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EPL DFS 4/8: Live a Little
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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Chelsea had a huge victory over Manchester City in midweek, securing their lead of eight points with just eight games to go. The lead is certainly not unsurmountable though, and they’ll have to continue playing well to secure the title. Tottenham scored three in about five minutes at the end of their match to keep within eight, and they’ll have a home match against Watford this weekend as they try to narrow the lead.  With most teams still having something to play for, this should be a fun weekend of games.  Let’s look at the slate on Saturday!

Goalkeeper

Lee Grant ($4,100) – Grant has kept Stoke City out of the relegation zone this season with his impressive play and now will get all the opportunity in the world for a high save output. From projected starting goalkeepers this Saturday, he has averaged the fourth best fantasy points per game and costs only $4,100. Liverpool force more saves than almost every other team in the Premier League, and that gives Grant upside and a safe floor.  He is ca primary cash and tournament target.

Eldin Jakupovic ($3,600) – Jakupovic is much cheaper than Grant and should theoretically face more shots, playing away from home against Manchester City. However, Manchester are extremely dangerous and this has the potential to be ugly. Still, Hull City allow 17.1 shots per game, and at $3,600, Jakupovic is a risky target that can more than pay off his price. I prefer him in tournaments, but if he fits as the last piece in your lineup, it’s not egregious to play him in cash.

Defenders

Arthur Masuaku ($4,900) – I’ve raved about Masuaku continuously and last week he didn’t pay off his price tag against Arsenal. The price went up, and that should force people off. This week, Masuaku faces a horrible Swansea team that has allowed 66 goals in 31 games. They allow an above average number of crosses, shots, and just about any other attacking statistic, and Masuaku will join the attack in this game. West Ham are playing at home, just five points above the relegation zone, and a loss here could put them in danger of relegation. They’ll be trying to win, and Masuaku is a great target in defense. Teammate Sam Byrum can also be considered. 

Cedric Soares ($4,900) – The lack of cheap targets in defense is making us look towards the more expensive ones this weekend. Soares is one that has shown to produce consistently, and although the matchup is not ideal, he can be considered in cash games here. His lowest output of the last ten games was six points, and that was against Tottenham. The combination of crosses, fouls won, and tackles makes him an ideal cash target. 

We will continue to monitor news as starting lineups are announced tomorrow. If any cheap values emerge, I will tweet updates from my Twitter Account. Follow me there for updates.

Midfield

Gylfi Sigurdsson ($11,700) – Gylfi’s price has gone even higher. This is unprecedented territory, but he is incredibly good and in a fantastic game environment. Sportsbooks expect this game to be over 2.5 goals, and both of these teams struggle to defend. If Swansea go down early, Gylfi will spend the rest of the match shooting and crossing. There is certainly upside and floor here, and Gylfi is an option despite the high price.

Phillipe Coutinho ($8,700) – Coutinho is questionable for this game, as he had to be taken off in midweek against Bournemouth. If he starts, he makes for one of the better cash game plays. He has a great floor due to a combination of shooting and crossing ability, and the matchup is pristine. To put it in perspective, Coutinho has the second highest shots per 90 minute on the slate, and comes at just a fraction of the price of Sergio Aguero. If Coutinho is ruled out, we could see Ben Woodburn start. If that happens, Woodburn would be a fine cheap play that you can slot in midfield. This would make up for the lack of value in defense and provide us with a solid cash game build.  Either way, there will be value in Liverpool.

Adama Traore ($4,600) – Traore was fantastic in Middlesbrough’s last match against Hull City, and he gets to face a Burnley side that travels extremely poorly.Burnley concede 20.1 shots per game when on the road, tied for top in the league, and Traore will look to exploit that. He has been playing consistent minutes, and the price is right.

Chelsea – Chelsea face a very soft Bournemouth defense that has allowed 14.3 shots per game, as well as 56 goals in 31 matches. The Blues will look to exploit their defense here, and will likely attack for much of the game. Whoever starts between Willian and Cesc Fabregas will carry value, so look for the starting lineup and exploit Bournemouth.

Forwards

Sergio Aguero (10,200) – Aguero is a good tournament pivot off Gylfi Sigurdsson and comes at $10,200. That’s an expensive price, but Hull City have allowed 61 goals so far this season and give up almost 18 shots per match when on the road. Their poor defense will stand no chance against Manchester City, who will be looking to bounce back from a tough loss against Chelsea. City are at 4/6 odds to score 3+ goals, and it’s just a matter of who scores. Aguero has hat-trick upside. Teammate Kevin De Bruyne ($8,800) is a good option to target if not using Aguero.  De Bruyne’s floor is safer and he can be considered in cash games in a semi-balanced build with Coutinho.

Roberto Firmino ($7,100) – Firmino has not played well in recent weeks and will go forgotten here with a number of teams in great spots. I expect his ownership to be lower than 15%, and that’s totally worth targeting at this price. His upside is two goals, and he has shown that he’s capable. Whether Coutinho plays, Firmino will be in a great spot to please fantasy owners.

Tournament Targets: Andre Ayew, Andy Carroll, Rudy Gestede, Eden Hazard

Soccer