EPL DFS Week 28 Picks: X Spots the Marc
Welcome to our EPL DFS Week 28 picks! We have two half-slates this week, one on Tuesday and one on Wednesday, but they present us with some quality contests over on DraftKings and I’m here to get you prepared for them. This article will cover Tuesday’s slate of five matches, which are:
#1 Norwich vs. Chelsea
#2 Sunderland vs. Crystal Palace
#3 Aston Villa vs. Everton
#4 Bournemouth vs. Southampton
#5 Leicester vs. West Brom
The biggest favorite here is Leicester City, who play a home match against West Brom. Leicester just grinded out a very tough 1-0 home win over Norwich but I expect a more dominating performance in this one. The rest of the matches are fairly even, with Chelsea and Everton having advantages over weaker oppositions, but both playing on the road. Let’s get to the picks. The write-up will be a bit shorter this week due to the congested schedule, so more time can be spent on research.
The Top Choice – Kasper Schmeichel ($4,400) – Schmeichel is the most expensive goalkeeper by $300 but gets the best matchup by a mile. A home match versus West Brom is extremely winnable and the safety of getting a win gives Schmeichel a nice floor. There are arguments to be made about both Thibaut Courtois and Joel Robles in cash games, but if you can afford it, just go with Schmeichel in the home match. If you have a size-able upgrade elsewhere for $300, don’t be afraid to use Robles or Courtois.
The GPP Play – Vito Mannone ($3,700) – The Sunderland goalkeeper has broken double digits just once this season but he gets a home match against Crystal Palace and a win or a clean sheet is not out of the question. This is one of the best matchups they’ve had in recent weeks, and the sports books actually like Sunderland this week more than any recent time I can remember. There is obviously a lot of risk here, and you shouldn’t be playing Mannone in cash games, but he is worth a GPP punt.
The Top Choice – Christian Fuchs ($4,800) – I recommended Fuchs last week and he finished on a strong 15 fantasy points. The Leicester City defender sends in enough crosses to be a viable cash target and on a week with no great midfield and striker options, he is worth spending up on once again. He should be extremely high owned and there are alternatives in GPPs, but he can be considered a safe play in cash games.
The Next Best – Patrick van Aanholt ($4,200) – Patrick van Aanholt has put together a series of unimpressive matches but his last four have been: @WHU, vs MU, @LIV, vs MCI. Those are all teams that like to attack a lot and van Aanholt hasn’t had the change to go up himself. He now gets Crystal Palace at home, and should have all the opportunities needed for a monster day. He has both a great floor and upside and is worth considering in cash games.
The Value Play – Bryan Oviedo ($2,400) – Bryan Oviedo is a crossing machine when Everton are on the attack and I expected to spend the majority of time in attack today against Aston Villa, despite the away matchup. Oviedo is great cover for Everton, who could potentially blow-out Aston Villa.
Defender Notes: Baba Rahman’s price went up too much but he can be considered in cash games if his price fits perfectly in your lineups. He is more of a secondary cash play on a “if-needed” basis. Charlie Daniels gets a home matchup and can be considered in cash and GPP. He gets an above average number of goals and assists for a defender, making him an everyday GPP option. The home match is friendly enough to get him into cash consideration. Leandro Bacuna can be considered as well but his price has risen and I’d prefer van Aanholt or Daniels.
The Cash Game Play – Marc Albrighton ($6,500) – Albrighton’s price has risen but he is facing another great matchup at home and we expect the crosses to keep flowing. Albrighton was what kept Leicester in the game last match and he is going to be a major part of their attack once again. Use him with confidence in cash games, but don’t be afraid to fade in GPPs, where there are a number of great midfield options.
The Value Play – Wahbi Khazri ($4,200) – Khazri is just $4,200 and has had three fantastic weeks in a row. He is a great player playing on a bad team and has the ball at his feet more than most players. He will have all the opportunity in the world to meet value, and he will be highly used in cash games. He is a strong cash game play.
The Mid-Range – Matt Ritchie ($5,900) – Ritchie has been a very consistent performer and he has registered at least double digit points in his last four matches, even though he played 45 minutes in one. With Junior Stanislas sidelined, Ritchie will more than likely be on corner-kick duty and the home match against Southampton gives him an extra boost. He is an extremely solid cash-game play.
Another One – Yannick Bolasie ($5,000) – I had Bolasie written up last week and he ended up not starting. I’m hoping that changes this week. Bolasie played 45 minutes on Saturday and should be fit enough to feature from the start in this one. The matchup is right for him to put up once of his dominating performances with a lot of crosses and shots, and he is perfectly safe for cash games. If he doesn’t start, Yohan Cabaye gets a boost and would be a good cash game option. Cabaye is a GPP option regardless of Bolasie’s status.
Midfielder Notes – Willian didn’t meet value last week and he gets another away matchup here. He is too expensive for cash games and can be avoided. He can be considered in GPPs. Riyad Mahrez is in the same situation. Ross Barkley is a great GPP option and can be considered in cash, but his price is a bit steep for what he provides in terms of floor.
The Top Play – Jamie Vardy ($7,700) – Jamie Vardy didn’t meet value last time around but he played a fair match and that’s not all that surprising with a striker that is so goal dependent. His is once again a risky cash game option, and this time it may not be worth spending up for him with the number of great midfielder available in the mid-range. If I can afford Vardy, I’ll get him in, but he is probably a much better GPP options than a cash game option this time around.
The Mid-Range – Jermain Defoe ($4,700) – Defoe is cheap enough to be considered in cash games due to the lack of extremely cheap options this week. He gets a nice matchup against Crystal Palace and is playing at home. He is far from a must in cash, but he is an option at an acceptable price range. Also a great GPP play.
The Cash Play – Gerard Deulofeu ($5,400) – If Deulofeu starts, he is a fine cash game option against a very poor Aston Villa squad. Everton could end up blowing out Villa, making them a scary fade in cash games. Deulofeu will provide that partial cover if he starts at an acceptable price, so you don’t have to spend up for Romelu Lukaku.
Forward Notes: Romelu Lukaku is as good of a GPP play as there is on this slate but once again, a bit too expensive for cash games. There are a number of cheap forwards worth GPP punts, the best of which being Joshua King, Benik Afobe, and Connor Wickham (depending on who starts). Both have great upsides at a low price. Diego Costa can be considered in GPPs as well but should be 100% avoided in cash games and he could be rested in this match.