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7/10 MLB DFS: Listen to this Ranger

7/10 MLB DFS: Listen to this Ranger
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – July 10th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather:  Only games to watch weather wise are in COL and KC.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

The Play:

Derek Norris (SD) – Norris has many of the contextual factors we look for in a hitter. He has a very wide platoon split (.368 wOBA/.187 ISO against LHP, .289 wOBA, .133 ISO against RHP since 2012), is getting a big upgrade in park environment, hits in a great lineup spot (typically second), and is facing a pitcher that is vulnerable to his platoon advantage. Wandy Rodriguez has allowed a 30.8 percent hard hit rate and 1.15 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. The .318 wOBA allowed is average, but helped in large part by a .285 BABIP against. Given the very high hard hit rate allowed, we view Rodriguez’s baseline skills closer to a .335-.340 wOBA allowed. Norris also comes with a very affordable price tag around the industry. He represents not only our highest rated catcher in our model, but our best value at the position. He’s your primary target in cash games.

Additional catcher notes: After Norris, things get murkier. Coors Field is the logical target, but we’re unclear on the Rockies starter and Shelby Miller isn’t an ideal matchup for Wilin Rosario or Nick Hundley. If A.J. Pierzynski (ATL) lands a good lineup spot against a weak RHP, he’d represent a fine play; but the price tag is adjusted appropriately on most sites. Yasmani Grandal (LAD) is a fine option now that he’s hitting more consistently in premier lineup spots. Unfortunately, like Pierzynski, there isn’t any discount in the price tag. Wilson Ramos (WAS) is the catcher I’m most likely to pursue after Norris. The price is fair and he’s getting a big park shift in his favor in Camden Yards. Chris Tillman is the likely Orioles starter (not announced officially as of this writing) and Tillman has been very homer prone to RHBs (.321 wOBA, 1.45 HR/9 allowed since 2012). Ramos isn’t a great hitter against RHP (.311 wOBA since 2012) but a .169 ISO in that span highlights the power potential.  Matt Wieters (BAL) and Russell Martin (TOR) are compelling tournament plays. Wieters has crushed LHP (.367 wOBA, .227 ISO since 2012) but faces a quality lefty in Gio Gonzalez. The price is right around the industry but Norris is a substantially stronger play, so I’m more likely to pursue Wieters in tournaments. Martin is a good hitter against lefties (.341 wOBA, .171 ISO) and the Blue Jays are truly elite against LHP, but they get a tough park shift and a good Royals bullpen behind middling starter Danny Duffy. With elevated price points, the Jays are a better team to attack in tournaments and Martin fits that mold.

First Base

Top Play:

Prince Fielder (TEX) – First base is another position where Coors Field exposure won’t take priority. The next best hitting environment of the evening is in Arlington where the Rangers-Padres game has a total of nine. Fielder will face Ian Kennedy who has allowed a .335 wOBA and 1.43 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. He’s been very homer prone despite pitching in favorable environments the past few seasons and now he has to pitch in a park that inflates home runs 3-5 percent above the league average. Fielder has posted a .392 wOBA and .196 ISO against RHP since 2012 and hits in the middle of a lineup that projects well against RHP (Choo, Hamilton, Beltre, and Moreland all project as above average hitters against RHP). With a reasonable price point around the industry, Fielder represents the strongest buy at the first base position.

Next in line: Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) and Albert Pujols (LAA) get below average lefties in below average hitting environments.  Both rank inside our Top 15-20 overall hitters. Encarnacion has a better price point than Pujols around the industry so he’s a slightly stronger play. Joey Votto (CIN) ranks just behind those two as his power profile is downgraded in Marlins Park, but the on base skills are really strong. On FanDuel, he’s priced down and worthy of cash game consideration. Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) is a little behind him. Jimmy Nelson is really vulnerable to LH power and Gonzalez fits that mold. His price is a bit less favorable than the options above so he’s more viable in tournament stacks or mini-stacks.

