The weekend is almost here so we’re getting ready to prepare for another Premier League slate as we enter EPL DFS Week 29. It’s certainly a fun one with a few good teams on the slate and a couple of matchups that could go either way. The slate on DraftKings sets up nicely and features a 685 entry $27 tournament as well as a 4,705 entry $3 GPP. Let’s look at some of the plays and how to attack this slate.
Lee Grant ($4,000) – With DFS soccer moving towards cheap goalkeepers, we have two options this week. As always, they’re volatile, but so is your $6,000 goalkeeper, so save the money and spend it somewhere more reliable. Grant faces Chelsea, who tend to force opposing goalkeepers to a lot of saves, and that gives him upside and a certain level of safety. There is always the possibility of Chelsea scoring 3+ goals, but even then Grant should be able to get enough saves to grind to a positive score. He is a primary cash game target.
Eldin Jakupovic ($3,900) – Hull City concede the third most shots in the league, only after Burnley and Sunderland. They are traveling this week and get Everton, who will attack for the majority of the game and will find a way to get shots on target. This is a very similar situation to Lee Grant’s, so don’t be afraid to split the two in cash games. I’ll certainly be splitting them in most of my exposure, both cash and GPP…[sociallocker id=110379]
Stephen Kingsley ($3,400) – Kingsley has been named the replacement for Martin Olsson, who will miss out on Saturday. Kingsley has shown us this season that he’s got what it takes to produce fantasy points and the matchup here is good for getting Kingsley involved in the attack. If Swansea are to go down early, there could be big opportunities for Kingsley to send in crosses and the occasional shot. He will also produce in the defensive categories, making him a viable cash target.
Seamus Coleman ($6,100) – Coleman is likely the best option at the position if we ignore price. He is quite expensive, but the floor he provides is tremendous for a defender. The matchup is prime, and Coleman should spend all day attacking. He crosses often and creates chances, which combine to produce a great floor/ceiling combination. Coleman is useable in all formats if you can fit him.
Jose Holebas ($4,200) – Holebas takes some corners and somehow finds himself in crossing position on regular basis. He’s also shown he can get assists and goals, which is big for a defender at $4,200. There is a good mixture of floor and upside here to make Holebas into a tournament and cash game target.
Gylfi Sigurdsson ($11,200) – we discussed Gylfi a lot last week and he’s in a similar situation again. Even at the high price, he is a near must in cash games due to his floor. In a game where Swansea might go down early, Gylfi will likely have to lead a comeback, which often results in a lot of crosses and shots. There is upside too, as just one goal from Sigurdsson propels him into GPP winning scores. Overall, I am treating Gylfi just like last week. He’s a cash game log and a strong tournament consideration.
Ross Barkley ($8,500) – Ross Barkley has a larger floor than people give him credit for. He’s failed to get double digit points just once in his past ten matches and has a nice mixture of shots and crosses that propel him into a nice floor. There is also the scoring and assist upside, as Everton face the horrible Hull City and Barkley has a 2/1 shot at scoring. With values popping up elsewhere, it’s viable to go with Gylfi and Barley in cash games and save elsewhere, but it’s not the only route and Barkley is certainly not a must.
Ryan Fraser ($6,100) – Fraser continues to rack up points from crosses and corners and is best when facing weak opposition. He faces Swansea this week, at home, and Bournemouth will get plenty of chances to attack. I don’t see a way around Fraser in cash games, and he’s a great tournament target this week in a game where Bournemouth could score 3+ goals.
Tournament Targets: Eden Hazard, Manuel Lanzini, Andros Townsend, Robert Snodgrass
Joshua King ($6,200) – Joshua King has been on fire in the past few weeks and has shown flashes of brilliance as Bournemouth center their attack through him. Bournemouth are at a 3/1 chance to score 3+ goals, and King will surely get his chances. With the amount of shots he takes, he isn’t the worst cash game at target at $6,200 in a matchup against one of the worst defenses in the league. He’ll likely be chalk, and with good reason.
Jermain Defoe ($6,000) – Defoe is a solid tournament target as his price has fallen to just $6,000. The Sunderland forward is prone to very binary outcomes and is very dependent on scoring, but if there ever is a week to score, this is it – at home to Burnley. The binary nature of Defoe makes him only tournament viable, but his upside is as big as it gets for someone at $6,000. I will be extremely overweight in tournaments.
Diego Costa ($10,200) / Romelu Lukaku ($9,600) – Both forwards carry huge upsides in positive matchups. We’ve seen Costa score in three of his last four, but he isn’t really at value with just one goals. The chances of Costa scoring two on the road are not as good, but it’s certainly within the realm of possibilities against Stoke and he is worthy of some tournament exposure. Lukaku gets a much better matchup, mainly because he’s at home, and will be very highly owned. I’ll likely be underweight on Lukaku as I like the rest of the options at the forward position since they’re much cheaper and carry similar upside, but Lukaku is certainly viable and has hat-trick upside.
Good luck this weekend everyone![/sociallocker]