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EPL DFS March 10th: The Bournemouth Identity
galindragiev
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It’s a short slate this week as we have just three games on Saturday but in spite of its size, it’s still a very good slate. There’s three fun games, and even though there’s an obvious lack of top end teams, there are several good DFS options we can explore. Let’s go position by position as always.

Goalkeepers

There’s going to be goals on this slate, and with the goalkeeper position extremely volatile, I would recommend getting exposure to several names here. In cash games:

Ben Foster ($4,100) – Foster is a competent goalkeeper and West Brom have impressed in large part to him this season. They’re eight in the league and have allowed just 34 goals all season. In his last two games against solid teams on the road, Foster put up eight and ten saves respectively. The floor is certainly there even if he concedes, and I don’t see another route in cash games, especially considering his price.

GPP Target – Eldin Jakupovic ($5,100) – Swansea are good enough to attack Hull City on the road but not great enough to score 3+ goals. Gylfi Sigurdsson will create chances and shoot from distance, leading Jakupovic to many save opportunities. If Hull were to keep a clean sheet at home, Jakupovic can pay off his expensive price tag of $5,100…[sociallocker id=110379]

Defender

Seamus Coleman ($6,300) – As much as I hate paying up for defenders, the position is weak on this slate. There aren’t many acceptable cheap options, and we may need to take a shot at some of these expensive defenders and save money elsewhere. If we ignore Coleman’s dreadful performance last week in a tough road matchup, he’s been stellar in recent games and has been involved in the attack just as much as he has been on defense. Tackles won and crosses and consistent, and the matchup should allow him to attack. If you can fit him in, he’s a solid option. If not, look for Martin Olsson, who is a bit cheaper and provides a similar floor.

Harry Maguire ($4,000) – You’ll likely need to pair Coleman or Olsson with a cheaper target. Harry Maguire has a fairly low floor, but the price is cheap and the matchup is solid. He contributes mainly through defensive stats and the occasional shot off corners, but the position is bad enough to warrant considering him. Alternatively, Andrew Roberson provides a bit of a safer floor but is more expensive and doesn’t have the upside of Maguire, who is more likely to score (don’t look for a goal here, they’re very rare, but I think the upside is worth noting).

Midfielders

Ryan Frazer ($5,600) – This Bournemouth – West Ham match is quietly shaping up to be the one to target on this slate. Both teams have been involved in some high scoring affairs this season and both lack defensive mindedness. West Ham have allowed 46 goals and Bournemouth have allowed 52, both top seven in the league. With Junior Stanislas continuing to miss games, Ryan Frazer is on corner kicks and certain set pieces. His poor performance last week was largely due to a very tough matchup, but this up tempo game should see him improve.  He is cash viable.

Manuel Lanzini ($6,900) – The price is increasing steadily and with good reason. Lanzini has transformed into a new player with the absence of Dimitri Payet and has taken goal-scoring responsibility seriously. He’s scored twice in his past three games and has put up four shots in each match to go along with a total of nine crosses.  The floor is admittedly not the best, but I think the upside he provides in a high scoring match is enough to consider him for cash games. However, he is still best used in tournaments. Teammate Robert Snodgrass is viable in all formats at a higher price.

Ross Barkley ($8,700) – Barkley is expensive, but on a slate without a ton of options, he is certainly viable in tournaments against a mediocre West Brom team. He averages over two shots and four crosses per 90 minutes and will likely split corners with Tom Cleverley. He is mainly a tournament option.

Forwards

Gylfi Sigurdsson ($11,000) – This slate starts and ends with Gylfi Sigurdsson. The star-forward’s price has skyrocketed to $11,000, but in cash games it’s really hard to find the safety to go elsewhere. Gylfi is on all set pieces and averages over three shots and seven crosses per match! That’s pretty incredible, and it could be even higher in this game due to having to face Hull City. What’s even more exciting is that game-script might be in Gylfi’s favor, as Hull City are actually favored in this match, and Gylfi might end up finding himself in a situation where’s he’s carrying Swansea back from a deficit. Use him as a building block in cash games, and target him in tournaments. It’s worth noting that there are very viable ways to build without Gylfi in tournaments with several solid mid-range options, so I wouldn’t lock him in tournaments like last week.  In tournaments, don’t be afraid to take a shot at teammate Luciano Narsingh.

Kamil Grosicki ($7,200) – Grosicki’s price keeps going higher and higher but he keeps producing. He now gets to face, believe it or not, the team that have allowed the most goals in the Premier League by a margin – Swansea City. That’s right, Swansea have allowed 59 goals, second to Hull City, who’ve allowed 53.  Grosicki has been splitting corners with Andrew Robertson and in what should be a heavily attacking match, he’ll get at least a few corners. This is shaping up to be a perfect scenario for him, and I expect him to be involved in a goal, which would make him a near lock to exceed value.

Tournament Strategy This game is expected to be low scoring and boring. With Everton being a bit overpriced considering the opposition, I’ll largely avoid exposure to both teams here, but I wouldn’t mind a few Romelu Lukaku and Ademola Lookman shares in tournaments. Certainly look to be underweight here. Instead, go overweight on Joshua King and Andy Carroll, who are expected to be in a high scoring match and are priced very reasonably.[/sociallocker]

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