Value Plays:

Eric Hosmer (KC) – Hosmer rarely cracks our list of preferred options. He hits in a tough park and his power is below average for his position. He owns a modest .331 wOBA and .149 ISO against RHP since 2012. He’s been a bit better this year (.357 wOBA, .160 ISO against RHP) but the power still lags many other options. The matchup with Marco Estrada (1.42 HR/9 allowed to LHBs since 2012) gives some power hope and the price tag is really favorable around the industry. With a lot of difficult price points or matchups on high end first basemen, Hosmer is a viable way to get some salary relief at the position. He ranks within our Top 35 hitters overall.

Carlos Santana/Brandon Moss (CLE) – Kendall Graveman has been vulnerable to LHBs in his brief major league career. He’s allowed a .320 wOBA and 32.1 percent hard hit rate and he’s struck out just 11.8 percent of LHBs faced. The Indians have shaken up their lineup of late and at times pushed Santana and Moss down in the lineup. Santana has the better chance of garnering a Top Five spot, which we prefer in cash games, but both rank well in our model. They’re more secondary value plays with the uncertainty around the lineup spot.

Additional first base notes: David Ortiz (BOS) ranks well in our model any time he’s facing a RHP. I’m not aiming to pick on Pineda in cash games, but as a tournament option I think there is some appeal given Ortiz’s historical dominance against RHP and reasonable price point around the industry.

Second Base

Value Plays:

Jace Peterson (ATL) – One of the challenges in producing today’s content is the mystery starting pitcher situation in Colorado. We don’t know who is going to start but if it’s a RHP, Peterson will once again represent a strong value. He’s not a good hitter (.285 wOBA, .095 ISO against RHP as a big leaguer) but the leadoff spot in Coors Field is exceptionally valuable. The expected plate appearances are over five per game and trend towards six for the road team. His value would get a huge boost if Michael McKenry were behind the plate as his stolen base probability would increase substantially.

Danny Espinosa (WAS) – Espinosa has been hitting second lately which is a really nice spot for value (right in front of Bryce Harper). He gets a positive park shift and faces a RHP that is very homer prone. Espinosa isn’t a good hitter from the left side (.278 wOBA, .143 ISO since 2012) but he has some pop and if he faces a lefty (often brought in to face Harper late), his value is boosted significantly (.344 wOBA, .165 ISO against LHP). He’s cheap enough that you can absorb some of the performance risk against RHP and hopefully garner the lineup spot and park shift benefits.

Jedd Gyorko (SD) – Last time the Padres faced a LHP, Gyorko hit fifth. If we get that lineup spot again tonight, I’d push Gyorko ahead of Espinosa in these rankings. Gyorko has shown some promise against LHP (.336 wOBA, .184 ISO since 2012), especially with the power, and he’s hovering around a minimum price point around the industry. The matchup with Wandy Rodriguez is favorable and the park shift is huge. The lineup spot will ultimately dictate the strength in his value. Without accounting for lineup spot, he ranks inside our Top 40 overall hitters.

Additional second base notes: D.J. LeMahieu (COL) is a secondary value if he hits second simply based on Coors Field and the lineup spot. Nothing about the individual matchup with Shelby Miller is particularly strong. Rougned Odor (TEX) would emerge as a strong value play if he were back at the top of the order. Since Delino Deshields has returned, he’s been hitting low in the order. We like his power upside against Ian Kennedy and the price point would represent a discount with a good lineup spot. Steve Pearce (BAL) has second base eligibility on DraftKings and has compiled a .381 wOBA and .239 ISO against LHP since 2012. Gio Gonzalez isn’t someone we want to actively target but if Pearce gets a good lineup spot, he’s worthy of value consideration at that tag. Brian Dozier (MIN) is one of the few expensive options I’d consider in tournaments. His power plays well in Minnesota and Justin Verlander has really struggled early on. I’d only utilize Dozier as part of a Twins stack or mini-stack.

Shortstop

Top Play:

Troy Tulowitzki (COL) – Shelby Miller has been great against RHBs in his career (.270 wOBA, 0.75 HR/9 allowed) but some of the peripherals don’t add up. He’s allowed a 31.6 percent hard hit rate but hitters have posted just a .244 BABIP. Our system thinks he’s a good pitcher against righties but not a great one. In Coors Field, this means Tulowitzki is very much in play against Miller. Tulowitzki is a very good hitter against RHP (.386 wOBA, .204 ISO) and the price point is reasonable around the industry. He ranks inside our Top 10 overall hitters and given the positional scarcity, he makes for a compelling spend.

