DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN – January 11 NBA DFS PICKS AND ANALYSIS
Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and“TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.
*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.
**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.
Short Slate Disclaimer:
For those experiencing our content for the first time, the game-by-game preview format is used for short slates. Nights when the schedule typically ranges from two to four games we refer to as a short slate and that will result in heavy overlap around the industry. The more overlap there is, the smaller the margin for error and the more variance that is introduced into your results. We understand the excitement associated with the start of the NBA season, but we’d recommend approaching this slate with some caution. We recommend playing a smaller percentage than your typical night or sitting out the slate altogether. On a short slate, there are fewer errors for your opponents to make and thus less room for a skill advantage to come to fruition.
This is a great slate to take shots at tournaments. The two teams with elevated totals are in blowout scenarios, and one of those teams (San Antonio) usually likes to rest players in back-to back situations when they’re facing an inferior team. The risks associated with this slate make cash game construction very difficult, so we suggest that you play tournaments or take the night off.
San Antonio Spurs at Brooklyn Nets
Line: Brooklyn +14.5
Pace rankings: San Antonio 26th, Brooklyn 18th
Total team defensive efficiency: San Antonio 1st, Brooklyn 21st
Defensive efficiency ranks by position
Against point guards: San Antonio 2nd, Brooklyn 25th
Against shooting guards: San Antonio 1st, Brooklyn 24th
Against small forwards: San Antonio 1st, Brooklyn 25th
Against power forwards: San Antonio 1st, Brooklyn 23rd
Against centers: San Antonio 4th, Brooklyn 19th
Rebounding rate rank: San Antonio 2nd, Brooklyn 12th
Turnover ratio (from least to most): San Antonio 13th, Brooklyn 19th
Kawhi Leonard (SAS) – If you’re playing this slate, you’re likely taking some unusual risks in cash games. For instance, you’re going to have exposure to the highest team totals (San Antonio and Golden State) in this reduced slate, but that’ll come with plenty of blowout risk. The risk is likely higher with San Antonio players this evening. The Spurs are playing their first game of a back-to-back tilt, and they’re on the road. Given the fact that this is an older roster, head coach Gregg Popovich usually rests his starters when games get out of hand (this is particularly the case when the Spurs play back to back games). There’s very little question that tonight’s game will end up in a blowout, as the Spurs are favored by 14.5 points against a much inferior team that just fired their head coach and general manager. If taking a shot at a Spurs player in cash games or tournaments, let that player be Kawhi Leonard.