Are you ready for my Daily Fantasy Football Week 10 #HOTSIZZLETAEKS? Holy Trump, Batman! That will be my only words spoken on the political side of things. That’s not what you came here to read about, but rather about which picks to fade. Gentle reminder that thus far this season, my value plays have been scorching. Just a gentle nudge.
We move on to Week 10 of the great NFL season, unless you’re a Browns fan. Poor Brownies. There will be some surprise players to roster this week, partly due to injuries and guys winning the job over previous incumbent starters. There’s also David Johnson versus the 49ers, a chance for a running back to break Adrian Peterson’s single game rushing record. I mean, when you get gashed by Tim Hightower, there’s something wrong. The second coming of Ricky Williams will make an appearance on the West Coast, as Jay Ajayi tries to make it four straight games of 100+ rushing yards. Dolphins in the playoffs? MAKE IT HAPPEN! Let’s get to the plays now.
WEEK 10 PROJECTIONS | DST | KICKERS | TARGETS | CARRIES | RED ZONE | HISTORICAL | SNAPS | DEFENSE
Top Play – Aaron Rodgers was able to get Randall Cobb back in action last week, and should be able to get both James Starks and Jared Cook in the rotation. That’s big news for his fantasy ceiling, as long as the Packers continue with the winning formula over the last couple weeks. That’s keeping the routes short, letting Rodgers pick apart opposing defenses with quick decision making and not playing backyard football, rolling around in the pocket and bombing it 50 yards on every single throw. Rodgers will face the Titans’ 27th ranked DVOA pass defense that’s giving up the 14th most fantasy points to opposing QBs. That number’s been increasing over the past few weeks, as they’ve given up 300+ yards to the opposing QBs in 3 of the last 4 games. The other QB not to get 300+ passing yards was Rivers, who ended up with 275 and 2 TDs anyways. It’s a very nice spot for Rodgers to get more comfortable in his offense as everyone starts to get healthier and make a playoff push. Another boost to Rodgers is the fact that Mariota and the Titans’ O have been humming lately, putting up 28, 26. 36, and 35 points over the last 4 games. Shootout potential! DailyRoto has Rodgers projected to have a day at the QB position, and that Drew Dinkmeyer guy keeps winning. I don’t know how either.
Value Play – Being involved in a potential shootout also would help out Marcus Mariota, who is strangely priced low for how good he and the Titans O have been over the last 4 games. As I said earlier, they’ve been scoring quite a bit, and it’s mostly due to the emergence of Mariota as a quarterback, having thrown for 10 passing TDs in the last 4 games combined. Mariota will be facing the 6th toughest DVOA against the run, so he’ll have to rely on his arm to keep the Titans in the game. The Packers’ trio of CBs that’s had to step in due to injuries have done an average job, ranking in as the 16th best pass defense. The return of Kendall Wright and the rise of Rishard Matthews (playing more snaps than rookie Tajae Sharpe) has been another reason why the Titans are playing so well lately. Mariota has a surprising overall value at QB on the big DailyRoto board, and at his price on DraftKings, he’s a no brainer in an upside matchup.
BOLD CALL – Blake Bortles! Ugh, no. That guy really depends on 4th quarter scummy garbage time to hold value despite his inaccuracy and overall apathetic attitude while the team’s down 100 points. My bold call instead will be the phenom, the smokin’ machine that has the ultimate apathetic attitude towards every in life except maybe to his smokin’ hot wife, the greatest of all time SMOKIN’ JAY CUTLER! He’ll get the abused Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense, coming off an embarrassing loss where Matt Ryan took a steaming dump on their secondary to the tune of 344 passing yards and 4 TDs. Four! The Bucs rank at 5th most fantasy points given up to opposing QBs, with a 20th ranked DVOA pass defense that probably should be ranked worse. The Bucs were able to boost it thanks to a victory over the 49ers, but rest assured, the Bucs’ pass defense is brutal. Two of their starting cornerbacks have came in at awful grades (Hargreaves – 37.6 and Adjei-Bariman – 52.3), while their starting LCB has been the only good player all year (Grimes – 79.3). Cutler had a solid outing last week, so he’ll be looking to build on that performance. The Bucs are high in both offensive snaps and pace, so the Bears’ O should get a little boost to their amount of offensive snaps as well. It’s a pretty nice spot to take Smokin’ Jay at his bargain price and hope Cutler doesn’t quit mid-game.
Top Play – David Johnson. The 49ers can’t stop the run (last in everything related to run defense)…