Daily Fantasy Rundown – December 26 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.
*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.
**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.
Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is DraftKings
Top Plays: Damian Lillard (POR) and Chris Paul (LAC) are the highest expected scoring point guards in the slate, but with both in subpar matchups, Lillard banged up, and Paul’s price finally correcting itself, we’d consider them secondary tournament options only. UPDATE: Damian Lillard has been ruled out.
Next in line:
Isaiah Thomas (BOS) – Surprisingly on a large slate, there isn’t a ton of value to be had at the point guard position. As a result, we’re fine locking in Thomas is one of the safest commodities at the position. This is heightened on DraftKings where Tyreke Evans is shooting guard eligible only, and Brandon Knight is priced more aggressively. Thomas has been within five points of his value threshold in nine of his last 10 contests and just recently recorded 51.75 DraftKings points against the Pistons. It’s a nice game environment with a healthy 204 total, and a tight one point spread on the road, which should solidify and potentially raise Thomas’ playing time. From a pace and defensive efficiency against position standpoint, the matchup is slightly below average.
Tyreke Evans (NO) – One of the hard parts about this slate is that many of the best plays and games to target involve teams that played yesterday. While we consider back to back sets when performing our player valuations, it’s not something to go overboard with. For example, we’re still looking to get exposure to the Pelicans-Rockets game, despite both teams playing yesterday. This game has the highest total on the night at 211 and currently has no spread, making it an elite game environment – high scoring with lots of possessions and a competitive atmosphere that should stabilize the minutes of key players. There’s no doubt that Evans is a volatile commodity. His last four games serve as a bit of a microcosm of this, with two 51 DraftKings point performances, but two others at 21.5 and 23.0. Tonight we’re embracing the upside against an up tempo Houston team that has struggled to defend this season (albeit improving now).