Value Play:

Francisco Lindor (CLE) – Each site might have a value shortstop that is a bit better than Lindor, but he’s the one that most consistently pops up as a value around the industry. He’s not a good hitter (ZiPS projects just a .284 wOBA and .110 ISO against RHP) but he’s a switch hitter with a premium lineup spot. The price tag is the primary motivation behind investing in Lindor. He’s hovering around the minimum on most sites and represents the best industry wide salary relief at the position.

Additional shortstop notes: Andrelton Simmons (ATL) and Ian Desmond (WAS) rank as the next best shortstop options in our model after Tulowitzki. The challenge is lineup positioning. Simmons typically hits eighth and Desmond has move all over. Desmond’s price is more consistently discounted if he’s able to earn a good lineup spot. He’s historically hit RHP well (.328 wOBA, .177 ISO since 2012) and Chris Tillman has been very homer prone to RHBs (1.45 HR/9 since 2012). Simmons price point is more volatile around the industry since he’s playing in Coors Field. If he’s priced way down (FanDuel), he’s viable despite the poor lineup spot. If he’s priced up, I’d only consider him in tournaments.  Jose Reyes (TOR) falls in pricing limbo on most sites. Yes, we like the Jays offense against LHP and getting the leadoff hitter is a fine strategy when priced reasonably, but Tulowitzki isn’t far away and we’d rather have Coors exposure if spending at the position. As a result, he’s more interesting as a part of Jays’ stacks or mini-stacks.

Third Base

Top Plays:

Nolan Arenado (COL) – Arenado has blossomed as we had hoped coming into the season. He’s converted a lot of those fly balls into homers and he’s maintained the great contact rates. He’s destroyed RHP this season (.349 ISO, .406 wOBA) but those aren’t realistic expectations going forward. In Coors Field, we think he’s closer to a .350-.360 wOBA and .200-.210 ISO as a baseline. As noted above, Shelby Miller isn’t a great pitcher to target but Coors Field has a way of getting into the bullpen early and the Braves have arguably the worst bullpen in baseball.

Josh Donaldson (TOR) – Donaldson gets to face a lefty which automatically earns him top play consideration. He’s destroyed lefties in his career (.418 wOBA, .303 ISO since 2012) and has done much of that damage in bad hitting environments. Danny Duffy has demonstrated weak kills against RHBs (.321 wOBA, 31.3 hard hit rate, and 11 percent BB Rate). The Royals bullpen behind him is very good which presents late game risk to his projection. Donaldson and Arenado rank nearly identical in our model, but I’m leaning towards Arenado as the better play due to scoring environment.

Value Play:

Adrian Beltre (TEX) – We’ve noted Beltre’s 2015 performance is giving our system some challenges. He’s historically hit RHP very well (.370 wOBA, .193 ISO since 2012) but has fallen off a cliff this season (.269 wOBA, .101 ISO). The hard hit rate against RHP is still adequate (30 percent, career average is 32.6 percent). He hits in the middle of a lineup with an implied run total approaching five and comes with a discounted price point on most sites. I wouldn’t spend full price on Beltre in cash games, but on sites like FanDuel where the discount is there, I think he’s an asset worth investing in.

Additional third base notes: On DraftKings, Kelly Johnson (ATL) is an elite value play if the Rockies toss an opposing RHP out there. If they throw a LHP and Chris Johnson (ATL) earns a strong lineup spot, he’d represent a solid value play. Juan Uribe (ATL) is a bit overpriced so I’d only consider him in tournaments.  Manny Machado (BAL), Todd Frazier (CIN), Miguel Sano (MIN), and Trevor Plouffe (MIN) are all strong tournament options. We like the Twins option as part of a contrarian stack or mini-stack while Frazier is a fine stand-alone play because of his power profile. Will Middlebrooks (SD) is an interesting tournament play. He’s very cheap and has shown power against LHP (.189 ISO). He won’t get a good lineup spot so the ownership percentages should be low.

