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1/17 NBA DFS: Fear The Beard

1/17 NBA DFS: Fear The Beard
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – January 17 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” andTheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is FanDuel

Top Play:

Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Westbrook is the top projected scorer in DFS this evening, but we’d rather have exposure to him via tournaments. This matchup isn’t particularly appealing for Westbrook. Miami’s transition defense is very strong (ranked in the top quartile in transition defense), and as a whole, they’re a tough defensive team (ranked sixth in overall team defensive efficiency) that plays at a very slow pace (ranked 29th in pace). Westbrook is a player that can overcome even the most difficult matchups due to his elite skills and opportunities, but elevated opportunity cost at the point guard position combined with a high price makes him a better target in tournament formats. On our featured site for point guards (FanDuel, a looser pricing site), Westbrook’s price point alone makes him a viable cash game target.

Value Play:

Tony Parker (SAS) – Parker’s opportunities have surged as of late, as he’s accumulated 18 and 19 field goal attempts in his last two games respectively (29.7 percent usage rate). If he’s able to be the primary option in this Spurs offense yet again this evening, Parker should be able to reach his threshold of 30 Fantasy points around the industry. Dallas has struggled to defend the point guard position (ranked 25th in defensive efficiency) more than any other position except power forward (ranked 26th in defensive efficiency) this season. There’s blowout risk in this game (11.5 point spread), but San Antonio doesn’t play again until Thursday, and the matchup is appealing from an efficiency standpoint for Parker. We’re pursuing cheaper options at the position in cash games, but Parker is the one mid-tier point guard that deserves consideration in both cash and tournament games.

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