Daily Fantasy Rundown – December 31 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Thursday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.
*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.
**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.
Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is FanDuel
Top Play: Russell Westbrook (OKC) (With a full allotment of minutes, Westbrook is our highest projected player on the night by a clear margin; unfortunately, the Thunder are 15 point home favorites against a very bad Suns team without Eric Bledsoe. Given the blowout risk, we view Westbrook as an elite tournament option, but there are better ways to build your cash games)
Next in line:
Chris Paul (LAC) – Paul is a core play tonight. A slow paced matchup against Utah followed by low minutes totals against Charlotte (30) and Washington (27, blowout) have kept Paul’s FanDuel performances in check, masking the upside he possesses with Blake Griffin out. Over these three games, Paul has averaged a 32.0 usage rate and 52.6 assist rate; his season long marks are 25.7 and 47.6 respectively. While it’s a small sample size, the increase in offensive responsibility meshes with what we expected to happen with Griffin off the court. The ceiling is very high tonight as a result. Paul’s minutes should be up in an expected close game (Clippers +2.5) at New Orleans (former team, favorable scorekeeper) with a high 208 total. Simply based on game environment and usage, Paul is a great play, but the icing on the cake is New Orleans’ 29th ranking in defensive efficiency against point guards.