Going All In: Big K On the Mound
Anyone else ready for these 6:10 games to end? Toss in a weather concern or two, and this scheduling really messes with lineup building. The good thing is that good ol’ Cy Young boy Clayton Kershaw doesn’t have to worry about time or weather tonight… and yep, he’ll lead things off.
As a reminder, the focus of the “Going All In” piece each week is finding the high priced DFS players that are worth your time. I’ll give you the best “hand” of five players that make it worthwhile for you to push in your chips (prices used from FantasyAces.com).
Don’t forget about the Friday qualifier for the Fantasy Aces $250k World Baseball Championship live in Angels Stadium.
Clayton Kershaw ($7,750) – This is about the highest you’ll ever see a player on FantasyAces, but Kershaw is often worth it. The Giants have a mediocre team AVG, ISO and wOBA, and they’re tied for the third-fewest runs scored (61) and have the sixth worst HR/FB rate. Kershaw hasn’t dominated yet this year, but he does have 35 Ks in 24.1 IP, which includes a 12-K outing against the Rockies. Tonight looks to be a great opportunity for Kershaw to put up a big game.
Andre McCutchen ($5,350) – Speaking of someone who needs to break out, Cutch has been very quiet this year, hitting just .175 with a .302 SLG%. And as with Kershaw, tonight is a good chance for the breakout to happen. Travis Wood is pitching for the Cubs, and he is much more susceptible to righties the last three years: .254 versus .209 AVG, .425/.335 SLG% and gives up a home run every 29.4 ABs versus every 42.6 against lefties. McCutchen is also better against lefties those three years with a .357/.311 AVG, .622/.513 SLG% and 18.5 ABs per homer instead of 23.6 versus righties.
Corey Dickerson ($5,500) – Talk about splits! Dickerson is worlds better against righties. Not only did he hit .328 against them last year and just .253 against lefties, but his SLG% was nearly 200 points higher (.606/.418). As you would expect, you can see that in his AB/HR ratio, which was 16.4 for righties and 30.3 for lefties. While Dickerson has a good average against lefties this year, the power distribution carried over, and the SLG% split is .679/.417 and all five home runs have come off righties.
Joey Votto ($5,450) – Votto will look to break out of his four-game slump/hitless streak, and as with everyone so far, the splits point to it being likely. Votto has always hit righties better, and this year mimics the previous three-year splits. Votto is hitting .315 against righties and just .278 against lefties, and all six of his home runs are off righties. The past three years Votto held a .323/.269 AVG split. Kyle Lohse is a righty and has a 7.94 ERA so far with five homers already allowed.
Kris Bryant ($4,950) – This is actually a non-split play, as Bryant actually hasn’t hit lefties well… yet. So far, Bryant is 1-for-7 (very small sample) against lefties, but he’s been great overall, hitting .351 with a .459 SLG%… without going deep yet! Yep, Bryant has a .937 OPS with zero home runs… hold on to your hats for Bryant’s season. Locke doesn’t give up a lot of home runs, but we don’t care much with Bryant, as he is actually underpriced in comparison to other stars.