of the six games. South Carolina faces the same defense that gave up 129 yards to true freshman running back JJ Green when they played Georgia. I am not scared one bit by Tennessee and think that last week’s game was the worst we’re going to get out of Davis this season.

3. Ka’Deem Carey Arizona $8,250 – Carry is just priced under Sankey and because of that I would never go Carey over Sankey in general, but you’ve got to love a guy who has been as productive as him this season. In four games this season, Carry has gone for 31+ points in three of the four games. He has five touchdowns rushing on the season and 125 rushing yards in all four games. In his last two games he has also added 10 catches. PPR points make him a top-five running back for me this week against Utah who has surprisingly been very average against the run this season.

4. Trey Mason Auburn $6,000 – Just like Auburn has broken into the top 25 this week, we now see Auburn players in my top five lists. Mason has been great in the last three games taking over the role as the starting running back. He has goin for 26, 23, and 31 fantasy points in those three games scoring five touchdowns. He has done this against quality opponents like LSU and Ole Miss. Mason should do well against Texas A&M who has been struggling the last few weeks, but honestly it’s not a very good defense.

5. TJ Yeldon Alabama $6,500 – Yeldon is getting the majority of the carries for the Crimson Tide, but fellow running back Drake is stealing some of his thunder. He has fully 16 and 17 carries the last two SEC games, but has still put up 31 and 25 fantasy points in those games. He has a three-game touchdown streak with five catches in those games. Against an Arkansas defense that has given up a ton of points the last four games, it is safe to say that Alabama should put up major points this weekend against them. They’re averaging almost 39 points per game this season.

 

Value RBs

1. James Poole Utah $4,500 – Poole came out with the most carries in the last game, but still somewhat scares me. Going into the game I thought he had lost his starting running back job, but I was proven wrong by him receiving 22 carries. It seems to me that Utah has realized the importance of Poole. They will continue to get him the ball as he has been monstrous in threw of the last four games going for 28, 17, and 34 fantasy points in those games. Arizona is coming off a game in which they gave up 249 rushing yards to USC. The Arizona defense is very vulnerable at this point in the season.

2. Jeremy Langford Michigan State $4,500 – it is hard not to like a guy who just put up 40 fantasy points against Indiana and is now facing Perdue at home. Langford is going to see at least 15 carries and against softer defenses where Michigan State has the offense of advantage, which should be the case of this world, Langford has been very successful the season. Against Western Michigan he ran for 94 yards and a touchdown, against Youngstown State he recorded two touchdowns, and finally against Indiana and he ran for 109 yards and three touchdowns while adding another touchdown on his one reception.

3/4. Mack Brown/Kelvin Taylor Florida $3,250/$2,500– Jones is now likely out for the season after a leg injury and Brown and Taylor will be the beneficiaries of it. Mack Brown has gotten plenty of carries the season, but has never eclipsed more than 4.5 yards per carry. He’s not a very productive running back when given carries, so I’m leaning towards Kelvin Taylor in the situation if I choose to pick a Florida running back. Kelvin Taylor is the son of Fred Taylor, the former Jacksonville Jaguars great. He ran for 10 carries and 52 yards against LSU last week and also had a nice showing against Toledo in week one. This is a high-risk play, but for minimum you can do much worse. Taylor will be very low owned this weekend against Missouri.

4. JJ Green Georgia $2,750 – Green was impressive against Missouri last weekend, but split carries with another true freshman. He has 29 carries his last two games totaling over 200 rushing yards. He has not found the end zone and does not seem to be getting goal line carries due to being a more agile and speedy running back. Even with that the case, Green has put up over 35 fantasy points the last two games. Green is another great option at this price against Vanderbilt on Saturday. Make sure to check on Todd Gurley’s status this weekend before plugging in JJ Green.

 

WRs

1. Brandin Cooks Oregon State $10,500 – Cooks faces a California defense who is atrocious against the pass. They gave up over 900 passing yards in the last two games and doesn’t seem to be getting any better. The Bears defense will have to face Cooks who has 94 fantasy points in the last two games. What’s even more astonishing are his stats four total touchdowns in that time. He has also rushed for 90+ yards and a touchdown during that span as well. This play is as much of a lock as you can get barring injury on Saturday.

2. Paul Richardson Colorado $8,000 – Richardson is coming off a lame game against Arizona State, but has the Charleston Southern defense to help him get back on the horse. He has a new quarterback feeding him the football which can’t be worse than what he had to deal with Conner Wood as quarterback. Against Charleston Southern who will be on the road and the elevation of Colorado, I expect Richardson to be the best player on the field and for him to play like it.

3. Jaelen strong Arizona State $7,000 – Strong had one of his worst games of the season last week against Colorado, but still put up over 22 fantasy points. The game became a blowout quickly and he ended with three catches for 109 yards and a touchdown. This will happen against a Washington Huskies defense who is reeling after a loss to Oregon. Washington does not have the best defense as shown by the fact that Bralon Addison had a nice game against them and he is not even the Oregon Ducks number one receiver.

