MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 1st, 2015 – Ike Davis is a DFS Value Play
Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: No major concerns. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Buster Posey (SF) – Posey is our top catcher play today due to his absurd skills against LHP. When you look at wRC+, which is park adjusted, only Jose Abreu and Paul Goldschmidt have a better mark since 2012. It’s particularly impressive that Posey has posted a .251 ISO against southpaws in that time frame given that his home park is a huge drain on power numbers. Posey will square off against CJ Wilson today. Wilson has allowed a .327 wOBA and 22 LD rate to RHBs since 2012, and he’s currently being hit hard as no other pitcher this season has allowed a higher exit velocity (speed of the ball off the bat) than Wilson’s 96.93 mph. With all this said, the gap between Posey and the value plays isn’t massive. San Francisco is the worst hitter’s park and this game has a very low total of 7, heavily pushing 6.5. I’d prefer my exposure to Posey to come on a site like FanDuel where walks and simply not making outs are of a lot more importance than on a site like DraftKings (no negatives for outs, walks are valued less than a single).
Stephen Vogt (OAK) – Vogt ends up on our value list quite often as the catcher list immediately gets shrunk when removing guys outside of the top five or six lineup spots from cash game consideration. Vogt is in a money lineup spot, hitting third for the Athletics against RHP. The matchup really can’t get much better either. He gets a big park shift in his favor and will face Colby Lewis who has allowed a .358 wOBA and 1.26 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. The Athletics team total will likely settle in at a healthy 4.5.