EPL DFS Week 3 Picks: Sergio Romero
It’s hard to believe that we’re already getting ready for week three of the Premier League. It’s been quite the interesting start to the season this time around and we’ve seen our fair share of upsets and surprises. On top of that, we’re getting some cool new names coming into the league that will provide for some extra excitement in the comings weeks.
I’ll once again be covering the DFS Saturday slate for DraftKings, and I’ll include plays for the early game in case you’re playing the early slate on top of the regular 10 am one. Let’s get started.
The Top Choice – Sergio Romero – ($5,700) – The Manchester United stopper is once again the best choice for the weekend. He’s playing Newcastle at home, who only registered four shots last weekend when they visited Swansea. I expect the four shots to go up if Newcastle can keep all eleven players on the pitch this time around, but Romero’s still listed at 48% chance of a Win to Nil. Part of the reason the sportsbooks like Manchester United so much in this one is probably because they only surrendered 7.9 shots per game at home last season, and Newcastle isn’t likely to go over that number. It’s just too good of a situation to pass up.
The Next Best Thing – Alex McCarthy – ($5,100) – I talked about Home Field Advantage in a column earlier this week and it shouldn’t be a surprise to you that I’m favoring another home team here. Crystal Palace face Aston Villa, who despite being a decent counter-attacking team, don’t really pose a huge threat to anyone. McCarthy’s been solid for Palace and he’s got the second best chance at a clean sheet this weekend. I’m very confident that Palace will win, so even if they concede a goal, that’s still seven bonus points for McCarthy, giving them a fairly safe floor if the game goes as expected.
The Value Play – Darren Randolph – ($3,000) – Darren Randolph is expected to start for the suspended Adrian and comes at a low price of $3,000. West Ham looked solid defensively in three of their four halves this season and looked much better once Pedro Obiang came on for Reece Oxford last weekend. On top of that, Bournemouth haven’t scored a single goal yet in the Premier League – fire up Randolph at will, especially in GPPs. He’ll also allow you to stack attacking talent in some of the expected high-scoring games this week.
Building Blocks – Cresswell ($5,600) and Carl Jenkinson ($5,300) – You can’t go wrong with either one of these. They were both extremely involved in the attack last week and have a good chance at a clean sheet. They have a safe floor with the amount of crosses they send in and have a huge ceiling with a clean sheet opportunity and a chance at someone getting in on the end of their crosses.
The Bargain – Pape Souare ($3,200) – Souare was great in week one against Norwich when he picked up an assist and was solid in the second week against a tough Arsenal opponent. He gets to face Aston Villa now and is still cheap, making him a good choice in both GPPs and cash games.
Others I like – Joel Ward, Steven Whittaker, Danny Rose, Kyle Naughton.
The Stud – Riyah Mahrez – ($7,900) – Mahrez has been a monster in the first two weeks and just cannot be ignored right now. In the first two games, he has a combined 10 shots, 6 shots on target, 7 crosses, and 7 fouls drawn that would combine for over 14 points per game! That’s great value and he is the top option for this weekend. Marc Albrighton is also a good option at a cheaper price.
The Newcomer – Dimitri Payet – ($7,500) – Payet was determined in trying to bring back West Ham when they went down 2-0 to Leicester last weekend and he was a force. He scored one goal and set up teammates for a number of misses, and I expect him to dominate Bournemouth on Saturday. Bournemouth will try to defend, so the Hammers will need Payet’s creativity and go through him a lot. One of the highest floors this week amongst all players.
The Bargain – Xjerdan Shaqiri – $3,500 – Make sure that Shaqiri starts on Saturday before you slot him in, but at this price, the value is unbeatable. The midfielder is fantastic and can earn points in multiple ways. He loves to shoot from distance and that means easy points on DraftKings.
The Midrange Value – Yohan Cabaye – $6,000 – He’s been great in the first two weeks and faces Aston Villa at home. He’s on free-kick duty as well and has produced double-digit points in both games so far. He likes to shoot and cross and that generally means a safe floor. The matchup is too sweet for him to be ignored. Wilfried Zaha is also an option from here, but his value isn’t as high in my opinion.
Others to Consider
Gylfi Sigurdsson – He’s played well and has eight shots in the first two games. His floor is high enough that he won’t kill you in either cash or GPP games. The same exact goes for Christian Eriksen.
Juan Mata – Early game option if you want shares of Manchester United. I think he’s much more likely to be involved in a goal than Januzaj.
Midrange Value – Bafetimbi Gomis – ($6,900) – Even after two great weeks, Gomis’ price is still pretty low. The striker has been fantastic so far this season and has caused both Chelsea and Newcastle problems. He’s scored in both games, is on penalty duty, and faces Sunderland! Sunderland allowed a high 13.9 shots per game at home last season, but what worries me is that Swansea weren’t a great road team at just 10.1 shots per game on the road last year. The hope here is that they were good towards the end of last season and in game one at Stamford Bridge, and that Sunderland is bad enough to make it easy for them to score. I don’t think this will be a blowout, but I’d be surprised if Swansea don’t score, and Gomis has a great chance to be involved.
High End Option – Memphis – ($8,400) – Memphis has been brilliant for Manchester United so far. He scored two games in midweek but was just good in the Premier League and was simply unlucky in the first two matches. I think he’s the top forward choice if you’re playing the early slate.
A GPP Only Play – Harry Kane – ($10, 500) – Kane is expensive and he hasn’t scored in the first two matches, but I think this game will be a lot more open than either one of the first two and Kane should excel in that situation. He hasn’t really been bad so far in real life, just in fantasy, but I think that could end Saturday. I wouldn’t trust him in cash games, but in GPPS, I need at least a few shares.
The Hot Foot – Vardy/Okazaki – Jamie Vardy and Shinji Okazaki have both been really good so far this season and they get Tottenham at home this week. Spurs haven’t been overly impressive and are certainly breakable, and Leicester’s form should help them get two goals in. Vardy and Okazaki are both good options.
That’s it for me today. Good luck to everyone this weekend!