4. Telvin Reese Baylor $6,750 – Reese is a big play guy and does not rely on many catches per game to get his fantasy point quota. This is usually a bad thing, but with the Baylor offense they score so many touchdowns and spread it out so well that many of the Bears offensive players are quality at fantasy football. Last week he had the best game among receivers scoring two touchdowns and almost eclipsing 200 reception yards. Against the 1-4 Iowa State football team on Saturday Baylor should easily put up another 45 points.

5. Jordan Matthews Vanderbilt $6,500 – Matthews is clearly one of the best receivers in college football even though he is not a flashy receiver. His quarterback play seems to be shoddy at times, but he consistently puts up seven catches per game, something he has done in five of the six games this season. He has a touchdown in three straight games and has scored in five of six games this season. Georgia is struggling defensively and there should be no one on that defense who can stop him. Expect another seven-catch performance for over 100 yards worst-case scenario.

 

Value WRs

1. Bralon Addison Oregon $4,500 – Addison has shown to become a better receiver in his last two games than I originally thought. This is correlated with Mariota performing better as well. Against Washington State I expect a big blowout with many points being scored. I would not be surprised to see four or five touchdown passes and 52 total points at least. That being the case, there is no reason to believe that Allison can’t repeat his last two games where he has averaged 6.5 catches for 157 yards and two touchdowns.

2. Nelson Agholor USC $2,500 – Originally I had Agholor as the number one value receiver due to price and potential productivity on Saturday. The Notre Dame defense plays a lot of man coverage and should be able to play well against it. The reason why I moved him to number two is due to Marquise Lee possibly playing on Saturday. If that is the case then USC’s quarterback will most likely give Lee more looks than Agholor. I still expect a solid game especially for his price though.

3. Malcolme Kennedy Texas A&M $3,750 – Kennedy always seems to be on this value list, and last week he did a solid job for his price. He was in the $3,000 range DraftKings, and put up almost 16 fantasy points. This week against Auburn I expect him to do at least the same. We have not seen him reach the end zone since week four against SMU and for some reason the Aggies star receiver Mike Evans has not been as productive as of late. Hopefully Johnny Football will look more towards Kennedy in the red zone with Evans not making it happen.

4. Rantavious Wooten Georgia $2,500 – If you watched last week’s game against Missouri, then you saw that Wooten was targeted more frequently then Chris Conley. Everyone expected Conley to play well, and he did, but we did not expect Wooten to steal some of his targets. In his last two games he has 10 catches for over 120 yards and three touchdowns. The run game for Georgia is not strong enough to score inside the red zone, so with Georgia likely to score four touchdowns on Saturday there’s a high likelihood that most of them will be through the passing game.

5. Bruce Ellington South Carolina $4,500 – Ellington had a very nice game last week going for a nice stat line of 6/96/2 against the Arkansas Razorbacks. This week the Gamecocks are on the road again against Tennessee and although I like the running game to be dominant against the Volunteers, I think there is some room for Connor Shaw and the passing game to be successful as well. Ellington is a sort of boom or bust play, but at this price you can take that chance.

 

TEs

1. Jace Amaro Texas Tech $6,250 – Amaro is the Jimmy Graham of college football. He has nine catches in four straight games and has eclipsed 85 reception yards in five straight games. He doesn’t find the end zone, but he is very productive for the tight end position.

2. Devon Funchess Michigan $4,750 – Funchess is a very big receiver that technically plays tight end. His size is too much for safeties and he is too fast for linebackers. He causes a big disruption in the opponent’s defense and it is shown by his 11 catches for over 260 yards and three touchdowns in his last two games.

3. Jacob Pederson Wisconsin $3,000 – Peterson does not rack up the yardage or large amounts of catches, but is the main red zone target for Wisconsin once inside the 10. With his size at this position, he is very reliable. In his first game back since his knee injury earlier in the season, he went for four catches and 30 yards and a touchdown. I expect Wisconsin to score plenty against an Illinois defense that has given up 27 points per game this season.

Got something in mind you want to add to this College Football DFS Week 8 discussion?  Why not throw it up and bring it to the table in the most active DFS College Football Forum on planet Earth?  We want to hear from you!

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3 Comments

  1. Chris Chavez

    October 17, 2013 at 10:19 pm

    Nice! I am liking Marshall vs TAMU the more I look at this match up.

  2. coldinthed

    October 18, 2013 at 3:46 am

    No Taysom Hill BYU love?

  3. Insider Fantasy

    October 18, 2013 at 7:18 am

    Taysom Hill hasn’t eclipsed 30 points in last two weeks and doesn’t have a stellar matchup. He has all his weapons back, but I see that as a negative because his best games are when he has had to run more. That won’t happen this weekend, and to me he isn’t worth the $9,250 on Draftkings especially since a guy like Sean Mannion is right underneath him in price.

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