Going All In – Buying Gold And Trying To ‘Sale’ You On A Pitcher
This week, our high-priced options include some hot hitters and a pitcher who actually has been struggling. The pitcher may surprise you, but all of these players are good bets tonight.
As a reminder, the focus of the “Going All In” piece each week is finding the high priced DFS players that are worth your time. I’ll give you the best “hand” of five players that make it worthwhile for you to push in your chips (prices used from FantasyAces.com).
Don’t forget about the Friday qualifier for the Fantasy Aces $250k World Baseball Championship live in Angels Stadium.
Chris Sale ($7,500) – You need to pony up for Sale, even though he hasn’t been very Sale-like. And sure, the Brewers are playing better of late, but Stephen Strasburg is struggling much more (talked about here) and there is a decent drop-off in pitching today. Sale still has 26 strikeouts in 27.1 IP, and the Brewers still have a K% of 21.8 over the last two weeks (tied for seventh highest) and third highest SwStr%. It’s tough to swallow this price given Sale’s season so far, but he’s set up to rebound tonight.
Bryce Harper ($5,850) – Rubby De La Rosa looked good last time out, but he’s still a mediocre pitcher and a pitcher with a lifetime HR/9 of 1.11. That’s actually up to 1.46 this year with 17.8 at-bats per home run to lefties this year. Chase Field is also above average for allowing home runs at 110 to lefties (StatCorner park factors – even is 100). Harper is on a five-game hit streak with five homers… but none in the past two games. He has 10 of his 11 homers off righties, good for 8.4 AB per HR, so look for Harper to get off the schneid (tongue-in-cheek “schneid” of course).
Michael Brantley ($5,400) – Shh, don’t tell anyone, but Brantley has a 10-game hitting streak going. I say “shh” because no one seems to be talking about Brantley and his .340 AVG or .931 OPS. Over the past three years, Brantley has hit righties better to the tune of a .309 AVG and .462 SLG% versus .284/.384 against lefties. Brantley isn’t a big power guy, but his AB/HR drops from 93.3 to 38.6. That’s a huge difference. Lance Lynn is a quality pitcher, but he has a semi-high WHIP of 1.27 and over 30 percent of his allowed hits are doubles (meaning he’s giving up quality contact).
Neil Walker ($4,850) – Not super high priced, but Walker isn’t cheap either. No matter what, he’s a great play today. Walker is hitting just .125 against lefties this year and will even sit out against them as a result (only .252 the last three years), but he’s hitting a cool .316 with nine doubles, two homers and 12 RBI off righties this year. He faces Sean O’Sullivan, who has a 4.91 ERA, 2.45 HR/9 (career 1.60) and a low 5.7 K/9. Walker won’t be the only Pirates player you want tonight.
Paul Goldschmidt ($6,000) – That’s a big price and hard to pick with how it might restrict your lineup. However, Goldschmidt is on fire this year, hitting .342 with a .640 SLG%, and he already has nine home runs and six stolen bases. On top of that, Strasburg is struggling as mentioned, and his changeup is getting crushed. Oh, and while I’ll probably get yelled at for this (and yes, it’s a rather small sample), Goldy is hitting .417 off Strasburg. Okay, even I don’t like referencing that too much, as it’s only 12 ABs, but it does show that Goldschmidt isn’t scared off by Strasburg.