Outfield

Top Plays:

Bryce Harper (WAS) – Harper is the top overall outfield option. He gets a huge park shift for power and faces an extreme fly ball pitcher. The price tag on Harper is appropriately elevated and he’s lost some of his value with the supporting cast weakening around him, but the home run score really stands out. I’m more likely to have exposure to Harper in tournaments than cash games.

Carlos Gonzalez/Charlie Blackmon (COL) – Much like his performance against RHBs, Shelby Miller‘s peripherals against LHBs are a bit perplexing. He’s allowed a ridiculous 35.4 percent hard hit rate but again only allowed a .288 BABIP. As a result the .316 wOBA looks pretty good against lefties but we’re skeptical of it moving forward. Add in Coors Field where BABIP is historically inflated due to the big gaps and you can see why we’re not hesitant to pick on Miller. Gonzalez has historically been the better hitter against RHP (.389 wOBA, .255 ISO) but Blackmon is skilled as well (.355 wOBA, .164 ISO). Typically the cleanup spot holds more DFS value than the leadoff spot but in Coors Field it’s neutralized a bit more by the value of each extra plate appearance. On most sites, Gonzalez comes with the better price point, so I’m more likely to invest in him, but the two are similar options in my mind.

Value Plays:

Justin Upton (SD) – Upton has been dealing with an oblique issue that kept him out of Wednesday’s lineup. Due to the oblique issue I want to be price sensitive when investing in Upton. He ranks inside our Top Five hitters overall, but I think we need to weight the potential injury issue carefully. Upton has always crushed LHP (.378 wOBA, .228 ISO since 2012) and he’s getting a huge park shift in his favor against a LHP we view as below average. The price tag on FanDuel ($2,700) is way too cheap but on DraftKings he’s more appropriately priced ($4,600). I’ll take the discount on FanDuel as a priority when building cash game lineups while I’m more likely to deploy him in tournaments on sites where he’s fairly priced.

Shin Soo Choo/Josh Hamilton (TEX) – We want some exposure to Ian Kennedy‘s power woes against LHBs and both Choo and Hamilton come at reasonable price points around the industry. As noted in the Fielder recommendation, Kennedy has allowed 1.43 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. Choo (.391 wOBA, .198 ISO) and Hamilton (.356 wOBA, .229 ISO) have both hit RHP very well since 2012. We’re looking at an implied run total approaching five for the Rangers and the price points are more affordable than the bats in Coors Field. Both Hamilton and Choo rank inside our Top 30 overall hitters and are strong cash game targets in the outfield.

Kelly Johnson (ATL) – Kelly Johnson isn’t an elite hitter against RHP (.311 wOBA) but he does have power (.169 ISO). He’s been hitting cleanup of late and comes with a very affordable price point around the industry. We still don’t know who the Rockies intend to start but if it is a RHP, Johnson will represent one of the stronger values around the industry.

Additional outfield notes: Nelson Cruz (SEA) is way too cheap on FanDuel. It’s a site specific value but he’s one I’d aim to get into my cash game lineups. He’s always crushed LHP (.414 wOBA, .262 ISO since 2012) and Hector Santiago is very homer prone to RHBs (1.44 HR/9 since 2012). On DraftKings, Clint Robinson (WAS) is the site specific value to target. He’s priced at just $2,700 and will likely hit fourth or fifth against Chris Tillman in Camden Yards. Robinson hasn’t been much of a hitter (.312 wOBA, .146 ISO) at the big league level but the lineup spot, park shift, and price tag all make him a solid option for salary relief. He’s not a necessity by any means but if you want to spend big on pitching, he’s your relief option. If Michael Taylor (WAS) leads off against Chris Tillman, I’d also consider him an intriguing play on DraftKings.  Joc Pederson (LAD) gets another favorable matchup against homer prone Jimmy Nelson (.360 wOBA, 1.36 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012). Pederson has been a bit all or nothing of late and the matchup with Nelson should foster that. Relative to the other options on FanDuel, he’s not a particularly strong value but the price tag on DraftKings is enticing. Cameron Maybin (ATL) is a great tournament play. The price tag is excessive for cash games, but the upside with his power-speed combination in Coors Field is strong. I also don’t mind Matt Kemp (SD) in tournaments. He historically hit LHP really well and gets a good lineup spot in Arlington. He’s looked like a different hitter this season so I won’t pay for him in cash games but the Padres are an interesting tournament stack.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier One

