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College Football Week 6 #DFS Guide

College Football Week 6 #DFS Guide
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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Don’t ask me why, but I’m sitting here watching Catfish the TV Show, and I have the urge to call in and be on the show. No, I’m not having Internet love problems. My girlfriend Steve and I are doing great thank you for asking. ***EDITORS NOTEwe thought that Chris was off of the Lortabs as of Monday, but apparently he has stashed some away.  We’re not responsible for anything from this point forth.*** 

I have the urge to call MTV because I feel wronged by my fantasy football team. I spend money on these guys to perform for me, but they just don’t always do their jobs. Whether it be because of an injury or just a bad matchup I didn’t see coming, I am hurt deep down inside by what they did to me.

This week I’m looking at different players. I’m going to stick with the guys that have remained faithful to me (Jarvis Landry you stud you), but I’m also going to check out players that I might not have looked at before. At a certain point in the season, you start to play the same players over and over again due to their skill and your knowledge of their team’s offense. We aren’t quite there yet, but there is a good grasp for offenses and what they do well at this point. It is important not to ignore other possibilities due to someone being able to have a breakout game outside your usual players.

Let’s get after these plays and see who I’m liking this weekend:

**DraftKings pricing on all selections

QB

1. Marcus Mariota Oregon $10,750 – Last week Mariota was not challenged as Oregon crushed Cal at home. Two special teams touchdowns and the bad weather resulted in Mariota not having to do much to get a big win. He did have two touchdowns through the air and a running touchdown, but Oregon just did not need much more than that. Because of this, I’m expecting even more out of Mariota to get his Heisman chances going again. He faces Colorado on the road who has a defense that just gave up six passing touchdowns and 400 yards to Sean Mannion.

2. Braxton Miller Ohio State $7,750 – Kenny Guiton who? Miller came back from injury to prove that he belonged as the Buckeyes’ starter. He threw for under 200 yards, but had four touchdown passes and 80 yards on the ground. Against Northwestern who is giving up 24 points per game, Miller is going to be great. He is a true dual threat quarterback, and Ohio State will need him to play great to win on the road. There isn’t going to be a lot of time where you can get Miller at this price.

3. Devin Gardner Michigan $8,250 – Homer alert. As a big Michigan fan, I know how great Gardner can be and can’t be. He is a true dual threat quarterback and against Minnesota, he will need to turn his play around. He struggled his last game against Connecticut, but put up 33 and 41 fantasy points in the two weeks before that. I’m expecting more of a performance like last season against Minnesota which he had a very nice game with three total touchdowns in his first career start. I’m buying Gardner and his potential to have a huge game.

4. J.W. Walsh Oklahoma State $6,250 – Walsh had a very interesting game against West Virginia in which he wasn’t very efficient throwing for under 50% completion percentage, but had three passing touchdowns and over 300 yards. Against Texas and UL Lafayette, Kansas State gave up 31 and 27 points. These are frightening numbers considering the talent level on offense for Lafayette, and the struggle that Texas was in before that. Walsh is a dual threat to a certain extent, but won’t get you huge points on the ground. I’m expecting a huge bounce back game from Oklahoma State, and I think Walsh leads them to that.

5. Tahj Boyd Clemson $9,500 – Okay, so I was wrong about Boyd big last week as he threw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns and ran for almost 70 yards in another touchdown. This week I’m buying on Boyd and I think he will be great against Syracuse. In three games against FBS teams, he has three touchdowns in each and at least one rushing touchdown in those games. This guy finds the end zone often, and should be worth the $9500 it’ll take to get him.

 

Value Plays

1. Dylan Thompson South Carolina $3,000 – Thompson could possibly start this week for South Carolina due to Connor Shaw’s shoulder injury (keep an eye on this situation) and I think he’ll do great if he does for his $3,000 price if he does play. Thompson had 261 yards through the air, but only added a touchdown through on the ground. He has dual threat capabilities, but I see Mike Davis being the guy that scores on the ground this week for the Gamecocks. Kentucky’s defense faced another backup quarterback last week as Tyler Murphy threw for 150 yards, one touchdown, and added 36 yards of the grounds with one touchdown as well. Those are low passing numbers for Murphy, but he only threw 18 times and completed 83% of them. Thompson is the only value quarterback play truly worth using this weekend.

2. Trevone Boykin TCU $4,250 – Boykin is coming off another two touchdown game, and this week on the road against Oklahoma should provide for a more difficult test. I still like Boykin, as I think he’ll be challenged more this week, but there are really only a few value plays that stand out to me. Boykin should be good for 16-20 fantasy points, but his upside is limited as the TCU offense isn’t dynamic enough to put up big points.

