Daily Fantasy Rundown – December 18 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.
*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.
**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.
Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is FanDuel
Top Play: Stephen Curry (GS) (With an incredible ceiling, Curry is always tournament viable, but even in that format we’d only consider him a secondary option tonight, given a full price point and the unlikelihood of seeing fourth quarter minutes due to a 19.5 point home spread)
Next in line: Damian Lillard (POR) (secondary cash value, but with some nice upside on the value plays priced closer to the average cost of a roster spot, Lillard isn’t a primary option this evening)
Tyreke Evans (NO) – With pricing varying so much between the two big sites (FanDuel and DraftKings), it’s tough to identify industry wide core options for cash games. Evans is an exception. We like him pretty much anywhere he’s priced like he is on FanDuel (eight percent premium) and even DraftKings (17 percent premium). On FanDuel, Evans is point guard eligible. He’s in line for a great game against an up tempo Phoenix team (third in the NBA in pace) that struggles at defending the guard position (dead last in defensive efficiency against backcourt players). It’s about as perfect of a matchup as it gets, and you aren’t even overpaying to get exposure to it. Evans is underpriced given his offensive responsibilities (24.1 usage rate, 33.5 assist rate) and a high 9.8 rebounding rate for a guard. That has lead to healthy FanDuel point per minute production, which given his expected playing time (35-36 minutes) puts him above 33.8 FanDuel point threshold on average.