This past week I went through labrum surgery, and to try to spice up my life, I have decided to write not one, not two, but three articles on this week’s DFS College Football action. Now I don’t consider myself on the Miami Heat level of possibly six or seven championships, I mean articles, but I will make it worth your while to check out each component of the college football articles I’m dishing out on @LuDawgs.
Like Kesha, I’m now going to spell my name with a money sign. Okay, maybe that’s a little bit too conceited, but with this weeks action on tap I feel that confident about who to play and who to avoid. We have stepped away from the heavily lopsided games, and we have now stepped into the danger zone. No longer do we see star running backs play against schools for the blind, but instead we are seeing SEC matchups and other Intriguing matchups between very good football teams. It’s time to kick off the tricycle wheels and ride your bike with no hands. Yes, it’s time to get serious and time to impress the ladies. Let’s start off with this week’s top quarterback plays then I’ll get to value plays, and finally what I like to call fool’s gold.
**DraftKings pricing on all selections
Top QB Plays:
1. Marcus Mariota $10,250 Oregon – Mariota is the key to the Oregon offense, and against California he is a very strong play. His price is just over 10,000, but he is averaging over 40 fantasy points per game. Marietta is a low risk play, as he is a strong runner and has shown to be a solid passer as well throwing for 456 yards against Tennessee two weekends ago. Against California, his number should be as huge as the Bears defense is terrible and allowed Ohio State to put up 52 points. If you have the money, don’t be scared to use Mariota in any game format.
2. Sean Mannion Oregon State $7,500 – Mannion is averaging over 400 passing yards a game this season. Last week he put up his worst fantasy performance against San Diego State, but that could have been much different with a few plays going differently. This week against Colorado, expect to see Mannion put the ball in the air over 40 times like he has in four consecutive games. He has a 15 to 1 touchdown to interception so far this season. This game is the equivalent to fantasy college football porn as Oregon State and Colorado have two great passing offenses. In football you usually don’t see a stack of a team, but in this game I see myself putting in at least one team of mainly Oregon State and Colorado players.
3. Bo Wallace Ole Miss $6,750 – This is a crazy tactic, but I really like Bo Wallace against Alabama. We have seen Alabama not be a dominant defense against a mobile quarterback and that’s just what Wallace is. The Crimson Tide were taken to the shed against Johnny Football, but still came out with a win. This week against Ole Miss I’m seeing the exact same thing. The Rebels’ coaches should be smarter than myself, who has had no college football playing experience, and know that the versatile Wallace will be key to keeping this game close. With that being said, this risky play should be worth it if Wallace can get it going on the ground and see 10+ carries, which he has done 11 times out of the last 17 games for Ole Miss.
4. Conner Wood Colorado $6,000 – Wood has thrown 82 times in two games this season and is coming off a two-week hiatus where the Buffaloes did not play a game. Wood is not a runner by any means, but he has six touchdown passes on the season and has eclipsed 300 yards passing in both games. Oregon State has given up 35 points per game, and will be looking to score a lot of points as well with their high-powered passing offense that is third rank in the country. This game is going to be very high scoring.
5. Braxton Miller Ohio State $7,250 – Miller is expected to start Saturday, and against Wisconsin it he is going to need to play his best game. Miller is a strong running threats, but not as good of a passing threats as Kenny Guyton. If you’re in the group of people that expect a high-scoring game, then Miller is a great choice for his well-discounted price due to being injured for two weeks. This play has a major upside for the $7,250 price on DraftKings.
Top QB Value Plays:
1. Trevone Boykin TCU $4,000 – Boykin was last season’s starter with Casey Pachall running into personal issues. This season Boykin has seen taken over the starting quarterback role as Pachall is now injured. Against Texas Tech last week Boykin threw two interceptions, but ran for 100 yards. With his low price on DraftKings, I see him as a solid sleeper due to his running and throwing potential. Against SMU’s 115th ranked defense which gives up almost 38 points per game, I see it hard not to use weekend in GPP games.