3. Tyler Murphy Florida $4,000 – Murphy had a nice day against Kentucky, but the Florida offense is not built around a quarterback that needs to be great to win. Florida’s defense carries this team and against Arkansas they will need Murphy to do a little more. They are allowing only 22 points per game, but have allowed 28 points to Rutgers and 45 points to Texas A&M.

4/5. N/A – I truly cannot recommend any other value place at this point besides the already guys listed. I’m not going to list guys over $5,000, due to the fact that that really is not a value play. The three above listed players are who I would stick with if you need someone cheap at the QB position.

 

RB

1. Mike Davis South Carolina $6,750 – Davis is my favorite running back of the weekend, and I think it’s pretty clear why. He has a touchdown in every game including the three touchdown performance last week against Central Florida. He usually competes with another running back, but this game Brandon Wilds, the backup, is out for the game against Kentucky. Davis will run the ball a ton as seen by his 26 carries last game compared to 17, 16, and 12 the weeks before that. I like Davis so much, that I will pay almost anything to get him ranging from site to site.

2. Jeremy Hill LSU $6,500 – Hill had an average game last week, but still went for 130 total yards and a touchdown. The two weeks before that he had five touchdowns and over 300 total rushing yards. It was nice to see Hill catch some passes last game (four for 44 yards) and I suspect another great game against Mississippi State.

3. Byron Marshall Oregon $6,500 – With the injury to star running back DeAnthony Thomas, Marshall sees himself getting plenty of action against Colorado on Saturday. He ran 19 times for 130 yards and two touchdowns when given the rock after Thomas was injured early in the game against California. He has a touchdown in three of four games, and against Colorado I suspect another one hundred yard game with at least one touchdown.

4. Bishop Sankey Washington $7,500 – it is clear what Washington wants to do when playing great teams. Against a solid Arizona team last weekend, Sankey ran 40 times for 161 yards and a touchdown. I have always talked about Sankey being a workhorse back and he has shown to be one as he has 104 carries in four games. He is averaging 151 yards rushing yards game, and has six total touchdowns on the season. He will need to be great against Stanford for them to stand a shot.

5. Marion Grice Arizona State $7,750 – Grice has not ran for over 85 yards in a game this season, but he is a complete back with 22 catches on the season to go along with 65 carries. If he can play well against Stanford, where he had 82 total yards, six catches, and two total touchdowns, I certainly believe he will do well against Notre Dame.

 

Value Plays

1. Rajion Neal Tennessee $5,000 – Neal had his best game yet this season going for 169 yards and a touchdown against South Alabama, and I actually believe he will be solid against a tough Georgia defense. His yardage obviously won’t be as high, but he should see 20 carries and average about 5 yards per carry as Tennessee will need to slow the game down and play ball control offense against Georgia. With Martin Lane, the other solid Tennessee running back likely out, Neil should see the majority of the carries.

2. Matt Jones Florida $4,750 – Jones saw a great amount of carries running 20 times for 176 yards and a touchdown against Kentucky. I think there is a reason to believe that will happen again against Arkansas. With Driskel out, the Florida offense looks to control the ball and let its defense do the damage. I believe that’s why Jones had 28 carries last game, and I believe that’s why he’ll have 20+ carries against Arkansas as well.

3. Keith Marshall Georgia $4,750 – Marshall is relying on Gurley to be out Saturday to have any real value against Tennessee. He ran well last week averaging 4.8 yards per carry on 20 carries and should see 20 carries against Tennessee if he is the starter. That is a solid amount of usage for this price.

4. Venric Mark Northwestern $4,000 – Mark has only played a little bit in the first game of the season, but is going to be the starter against Ohio State Saturday. He sat out three games due to a leg injury, but it looks to me that he is full strength Saturday. Mark is a dynamic player who can catch passes out of the backfield and the points scored in this game should be close to 60 at the very least.

5. Carlos Hyde Ohio State $3,500 – Hyde is the starting running back for Ohio State now that he is back from suspension and saw 17 carries last week against Wisconsin. He ran for 85 yards against the Badgers and should run well against Northwestern this weekend. My only concern, and the reason why he is rated the slow, is that he won’t score a touchdown because of Braxton Miller. For this low of a price, he should be worth the risk in those GPP games.

 

WR

1. Jordan Matthews Vanderbilt $7,250 – If you look at Matthews’ game log, you’ll see a bunch of eights and 100+ yard games. The guy has 40 catches in five games and also has four touchdown catches. He’s not a big play guy, but is as consistent as they come at getting you fantasy points. His highest fantasy point total is 37 points while his lowest is 21. That is great consistency for his price.

2. Sammy Watkins Clemson $7,250 – Sammy Watkins hasn’t found pay dirt a lot this season as he has just two touchdown catches, but he is racking up the catches in his last two games. He has 16 catches in his last two games and over 200 total yards. Expect another big game for Boyd’s favorite target.