1) Madison Bumgarner (SF)

Tier Two

2) Gerrit Cole (PIT)

3) Cole Hamels (PHI)

4) Lance Lynn (STL)

Tier Three

5) Noah Syndergaard (NYM)

6) Danny Salazar (CLE)

Tier Four

7) Collin McHugh (HOU)

8) Michael Pineda (NYY)

9) Mike Bolsinger (LAD)

10) Clay Buchholz (BOS)

Tier Five

11) Hector Santiago (LAA)

12) Erasmo Ramirez (TB)

13) Gio Gonzalez (WAS)

Top Play:

Madison Bumgarner (SF) – At first glance, the starting pitching options are deep on Friday and I expected a deep first tier, but our model rates Bumgarner well ahead of all the other candidates. The Phillies rank middle of the pack against LHP (16th in wRC+, slightly below average K Rate against LHP) but they’re getting a big park shift against them. Despite their results against LHP to this point in the season, they project well below the league average offensively against LHP. Bumgarner is among the heavier favorites on the slate (-165) in a game with a total of just six. The run prevention should be elite and our projection for Bumgarner leaves him with the second highest K Rate of the evening. He rates clearly ahead of the other top end starters in our model and is worthy of his own tier.

Next in line:

Gerrit Cole (PIT)/Lance Lynn (STL) – Both the Pirates (Marte) and Cardinals (Holliday and Adams) are depleted offensively at the moment which makes the matchup quite favorable for both starters in this game. Add in a plus umpire behind the plate and both sides of this pitching duel jump into our second tier. Cole rates a bit higher in our model as he’s the more skilled pitcher, but the price tags around the industry reflect the gap in skill. When factoring in price, I think the two rank closely enough that you can essentially let remaining funds or price points guide you. If Lynn is priced substantially below Cole, he’ll earn the nod. If they’re priced closely together, Cole would earn the recommendation. UPDATE: The total has now moved down to six in this game.

Value Play:

Noah Syndergaard (NYM) – The Diamondbacks are a league average offense overall against RHP. They rank 16th in wRC+ against RHP and possess just two every day LHBs in the lineup. Syndergaard has flashed dominant peripherals against RHBs (29.4 K Rate, 3.2 BB Rate, 48.8 GB Rate, and just a 26.5 percent hard hit rate) and comes with a reasonable price point around the industry. If you’re dipping down for value, Syndergaard represents the best option. He’s a -145 favorite in a game with just a 6.5 total.

Additional starting pitcher notes: Danny Salazar (CLE) is someone we love in DFS because of the strikeout upside but he falls down our list of preferences due to a tough matchup against an A’s offense that ranks seventh in wRC+ against RHP and has the third lowest K Rate against RHP this season (17.6 percent). The fourth tier contains a lot of intriguing tournament plays. Michael Pineda (NYY) and Clay Buchholz (BOS) square off in a good hitting environment. They both have pitched well all season long and come with price points that will fuel very low ownership. Collin McHugh (HOU) gets a positive park shift and a favorable matchup against the Rays. I was hoping for a better price point but that should also help fuel lower ownership. I think he’s a stronger tournament play than either Buchholz and comparable with Pineda. Mike Bolsinger (LAD) is the best of the cheap starters. He’s dominated RHBs (.305 wOBA, 52.1 GB Rate, and 24 percent K Rate) and the Brewers are primarily a RH heavy offense. The risk with Bolsinger is he hasn’t worked deep into games the Dodgers bullpen is very rested after Kershaw and Greinke combined for 17 innings the last two nights. In addition, the opportunity cost at SP appears high with the depth of options we have. He’s cash game viable on multiple SP sites. Hector Santiago (LAA) and Erasmo Ramirez (TB) have some tournament appeal. Santiago gets a lefty heavy Mariners offense in a great park for his fly ball tendencies. He’s a bit overpriced given his run prevention has outperformed his peripherals so significantly (2.40 ERA vs. 4.46 xFIP). Ramirez gets the Astros strikeout prone offense in a great park environment. He’s so cheap that he’s worthy of consideration in tournaments.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Colorado Rockies

2) Atlanta Braves

3) Texas Rangers

The Angels, Rockies, and Red Sox have the highest implied run totals along with the Rangers. The Dodgers just come with friendlier price tags that make them more viable for cash games than some of the stack options below. These are the four offenses you’ve primarily read about in the content today.

