Going All In: Padres And Rockies Big Money Again
Cubs. Kris Bryant. Addison Russell. Cubbies!!! No, we are not talking Cubs today, even though everyone else probably is. There are some tasty matchups for tonight, and some of the biggest names are primed to give you the biggest returns.
As a reminder, the focus of the “Going All In” piece each week is finding the high-priced studs that are worth your time. I’ll give you the best “hand” of five players that make it worthwhile for you to push in your chips (prices used from FantasyAces.com).
Don’t forget about the Friday qualifier for the Fantasy Aces $250k World Baseball Championship live in Angels Stadium.
Francisco Liriano ($6,950) – Liriano has maintained his DFS appeal thanks to high IP counts and strikeout totals. FantasyAces gives a small boost to IP with 1.5 points instead of 1.0, and a win is just 3.0 points. So, while wins are still important, finding a pitcher who will go deep and strike out a good amount is key. Liriano is one of the best IP values today and should notch seven-plus strikeouts given the Cubs lineup. As for the win, it leans to Liriano given Travis Wood is on the mound for the Cubs. So, there really isn’t much not to like here.
Michael Brantley ($5,000) – Brantley is honestly a bit of a value thanks to his early-season injury. Hector Noesi is a favorable matchup for several Indians hitters (hint, hint). Brantley hit .337 off righties last year with 27.1 at-bats per home run versus 41.0 AB/HR against lefties. Noesi has a weak SOBB (StrikeOut percentage minus Base on Balls percentage), which presents plenty of opportunity for Brantley to notch hits and runs today.
Giancarlo Stanton ($5,750) – While Stanton does hit lefties better, he still hits a home run every 15 ABs against righties. Not too shabby. Jerome Williams is already giving up 2.45 HR/9 and last year was the first time since 2004 that it dropped under 1.00, but that included 26 appearances where he didn’t start. Basically, when Williams is a starter, he’s going to give up a good amount of hits and be a great bet to allow a long ball… or two. If anyone is going to knock one out (and put up a couple ribbies while at it) it’s Stanton.
Matt Kemp ($5,150) – Kemp is a great player, but while he is just really good against righties, he’s great against lefties. The last three years have seen Kemp hit .311 with a .912 OPS against lefties, which includes 19.3 AB/HR instead of 23.9 AB/HR versus righties. Plus, this game is in Colorado and against Tyler Matzek – not exactly a pitcher you worry about.
Troy Tulowitzki ($5,650) – This Padres-Rockies game has the highest Over/Under of the day at 10.0. That’s huge. Tulo is home, as mentioned, and his AB/HR improves from 19.8 on the road to 15.7 at home over the last three years. Tulowitzki is a monster when healthy, and he’s 100 percent right now. That 1.046 OPS at home in the same span should have you running to your lineup and plugging Tulo in.