3. Jeremy Johnson SMU $5,250 – Johnson was not a guy I was high on last week due to TCU’s defense, but he proved me wrong going for a nice stat line of 11/159/1. He has been almost as consistent as Matthews with seven or more catches in three of his four games this year. He doesn’t find the end zone often, but he has racked up over 100 yards in three of those four games as well. I do not expect another four catch game like he had two weeks ago because Rutgers gave up a zillion yards to Fresno State.

4. Jarvis Landry LSU $6,000 – Landry is starting to be one of my man crushes because of how great he has been this season. He is averaging 27 fantasy points per game, and he went for a huge 10/156/1 performance against Georgia. Landry has a touchdown in every game and has 17 catches and 274 yards in his last two games. Auburn’s quarterback threw for 300+ yards and touchdowns against the same Bulldogs defense. Expect LSU’s quarterback to have a nice day as well.

5. Jaelen Strong Arizona State $5,500 – Strong had a great game against USC last weekend with seven catches of 100+ yards. He has been great in his last three games as well with 25 catches and almost 400 total yards. Against Notre Dame, I expect him to do very well with the Sun Devils offense being very dynamic at this point coming off a 62 point performance.

 

Value Plays

1. Dorial Green–Beckham Missouri $5,000 – Dorial has been mightily impressive in his last three games with four touchdowns and 17 catches. He’s not much of a value play as he is only just a little bit cheaper than guys like Strong and Johnson, but the value plays just aren’t there for receivers. He goes against Vandy who has been not so tough on defense against the better schools. Vandy has given up 39 and 35 points to fellow SEC schools, so a guy like Dorial should have at least one touchdown against their porous defense.

2. Laquon Treadwell Ole Miss $2,500 – Treadwell is a true value play due to his minimum price, but he brings with him a large risk. In his last two games he has only recorded just under 18 fantasy points, but he does have bigger potential if you can score touchdown. I will have him in some leagues to get some of the better quarterbacks and running backs in my lineups but in a 50/50 type format he’s probably not your guy. He is a big time, big game play.

3. Dimetri Knowles Virginia Tech $3,250 – Knowles has turned out to be Logan Thomas’ favorite receiver. He has 16 catches in his last three games and Logan Thomas is playing better than he has in the beginning of the season. Thomas has thrown the ball 102 times and his completion percentage has been better with a 76 completion percentage last week against Georgia Tech. Knowles has gone for double-digit fantasy points in two his last three games with a high of just under 24 points.

4. Bralon Addison Oregon $3,000 – Addison took over the punt return role when Thomas went down last week, so if Thomas does not play Addison should retain those duties. Nonetheless he is going for double-digit fantasy points in five straight games, and is starting to catch the ball more as Mariota has seen some better games as well. He has nine catches and 91 yards in his last two games and I believe we’ll see more double-digit fantasy points if Thomas is out Saturday.

5. Trey Burton Florida $2,750 – Burton had a nice game last week going for 6/66/1 with 16 yards rushing, but against Arkansas this weekend I don’t see him scoring another touchdown. He has been pretty safe for 5 to 6 catches and 60 yards this season, so I think that is a good number to expect for this price. You can do a lot worse than Burton for this price.

 

TE

1. Jace Amaro Texas Tech $5,500 – Amaro is my top tight end, and to get him you’ll have to pay for it. He has at least 8 catches in each of his last three games, but he has eclipsed hundred yards only once in that time. He has averaged 91 yards per game this season. Against Kansas, I expect him to remain the favorite target for Texas Tech’s quarterback.

2. Austin Seferian-Jenkins Washington $4,000 – Against Stanford, Washington will need to get ASJ The ball through the air to stand a chance against the Cardinal defense. He is a big-time red zone threat and overall great athlete. He is a top tightend prospect, and he has shown it in his career at Washington. I think he is due for a big game against the Cardinal defense and he should be fully healthy and in the mix in this offense Saturday.

3. Hunter Henry Arkansas $2,750 – Henry showed us last week why he is a solid freshman player. He had a stat line of 4/109/0 and had a touchdown the week before that. For a lower-priced option, I think this is the guy you have to go. I know not to pick against Florida, but other low priced guys just don’t have the talent Henry does.

Got something in mind you want to add?  Why not throw it up and bring it to the table in the most active DFS College Football Forum on planet Earth?  We want to hear from you!

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1 Comment

  1. coldinthed

    October 5, 2013 at 1:42 am

    Don’t think the SC backup is going to start and I believe, at least it will be interesting to see, Stanford sells out to stop the Washington run game in order to make Price beat them.

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