Daily Fantasy Rundown – January 10 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and“TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.
*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.
**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.
Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is FanDuel
Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Westbrook is the top projected Fantasy scorer in this slate, but the opportunity cost at the point guard position is high. We certainly like the matchup (Portland is ranked 20th in defensive efficiency against point guards) and Westbrook’s value threshold is sitting at around 50 Fantasy points (fair relative to his average DFS performance), but the high opportunity cost at the position makes him less necessary in cash games depending on the site. On a looser pricing site like FanDuel, it’s easy to roster Westbrook in cash games alongside James Harden and a high priced small forward. On that particular site, we think Westbrook merits cash game consideration. It’ll be a bit more difficult to fit Westbrook in cash games on a tight pricing site like DraftKings, where we prefer him in tournaments.
Next in line:
Damian Lillard (POR) – At the point guard position, there’s only one other point guard that projects to score more Fantasy points than Lillard (Russell Westbrook). Lillard’s threshold on FanDuel sits at 40.6 Fantasy points; he’s averaging 39.5 FanDuel points this season. The matchup is a favorable one for Lillard. Oklahoma City is ranked 22nd in defensive efficiency against point guards, and they’re getting burned threes (ranked 29th in three point defensive efficiency against point guards). Lillard will also be playing up in pace (Oklahoma City is ranked 10th in pace; Portland is ranked 20th), which could afford him a few extra opportunities. Lillard’s high usage ways in this matchup makes him a viable option across all formats, but like Westbrook, we don’t view him as a core play.