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12/12 NBA DFS: Everyday we’re Russell-ing

12/12 NBA DFS: Everyday we’re Russell-ing
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – December 12 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Saturday Slate Note: This is going to be a difficult slate for late news. We have 16 teams covered in the evening slate and 11 of them are playing on a back-to-back. Three of the teams that aren’t on a back-to-back are playing their third game in four nights with the Bulls the only one of those teams that didn’t have to travel in between games. When teams have condensed schedules they don’t get practice time or even shoot-around time. Without those scheduled events, we don’t get injury updates from the beat reporters. The only two teams that we’d consider well rested for this slate are Houston and Dallas. This is usually the case on Saturdays but it’s even more extreme this week. It’s a good day to embrace tournaments while taking on some injury situation risk on early lock sites, while reserving cash games for late swap sites where you can protect yourself from news coming out of nowhere.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is DraftKings

Top Play:

Stephen Curry (GS) – This is a tricky spot for the shorthanded Warriors after they logged heavy minutes in a double overtime win over the Celtics. If Klay Thompson rests again, Curry will once again absorb a heavy offensive burden. Last night, Curry’s usage rate was 35.8 percent. Since the beginning of last season, Curry’s usage rate has hovered around 29 percent with Klay on the court but that number surges to 35 percent with Klay off the floor. With an elevated usage rate, Curry projects ahead of James Harden and Anthony Davis as the top plays, but concerns over efficiency against Milwaukee (ninth in defensive efficiency against point guards and 29th in pace) after logging 47 minutes are legitimate. Our initial recommendation with a lack of clarity on injury situations is to build a more balanced lineup than spending all the way up on stars, but if more values pop up, we’d consider Curry and Harden the safest of the top plays for cash games.

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