2. B.J. Danker Arizona $4,250 – Danker is another dual threat quarterback on this value list. The reason Denker is huge in fantasy football is because of his rushing ability. He has five rushing touchdowns and over 200 yards rushing in three games. His passing is not much to be desired for, but against Washington he will have to play a more complete game and compliment Ka’Deem Carey for them to come out victorious.
3. Brandon Connette Duke $4,500 – Connotte has taken over the starting quarterback role recently, and has performed nicely scoring nine touchdowns. I don’t see him scoring six times against Troy State like he did in his last game, but it’s certainly possible as Troy State gave up 62 points against Mississippi State and allowed dual threat quarterback Dak Prescott to have a monster game. Troy State is giving up 34 points a game, and has struggled to stop any FBS team from scoring.
4. Zach Mettenberger LSU $4,500 – Mettenberger has played very well this season under Cam Cameron’s new offense, and we expect lots of points from the Tigers Saturday against Georgia. Yes he has yet to eclipse 300 yards passing, but his attempts have been down. With George’s defense likely to focus on running back Jeremy Hill, it’s going to be up to this quarterback to lead the Tigers to victory. With more attempts, his completion percentage this season shows me that he should be successful against the Bulldogs defense.
5. John O’Korn Houston $5,000 – O’Korn was very effective against Rice although his completion percentage was low. He completed 15 passes with three of them going for touchdown. If O’Korn gets the start again for the Cougars, he should be very successful against UTSA who has given up 38 and 56 points two big FBS schools that like to pass the football a lot.
Top Fool’s Gold:
1. Mitch Leidner Minnesota $2,500 – Leidner had a monster game against San Jose State in which he ran for 150 yards and four touchdowns. He only threw for 71 yards on 12 attempts though. Although Iowa does not a great defense, I see some potential for a bad game out of Leidner. Northern Illinois it Jordan Lynch only ran for 57 yards on 22 carries against the Hawkeyes. With a quarterback that is not going to throw the ball very well in Leidner, I see him as too much of a risk at this position against a better defense than San Jose State. The only impressive thing about Leidner is the fact that my voice text chat on my phone correctly spelled it every single time.
2. Tahj Boyd Clemson $9,500 – Look I love some Tahj like everybody else, but it’s all about production and value out of every single spot on DraftKings. Boyd is the third highest priced quarterback of the board, but has only scored nine times this season. If I’m looking for a NFL prospect then I look towards Boyd, but against Wake Forest I see the value elsewhere at the quarterback position.
3. Jameis Winston FSU $7,250 – Winston jumped on the scene with a five-touchdown performance against Pittsburgh, but since then he’s only accumulated five touchdowns against teams Nevada and Bethune-Cookman. He sees a tougher task against Boston College, and although I think that means more playing time for Winston, I don’t think that means more touchdowns for him. He’s not a bad quarterback, but I see points being scored in other ways than through the air against Boston College.
4. Kevin Hogan Stanford $6,750 – Hogan has played very well for the Stanford Cardinals but I just don’t see him as a fantasy option. His price tag is too high while his upside is not high enough. He has seven passing touch of the season, but his lack of rushing yards, coupled with the fact that Stanford maximizes each offensive possession, results in low scoring numbers fantasy wise. Stanford should be Washington State handily, but it’ll be a well-balanced attack between Hogan, Gaffney, and the defense.
5. Garrett Gilbert SMU $6,500 – Gilbert faces TCU and although SMU is a high-scoring team, I feel TCU’s defense is going to be too much for the Mustang offense. The Horned Frog freshman stumped Baker Mayfield from Texas Tech to one touchdown and three interceptions when they played and he didn’t even play the whole game. Gilbert racks up large amounts of yardage as he has passed for over 1,000 yards in three games, but his lack of touchdown passes really makes this play a bad one for me.
Got something in mind you want to add? Why not throw it up and bring it to the table in the most active DFS College Football Forum on planet Earth? We want to hear from you!