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1/22 NBA DFS: Ain’t Nothing But An SG Thang

1/22 NBA DFS: Ain’t Nothing But An SG Thang
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – January 22 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is DraftKings

Top Play:

Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Westbrook and Stephen Curry (GS) are neck and neck in projected value, but we’ll give the cash game lean Westbrook’s way since he’s more likely to participate in a competitive game. Westbrook’s Thunder are six point road favorites while Curry’s Warriors are 13 point home favorites. We’re prioritizing James Harden as the stud to pay up for, but on a night with lots of value arising from injury situations, it may also be possible to squeeze in a top flight point guard. Westbrook has a slightly positive matchup and is priced to hit value on DraftKings where his value threshold (50.4) is 2.5 points less than his average DraftKings game (52.9). He’s a safe stud to use if struggling to figure out where to pay up.

Value Plays:

Jeremy Lin (CHA) – Lin is a strong cash game candidate at a mid-low priced salary on most sites, including on DraftKings where he’s $5,100 (18.4 percent discount). The team is short handed in general, but with Nicolas Batum out Lin should see plenty of playing time as both the back up point guard and starting shooting guard. In five games that Batum has missed this season, Lin has played 36.5 minutes with seeing a 10 percent increase in his usage rate. Even if we’re more conservative on the expected minutes, Lin should hit most value thresholds in just 30 minutes. If backup shooting guard Jeremy lamb (questionable) is also rules out, Lin becomes a very, very safe option. In that scenario we would be expecting around 36 minutes of playing time.

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