EPL DFS Picks: The Final Day
Hello everyone! We have a fun last slate to end the season with ten matches on the board! There are a few matches that will be musts to target, so I’m going to approach this article differently than usual.
From the 20 teams in action, there only a select few who have something to play for. Others, like Liverpool, will likely rest the majority of their players for the upcoming Europa League final, meaning they’ll likely provide us with some value youngsters who are starting.
To summarize, these are the teams we should target for expensive players:
Manchester City – They need a result to make sure they finish in the top four and qualify for Champions League next season. Extremely easy matchup adds extra value.
Manchester United – Same exact situation as Manchester City, except that they are playing at home against Bournemouth.
West Ham United – Playing for a top six spot and are under pressure from Southampton.
Southampton – Need a win to try and catch West Ham for sixth spot.
Arsenal – Can finish second and I expect them to try and catch rivals Tottenham. The matchup is too sweet to ignore.
These five teams will the be the ones I target in cash games as they have something to play for and should put out their best XIs. Let’s look at some specific players to target:
David de Gea ($4,400) – de Gea is playing at home but I like his chances at a win and clean sheet. He is reasonably priced and I think he’s a safe bet for cash games. Other cash game options are Fraser Forster, Joe Hart, Petr Cech, or a punt play that may emerge. If Liverpool rests Mignolet, Danny Ward could be a punt at the goalkeeper position.
Dimitri Payet ($8,100) –“doubtful but not confirmed” Payet is extremely expensive but is worth the high price tag. Needing a win, Payet will likely be very active for West Ham and his crossing/set pieces set him up for a huge floor every week. His ceiling is also immense, making him very difficult to fade in cash games when combined with his ownership. He is the building block on this slate.
Kevin de Bruyne ($7,600) – de Bruyne is in the same situation as Payet. He is expensive but has a great floor and faces a must-win situation against a poor opponent. If enough values emerge, as I suspect they will, fitting both de Bruyne and Payet will become viable.
Olivier Giroud ($5,900) – Giroud gets the best matchup in the slate and should be expected to dominate. He has incentives to play well on a personal level as he gets ready for the Euros this summer and will surely be trying to impress his manager. He is a bit risky in cash games due to his low floor, but he is a fantastic GPP option.
The Manchester United Strikers – Whoever starts for Manchester United should be in consideration for GPPs. Manchester United will have to attack more than usual as they need a win at all costs and the home matchup against Bournemouth is great.
Alexis Sanchez ($7,500) – Sanchez is a prime cash game target, especially if you want to move away from Kevin de Bruyne. The matchup is ideal and I can’t see any reason not to use Sanchez. He has a decently high floor and the ceiling in this match is above 30 fantasy points.
Eden Hazard ($5,600) – Hazard has not been himself this season, but after getting benched and getting some much-needed rest, he has been a MONSTER in the past few games. He is drawing fouls at his regular rate again, creating chances, and scoring goals. He looks determined to show he can play once again, and Chelsea may want to showcase him ahead of a potential move this summer. He is a solid cash game option at a reasonable price, but I prefer him in tournaments.
James McClean ($5,200) – Not much to play for but his price has fallen and he loves crossing. Solid cash target if he starts.
Juan Mata ($5,200) – Has gotten better in the past few games and playing in a must win situation. He will be involved in the attack. Mainly a GPP target as his floor is very low.
You may have noticed that I didn’t include any defenders on the list. The reason for that is because the good defenders on teams who need to win are extremely overpriced. There will most likely be a lot of cheap values once lineups are announced, and we will cover those values in our alerts on Sunday morning. Matching up those values with guys like Payet, Sanchez, and de Bruyne is our recommended approach to cash games this week. If you do want to consider some more expensive defenders, you can look into:
Kyle Walker ($4,100) – One of the more reasonably priced guys playing on a team that probably doesn’t want to finish third. They will be going for the win.
Alberto Moreno ($4,500) – Crossing machine with a chance to get involved in a goal. Decent chance he doesn’t start, so make sure you check lineups.
Craig Dawson ($4,200) – Gets involved in the attack and could be facing a backup Liverpool squad.
This leads me to emphasize this once again. Liverpool will most likely rest their key players. This could lead to both cheap values from Liverpool and it increases the value of West Brom players who will be playing against weaker opposition. There may be value on both ends of the pitch in this one.
As far as value plays go, I prefer young players who get a chance to prove they can play. Their teams may not have a lot to play for, but young players get few chances at showcasing their skills and this could be one of them. I will cover cheap starting players once lineups are announced, and will make sure to send out alerts before kickoff.
Best of luck to everyone in the final week of Premier League action this season!