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EPL DFS 5/12: Gylfi Conscience
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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The second to last week of the season gives us a fairly weak four game slate, but there are some interesting plays here that make the slate playable. Between Arsenal, Gylfi Sigurdsson, and Bournemouth there will be plenty to talk about in preparation for Saturday.  Swansea are fighting to avoid relegation and will spend all match attacking, while Arsenal need to win to fight for a top four spot. Bournemouth have been great at home and can score plenty on Burnley, who travel poorly. Middlesbrough and Southampton? Probably headed for a 0-0. First up, let’s talk goalkeeper. 

Goalkeeper

Jack Butland ($3,900) – Arsenal are fighting for a top four spot and need a win against Stoke City. Stoke will be easily overmatched but that just means Butland will see a high number of save opportunities. Saves are easily the way to go when looking for goalkeepers on DraftKings and there’s little reason to pay $5,600 for someone like Petr Cech who may or may not get a clean sheet. Cech is obviously viable in tournaments as his upside is one of the highest on the slate, but in cash games, $5,600 is a lot to spend on the volatile goalkeeper position.

Tournament Targets: Petr Cech, Brad Guzan, Jordan Pickford…[sociallocker id=110379]

Defenders

Hector Bellerin ($4,500) – With Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain likely to miss out, his replacement options are Hector Bellerin or Theo Walcott. I suspect Bellerin will start, and at wing-back, he is worthy of consideration at $4,500. He should get plenty of opportunities to attack and he has shown a tendency to cross often when attacking. Between that and the plus matchup against Stoke, there’s enough value to consider Bellerin as a primary option if he ends up starting.  Teammate Shkodran Mustafi racks up enough defensive stats to be considered as a punt play at $3,400.

Adam Smith ($5,200) – Contributing in almost every category, Smith has established himself as a cash game option, especially when the defender position is extremely shallow once again. Smith gets a home match against Burnley and even tends to join the attack, which gives him tournament upside at his price. Teammate Charlie Daniels carries a similar upside with a slightly lower floor, but both are strong tournament options.

Midfielders

Gylfi Sigurdsson ($10,200) – We talk about Gylfi every week but it’s hard to ignore him when he’s generally one of the only good players on the slate with teams like Chelsea and Liverpool absent from the Saturday slates. With Swansea needing a win, they’ll look to push all game long and let Gylfi rack up crosses and shots. Ignore the price tag and just jam him in your lineups as the most secure source of fantasy points this weekend.

Wahbi Khazri ($5,400) – Khazri didn’t start last weekend as Sunderland chose to go with George Honeyman. Honeyman is injured this week and that should open the door for Khazri to return to the starting lineup. If he starts, Khazri is in a great spot. He’s playing at home, still underpriced, and on most set pieces for Sunderland. He also faces Swansea, who are one of the worst defenses in the league. Even though Sunderland have nothing to play for at this point in the season, Khazri is playing for an opportunity to play professional football at this level and needs to perform at every chance he gets. He’ll likely be active and earn plenty of fantasy points. Fire him up.

Aaron Ramsey ($4,500) – In tournaments you can consider Aaron Ramsey. The Arsenal midfielder has played fairly well in the past three games despite not returning value against Manchester United or Tottenham, but both of those were tough matchups. Against Stoke, he’ll have a bigger opportunity to attack and contribute through crosses and shots. Add to that the fact Arsenal are the biggest favorites on the slate and that should increase your confidence in Ramsey’s chances of getting involved in a goal or assist. He is very tough to trust in cash games even at the low price, but he’s a great tournament target.

Ryan Fraser ($7,800) – At this price, Fraser is likely tournament only. If I knew he was 100% healthy and likely to play the whole match, I’d feel OK with playing him in cash, but with Bournemouth not having much to play for and Fraser coming off an injury, I’m not sure how much they’re willing to risk him for 90 minutes. In tournaments, he is worthy of a shot as Bournemouth could score multiple in this one if they do, he’s likely to get involved, but be cautious with his health.

Forwards

Alexis Sanchez ($10,000) – Sanchez is the second most expensive player on the slate behind Gylfi Sigurdsson but you can afford both with all of the value on this slate. Sanchez will lead Arsenal against Stoke in a game they need to win and he is their best shot at a goal at odds of 10/11. That’s quite the odds for Sanchez, who finds ways to contribute through multiple categories. In cash games, you are likely playing him alongside Gylfi Sigurdsson in an attempt to maximize your floor, but he’s certainly viable in tournaments as well.  Teammate Mesut Ozil hasn’t played as well and is tournament only viable.

Joshua King ($8,300) – King didn’t score last weekend despite Bournemouth scoring twice and in turn disappointed fantasy owners. He’s so extremely goal dependent that he’s unusable in cash games but his tournament value is there in most games. At home against Burnley, King is a strong tournament option.  Bournemouth have scored 33 goals in 18 home matches and King is their number one scorer. Burnley, on the other end of the spectrum, have conceded 33 goals in 18 away matches for what is the second worst away record in the league. There will very likely be multiple goals from Bournemouth in this game, and King is your best exposure to them. Take advantage.[/sociallocker] 

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