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2/19 NBA DFS: Rocket To The Sun

2/19 NBA DFS: Rocket To The Sun
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – February 19 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is FanDuel

Top Plays:

Russell Westbrook (OKC) edges out Stephen Curry (GS) by a couple of projected points in our model today. On FanDuel, where the two are priced the same, we’d opt for Westbrook as a result in cash games. However, both are better served for use in tournaments where you can chase their high ceilings and ignore one or two of the studs at other positions who we view as better per dollar cash game options (James Harden most notably). Both possess fairly neutral matchups this evening.

Next in line:

Damian Lillard (POR) – Similar to the top options, Lillard is more of a secondary cash game value and a better target for tournaments. Matchups against Golden State are always a bit volatile due to a combination of blowout potential, pace, and strong defensive efficiency. The results can be a bit binary at times. For example, if Lillard is able to play an efficient game despite Golden Stat’s strong defense, there’s a ton of profit potential as the pace of the game will result in meaningfully more opportunities for such a high volume player, and an efficient game from Lillard correlates to a more competitive game. On the flip side, if Lillard struggles with his efficiency, the score is more likely to be lopsided, leaving him with less than expected per minute production and minutes played.

Value Plays:

A 14-game slate combined with the recent trade deadline has resulted in a plethora of DFS options for this evening. As a result, we’ll try to take a more all-encompassing approach in today’s analysis. If spending up at point guard in cash games, the option we like the most is Kyle Lowry (TOR), who is neck and neck with Lillard in overall expected production, but he comes at a lower price point and with a higher floor. Lowry routinely plays 36-plus minutes and will take on a Bulls team that is middle of the pack in defensive efficiency against point guards and surprisingly 11th in pace.

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