Daily Fantasy Rundown – January 25 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.
*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.
**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.
Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is FanDuel
Stephen Curry (GS) – From a raw total perspective, Curry doesn’t have much competition at the point guard position. Most projection systems fairly put him at least five points above the rest of the competition. It’s certainly a difficult macro matchup for the Warriors, as the Spurs least the NBA in team defensive efficiency, allowing 5.4 points less per 100 possessions than the next closest team (Boston). They are so good that the gap between them and Boston is the same as the gap between Boston Minnesota (ranked 20th). Furthermore, the Spurs are second in defensive efficiency against point guards, including first over their last 10 games. With all that said, the reduced efficiency we expect Curry to face is made up for one of the most competitive home games the Warriors will have all season. The line is just 5.5, and that should result in Curry playing over 35 minutes rather than under. He’s an elite tournament option as a result, but there are too many other studs at other positions we’re prioritizing in cash games (James Harden, Anthony Davis, DeMarcus Cousins, LeBron James are all better cash plays).
Next in line:
Rajon Rondo (SAC) – Rondo has an absurd 50.5 assist rate over his last 20 games and is a triple double threat any game. The matchup against Charlotte is probably a bit better than it appears on paper. The team is thin, and their defensive efficiency is waning recently. We often see players in this position (need to carry the team offensively) see their defense fall off, and if Nicolas Batum is once again out, we could see that happening with Kemba Walker. The price on Rondo is pretty adequate, so we wouldn’t consider him a primary value play at a position you may want to save some money at, but he’s got a ceiling that’s worth chasing in tournaments.