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EPL DFS Week 26: Chelsea
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I hope you guys enjoyed all the interleague slates in the past week and a half. Unfortunately, those slates are a bit too small to warrant content from me, but they’ve been a lot of fun and I encourage you to play them if you get the chance. This week, we have a fun six-game slate on DraftKings that revolves around the Chelsea game against Swansea, one that should be extremely one-sided. Let’s get to some plays!

Goalkeeper

There are two main choices in cash games here, and that’s Vito Mannone ($3,700) and Lukasz Fabianski ($3,600). If I had to choose, I would go with Vito Mannone, mostly due to the fact that Everton are not nearly as good as Chelsea and are not as likely to score four or five goals. However, both goalkeepers should see plenty of action in front of their goal on Saturday and the upside is equivalent. In cash games, I may end up splitting the same lineup with both of these goalkeeper options just to hedge, and I will almost certainly split them in GPPs. With Chelsea and Everton both having good chances at clean sheet, Thibaut Courtois and Joel Robles are viable in tournaments, especially on a slate that lacks expensive options in attack and midfield.

NOTE: Vito Mannone could be benched if Jordan Pickford returns from injury. Pickford is an even better option if he ends up starting over Mannone.

Defenders

Seamus Coleman ($6,000) – Coleman is an option in tournaments on a week that features only three players on the slate at $9,000 or more. Goals will have to come from somewhere, and Coleman can get involved in the attack in what is a great matchup against Sunderland. He also does enough of everything else to where he’s worthy of consideration in cash games if you really wanted to spend up.  Primary tournament option and secondary cash option.

Jose Holebas ($4,500) – Another great tournament option, Holebas has a tendency to get involved in the attack out of Watford’s back-field. Almost on an every game basis, Holebas finds a way to put a shot on target and will get a few tackles and interceptions to bring his floor to about four to five points. The goal or assist upside is really why you’re playing him in tournaments, but the secondary stats are a good plus.

Fabio ($4,400) – I don’t like the fact that Fabio is playing on the road but he has a fairly consistent floor and I don’t mind using him in cash games at just $4,400.  On this slate, I think spending that amount in cash games is very acceptable and he is one of the most solid options in that range. Andrew Robertson is another option who is just a bit cheaper and cash viable.

Midfielders

Eden Hazard ($9,400) – This position starts and ends with Eden Hazard. Hazard is the most expensive midfielder on the slate but has really struggled of late. He’s gone over ten points in just one of his last seven games, despite some of them being relatively good matchup. The biggest decision on the slate will be whether to play him or not, but without any other premier option, I don’t see how you fade Hazard against Swansea. I hope the ugly game-log prevents people from playing him, and I’d be happy with a GPP ownership of 40% or less.

Robbie Brady ($5,300) – I tweeted earlier that Robbie Brady as a chalk option is pretty much my nightmare. I don’t really like Robbie Brady, and I don’t think he’s that good of a player. However, at $5,300 against Hull City, it’d be stupid for me to ignore him. He is on set-pieces, at least some, and will find a way to meet the price-tag

Kamil Grosicki ($5,900) – Grosicki is the other set-piece taker in this match, and he should have the majority of them with Evandro ruled out. Grosicki’s set pieces give him a great shot at a solid floor through crosses, and we saw him end with six and seven points against Arsenal and Liverpool, respectively. Hull City didn’t get the chance to attack often against those two teams, so I’m expecting more opportunities for crosses and shots against Burnley. I think Grosicki is a solid cash game target.  At the same price, you could pivot for Chris Brunt, who’s upside is likely a bit higher.  Andros Townsend can also be considered.

Alfred N’Diaye ($3,600) – I hate the price on Alfred N’Diaye. I think he would be a really easy fade if he were around $4,500 or $5,000, but at just $3,600 you HAVE to consider him. The issue with N’Diaye is that his floor is probably around four fantasy points, which isn’t great for a midfield spot, and chasing the goal he scored two games ago is probably not ideal, but I wouldn’t blame you if you played him in cash games.  I’ll likely try to avoid in cash, but will have a GPP sprinkle.

Forwards

Diego Costa ($10,100)/Romelu Lukaku ($9,000)– Similarly to Hazard, this position is all about Diego Costa, although he’s got a counter-part to him here. Costa and Lukaku are both at 63% or better chance to score, and they’ll be heavily popular choices on this slate. Both face extremely bad teams and both play at home, which is a huge boost in shots and goals. I expect both to be fairly high owned, even in cash games, and I’m debating on whether to play both. Diego Costa is by far the better choice in my opinion, but both carry insane upsides.

M’Baye Niang ($5,800) – Niang’s price hasn’t adjusted as much as it should after some impressive performances so far. He scored and assisted against Burnley, and didn’t look horrible against Manchester United and Arsenal, although you really can’t blame him for failing to produce against those two power houses. In tournaments, Niang is a great option.

Tournament Options: Christian Benteke, Salomon Rondon, Mauro Zarate (also cash viable).

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