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) San Diego Padres

2) Toronto Blue Jays

3) Baltimore Orioles

4) Washington Nationals

5) Minnesota Twins

The Padres sort of bounce between the top section and the secondary stacks because it depends on the site and the pricing on Justin Upton. If Upton is priced well you can mini-stack Upton and Norris in cash games and then add on Kemp, Gyorko, or other spare parts in tournaments. They get the big park shift and the very RH heavy offense gets a matchup against a below average lefty. Add in a DH that they’re not typically priced for having and you’re getting an extra bat to turn the lineup over largely not accounted for in pricing.

The Blue Jays are so dominant against LHP that they will make one of the two sections any time they face a lefty. The Royals dominant bullpen and a tough hitting environment push them into the contrarian section on Friday.

Baltimore and Washington are very similar stacks in my opinion. The talent of the Orioles lineup mitigates the difference in the skill level of the two pitchers and the price points on both offenses are investable. I’m more likely to mini-stack the Orioles and full stack the Nationals if deploying in tournaments. The Nationals have enough cheap bats to allow expensive pitching with a stack while the Orioles have a few strong RHBs I see worth using as a mini-stack (Machado, Jones, Pearce, and Wieters) but come with frothier price tags.

The Twins are an interesting stack. They’re not a particularly strong offense against RHP but Vegas is giving an implied run total around 4.5 runs. This is a strong indication that they believe Verlander is a disaster and the Tigers bullpen behind him won’t help them limit scoring. I tend to agree. I won’t use many Twins in cash games because of poor splits against RHP, but they have a lot of power even against RHP.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.

WSH at BLT 7:05: Dry. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid-70s. Air density is an 8. Wind west at 3-6 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

STL at PIT 7:05: Dry. Temps in the low 70s falling into the upper 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind northwest 4-8 mph becoming nearly calm. The wind blows out to left-center in the beginning of the game. The wind is a 6 becoming a 5.

NYY at BOS 7:10: Dry. Temps in the mid-70s falling into the low 70s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-southwest becoming northwest 5-10 mph. The wind first blows out to right and then blows from left to right. The wind is a 6 becoming a 5.

OAK at CLE 7:10: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 70s falling into the upper 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind east-northeast 4-8 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

AZ at NYM 7:10: Dry. Temps near 80 falling into the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind nearly calm. The wind is a 5.

CIN at MIA 7:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed.

HOU at TB 7:10: Dome.

SD at TEX 8:05: Dry. Temps in the low 90s falling into the mid-80s. Air density is a 9 becoming an 8. Wind southeast 8-16 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 3.

TOR at KC 8:10: Strong to severe thunderstorms possible. This is not a steady shield of rain so unless something extreme happens (like last week’s tornado warning during the game which they ended up cancelling) they should be able to play. Temps generally in the mid to upper 70s. Air density is an 8. Wind southeast 10-20 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

DET at MIN 8:10: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 80s falling into the mid to upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind south-southeast 8-16 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6.

ATL at COL 8:10: Less active than the last 3 nights but there will still be some thunderstorms around. Because they played the last 3 nights, they should be able to play tonight as well. Would put the chance of a cancellation rather low (10%) with a 30% chance of delays. No one is using pitching anyways so this game is not a huge concern to me. Temps near 80 falling to near 70. Air density is a 10. Wind southwest 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7.

LAA at SEA 10:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind southwest 6-12 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.

MIL at LAD 10:10: Dry. Temps in the low 70s falling into the mid-60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-southwest 10-20 mph which blows out to right. The wind is an 8.

PHL at SF 10:15: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 60s falling into the lower 60s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind west 10-20 mph which blows out to center. The wind is an 8.

MLB Daily Analysis

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