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Dobish’s Picks Against the Spread for 9/21

David Richard - AP
Dobish’s Picks Against the Spread for 9/21
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Editor’s note: This article is part of a 4-week series being done with MyBookie.Ag


Baseball was rough last night, at least on the totals. Terrible pitchers looked awesome, awesome pitchers looked terrible. There was no rhyme or reason to what happened last night, other than inconsistency ruled the day. Let’s make it back on Thursday night with a mixed array of sporting events. I wish there was a line to take the over on my son’s baseball team for their road game in Clayton, N.C. Last time out at home was a 9-7 barn burner – ha. Here are my picks against the spread.

49ers (+3) vs. Rams

You REALLY have to be a die-hard football fan, fantasy player or gambler to watch this dreck. And you know that the Niners will likely be wearing their black San Francisco jersey while the Rams will either have their awesome white helmets, or they’re going to look like bananas in yellow unis from head to toe. That’s one thing to keep my interest for 30 second until finding out.

As far as the game is concerned, the 49ers are the play. They were 2-14 SU last season, but won and covered both meetings with the Rams, including a shutout win in Week 1 in Santa Clara. For whatever reason, the Rams are 2-5 ATS in their past seven against division foes, 1-8 ATS in their past nine overall, 1-4 ATS in their past five road outings and 0-8-1 ATS in their past nine against NFC opponents. While Frisco isn’t much better at 1-7 ATS over their past eight home games, they’re 4-0 ATS in their past four inside the division, including last week’s snore-fest in Seattle. And they have handled the Rams, going 11-5 ATS in their past 16 at home against St. Louis/L.A., and 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall.

Temple (+19 1/2) at South Florida

South Florida just hasn’t looked terribly impressive to me, at least one the defensive side of the football. They’re tossed up 31 or more points per game on offense, but they’re allowing 20.7 PPG on defense, which makes me believe Temple can hang around and gain a cover in this one. However, it would be a first for the Owls, as they’re 0-3 ATS this season. They’re showing some signs of life on offense, however, posting 29 last week in a win against UMass. And the Owls were on the verge of covering, but a Minuteman TD with 1:41 gave the visitors a backdoor cover and bad beat.

The Owls are 6-1 ATS in their past seven against winning teams, they’re 4-0 ATS in their past four appearances on Thursday and they’re 25-8 ATS in their past 33 league games. While USF is 4-0 ATS in their past four against winning teams and 9-3 ATS in their past 12 league outings, they’re just 2-10 ATS in their past 12 appearances on Thursday.

L.A. Sparks at Minnesota Lynx (under 158 1/2)

I kid you know. You can bet on WNBA, and you can WIN. Game 1 of the WNBA is set to go off in Minneapolis on Sunday (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET) and both of these teams are great ‘under’ bets. Even for two seasoned squads, there will be nerves playing in their league’s biggest event, too.

The Sparks have hit the under in 12 of their past 15 games against Western Conference foes, and 22 of their past 28 overall. The under is also 20-8 in their past 28 against teams with a winning overall mark. For the Lynx, the under is 4-0 in their past four against winning clubs, 5-2 in their past seven WNBA Championship Series games and a perfect 5-0 in their past five home meetings against the rival Sparks. The under has cashed in 20 of the past 28 meetings overall between these two clubs.

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