Dobish’s MLB DFS Valye Plays
We’ll take an in-depth look at a handful of value plays to help put your DFS team over the top. Sure, everyone knows who the studs are, but let’s take a look at production to dollars spent. That’s where the wins and losses are determined on a daily basis.
(FantasyAces.com salaries in parentheses) (all times ET)
Mike Foltynewicz, SP, Atlanta ($4,750 vs. PHI – LATE GAMES): Foltynewicz is trying to cement his spot in the Atlanta rotation, and he could go a long way with an impressive showing against the Phillies. Last time out he allowed three runs – two earned – and six hits over five innings with a pair of strikeouts against the Cincinnati Reds in a win.
Foltynewicz should be able to lock down the Phillies, the lowest scoring team in the National League and 29th-ranked offense in the majors. Philadelphia is also dead-last in run differential by a mile at minus-56. The Phillies were blanked Tuesday by Shelby Miller, who needed just 99 pitches in a complete game. Foltynewicz will not have that much success, but he should go deep into the game while posting a quality start with several strikeouts. Foltynewicz is a great value at a mid-level price, especially since the Phillies are 7-19 in their past 26 as a road underdog, and 7-22 in their past 29 road games against a right-handed starter.
Brett Gardner, OF, N.Y. Yankees ($4,900 at TOR – LATE GAMES): Gardner has been very productive over his career against Toronto Blue Jays SP Mark Buehrle, who is 1-14 in his career against the Yankees. It could be a very fruitful day for DFS owners rolling with the versatile Gardner.
The outfielder is 12-for-32 (.375) with three doubles, a triple, a homer, four RBI and a 1.007 OPS over his career against the veteran southpaw. He is hitting .421 (5-for-16) with a double, homer, six RBI and to stolen bases in five games during the month of May, and the good times should continue to roll based upon his strong numbers against Buehrle.
Austin Hedges, C, San Diego ($3,000 at SF – EARLY GAMES): Hedges will make his first-career major league start behind the dish, and DFS players should pay close attention. He enters this game with a minimum salary, but if his Triple-A numbers are any indication he should be able to exceed salary expectations in rather easy fashion. And at the very least, if he does have first-start jitters, he will save you plenty of salary to spread across other positions.
Hedges posted a .324 average (23-for-71) with eight doubles, two home runs and 15 RBI with just eight strikeouts at Triple-A El Paso, but the most impressive past of his statistics might be his eight walks and eight strikeouts. He puts the ball in play, and doesn’t get cheated at the plate. With a .521 slugging percentage and .914 OPS DFS will have a much better chance using a guy with upside like Hedges over players at a similar salary.
Mark Trumbo, OF, Arizona ($5,000 at COL – LATE GAMES): Trumbo is a DFS must-play for Game 2 of the doubleheader against the Colorado Rockies. It isn’t a giant sample size, but he has five hits in 15 at-bats (.333) against SP Jordan Lyles with three homers, eight RBI and a 1.267 OPS.
However, those batter vs. pitcher splits aren’t enough to base your opinion. Since April 2012 he is 10-for-34 (.294) with seven home runs, 17 RBI, five walks and just five strikeouts with a 1.297 OPS at Coors Field, his most homers at any park other than Angel Stadium during that span. In fact, he has 160 at-bats at his home park of Chase Field with just six homers, so there is something that agrees with him about Coors Field, even more so than usual.