Going ‘All In’
Daily Fantasy is bigger than ever, and that means you can find tips, player suggestions, values, etc. in numerous places. Truly, there is no reason for you not to do well in DFS, especially if you follow all of the advice here on DailyRoto.com. However, very few sites or people will tell you the options you want to spend on. It’s all about value, matchups and being underpriced. Well, sometimes, you want to pony up that money for an elite option. Each day, there are several high-priced options worth the money because the elite production warrants it. Just look at the Rockies with Tory Tulowitzki, Nolan Arenado and Corey Dickerson on Opening Day, or even Hanley Ramirez. Of course, this too isn’t perfect – nothing is, especially in baseball DFS (thanks Brewers) – but finding those few who warrant the high price can often help you turn a solid lineup into a great one.
This will be the focus of the “Going All In” piece each week. I’ll give you the best “hand” of five Daily Fantasy Baseball players that make it worthwhile for you to push in your chips (prices used from FantasyAces.com).
Giancarlo Stanton ($5,850) – We know Stanton is as good as they come, but he’s even better against lefties. While I like Alex Wood quite a bit for 2015, Stanton’s average went from .274 to .343 with a near 100-point jump in SLG% (.536/.630) when facing lefties last year. On top of that, Stanton hit .310 at home compared to .265 on the road with a .635 SLG% at home and .474 on the road. Yes, Stanton will be worth every dollar today.
Carlos Gomez ($5,200) – Many are probably bitter after yesterday’s outing where Gomez should have raked. Don’t ignore him today out of spite, as Gomez is still one of the best options. Jordan Lyles is another weak opponent for Gomez, and over the past three seasons, Gomez carries a .887 OPS at home compared to .760 on the road. That’s thanks to his .535 SLG% at home, which is just .438 on the road. Even without Braun in the lineup, Gomez is still a good option.
Chris Davis ($4,650) – Truthfully, Davis isn’t even that expensive given the power potential he always has. The Orioles face Nate Karns, and don’t feel bad if you don’t know who that is. That should happen quite often with the Rays staff this year, but the good news is that Karns wasn’t even that good in Triple-A (5.08 ERA). Davis crushes righties, as over the last three seasons Davis has 83 home runs against them, compared to 29 off lefties. His AVG/SLG/OPS against lefties is just .228/.461/.743 but jumps way up to .266/.550/.907 when facing righties. Oh, and what do you know, Davis also does much better at home: .922 OPS compared to .801 on the road.
Corey Dickerson ($5,000) – Fantasy players will often shy away from hitters after they had a big game the day prior. Don’t fret with Dickerson, as he can easily start the 2015 season with two big games. The Brewers-Rockies game has the highest O/U in Vegas (8.0), and Dickerson hits righties significantly better than lefties (see: Kyle Lohse yesterday). Dickerson hit .328 with a .985 OPS against righties last year with 21 of his 24 homers coming off them. Listen to Vegas and believe in Dickerson’s ability against righties… and ignore the price.
Zack Greinke ($7,150) – With Wood facing a righty-heavy lineup, Mat Latos not looking 100 percent in Spring Training and the rest of the slate of pitchers being mediocre (Lance Lynn and Jesse Hahn are decent, and Jake Arrieta is a solid but not great matchup play), Greinke is pretty much a “must” for your lineup. The Padres lineup is 10 times more impressive than it was last year, but Greinke is just outside of that top tier of pitching and has been quite dominant with the Dodgers. On top of that, Greinke has ERAs of 2.11 and 2.55 at home the past two seasons while holding hitters to a .207 and .221 AVG. On the road it jumps (albeit not much) to 3.21 and 2.86 with .263 and .271 averages. You have to get Greinke in your lineup today.