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7/11 MLB DFS: A Brave value for a Rockie slate

7/11 MLB DFS: A Brave value for a Rockie slate
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – July 11th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather: Three games with small weather concerns today, all in the early slate. Games in KC, MIN and CHC at least deserve to be watched. Great hitting environment in COL with minimal delay concerns.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Afternoon Slate:

The Plays:

Michael McKenry (COL)/Ryan Lavarnway (ATL) – I expect we’ll see both backup catchers get the start for an afternoon game following a night game. McKenry has legit skills as a hitter. He’s compiled a .333 wOBA and .185 ISO against RHP in 531 plate appearances since 2012. Matt Wisler looks like one of the weaker starters on the slate and he’s backed up by a very weak bullpen. McKenry is our preferred target, if confirmed in the lineup, and projects exceptionally well in our model (Top 25 overall hitter). Lavernway is simply the cheaper alternative and I’m more certain of his playing time on Saturday. Jorge de la Rosa is really tough on LHBs and Pierzynski has caught back-to-back night games. Lavernway comes with a pure punt tag on most sites and gets you exposure to Coors Field. There isn’t much opportunity cost at the catcher position for the early slate, so we just want to target cheap exposure to the best hitting environment of the slate.

Evening Slate:

Top Play:

Buster Posey (SF) – Posey is the top catching option in the evening slate but he comes with an elevated price tag. David Buchanan has allowed a .370 wOBA and 1.26 HR/9 to RHBs as a big leaguer. He’s backed up by an awful and overworked Phillies pen. Without elite pitching to spend on, it’s possible to afford Posey in cash games. He ranks inside our Top 35 overall hitters.

Value Plays:

Wilson Ramos (WAS) – Ramos has been bumped to the cleanup spot with all of the Nationals injuries and he gets the benefit of a big park boost on Saturday. He’s facing Miguel Gonzalez who has allowed a 1.63 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. As we noted yesterday, Ramos isn’t an elite hitter against RHP (.311 wOBA) but he has demonstrated power (.169 ISO). Like the matchup with Chris Tillman, Miguel Gonzalez is a bit boom-or-bust because of his fly ball tendencies. The power upside, in this instance, is worth the potential zero. With a friendly price tag around the industry, Ramos is our favored value play of the evening slate.

Matt Wieters (BAL)/ Derek Norris (SD) – Norris and Wieters rank slightly behind Ramos in our rankings and our priced similarly. Wieters faces the best opposing starter of this group but as a switch hitter maintains the platoon advantage throughout the game. Like Ramos, he’s struggled overall against RHP (.304 wOBA) but has shown intriguing power (.172 ISO). Norris is the worst hitter of this group, but gets a premier lineup spot and faces the weakest starter. Colby Lewis is competent against RHBs (.322 wOBA) but still surrenders a lot of power (1.32 HR/9 since 2012). I’m more likely to play Wieters above Norris based on skills, but the model views them similarly.

Additional catcher notes: Salvador Perez (KC) has a nice matchup against Mark Buehrle but he’s on the all-day slate which is unlikely to command much interest and I’d still rather have Coors Field exposure ahead of him.  Alex Avila (DET) is another solid catcher option given his history of success against RHP (.341 wOBA, .166 ISO since 2012) and a solid matchup with suddenly contact prone Phil Hughes. I wish he was on the evening slate but up against Coors Field, he falls short. Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) is an interesting tournament option on the evening slate. Brandon Beachy was terrible in AAA (14.5 K Rate, 11.8 BB Rate) and the Brewers offense is strong enough as a whole to earn tournament consideration. Lucroy would represent a fine part of a stack or mini-stack in the evening slate.

First Base

The Play:

David Ortiz (BOS) – It’s oddly not a great day for first basemen. Some of the best first basemen in the league are in tough matchups or below average hitting environments. Ortiz is the lone elite option that possesses a plus matchup for his skill set and gets it in a favorable hitting environment. Ortiz owns a .408 wOBA and .280 ISO against RHP since 2012 and has been great against RHP again this year. Ivan Nova has flashed intriguing skills at different points in his career, but the overall performance shows vulnerability to LHBs. He’s allowed a .336 wOBA and 34.5 percent hard hit rate against LHBs since 2012. Outside of Coors Field, the Red Sox should settle in as the highest implied run total of the day and Ortiz represents an affordable entry point to their best hitter. On all day slates or evening only slates, he’s our primary target for cash games.

Additional first base notes: Oddly, first base is easier to tackle in the notes section given the split slates. For the afternoon slate, Jose Abreu (CHW) and Joey Votto (CIN) are the best overall options but the emphasis on high end starting pitching may force you down in price. Given Abreu is facing a very good LHP in Jon Lester and Votto is facing a left on left matchup (albeit against a rookie), its fine to drop down in salary to fill the position. On FanDuel, the price tags for Votto and Abreu are affordable but on DraftKings, they’re more challenging. If you’re dropping down further for salary relief, the primary target for the afternoon slate will be Ben Paulsen (COL). He should hit fifth or sixth against a below average RHP and the opportunity cost at the position isn’t as substantial on a shorter slate. Victor Martinez (DET) sort of falls in between Votto/Abreu and Paulsen both in ranking and price point. He’s a fine option as well, I just find myself gravitating towards either end of that spectrum rather than settling on Martinez in the middle. For the evening slate, your focus should be on Ortiz. However, there are plenty of good tournament options (I expect Ortiz will have a very high ownership given the shape of the slate). Adam Lind (MIL) and Mark Teixeira (NYY) are my two favorite power upside plays that come with more expensive tags. I’d play Teixeira above Lind given the gap in scoring environment but think they’re both strong tournament plays. Brandon Belt (SF) and Carlos Santana (CLE) are the cheaper tournament options that might come with slightly elevated ownership rates relative to Lind and Teixeira simply because they’re more affordable. I like all four of these first basemen as a part of stacks or mini-stacks for their teams.

Second Base

Afternoon Slate:

D.J. LeMahieu (COL) – LeMahieu isn’t a good hitter against RHP (.307 wOBA, .096 ISO since 2012) but he’s transformed into an above average player at Coors Field (career .343 wOBA at home). With a premier lineup spot and a matchup against a weak pitcher, he grades out as our top value at the second base position.

Ian Kinsler (DET) – Kinsler is the direct alternative to LeMahieu for the afternoon slate. He’s not a great hitter against RHP (.311 wOBA, .138 ISO since 2012) but he benefits from a great matchup on Saturday. Phil Hughes has always struggled with RHBs (.352 wOBA, 1.62 HR/9, and 32.6 hard hit rate since 2012) and Kinsler leads off for an offense built on RH power. He has a bigger power upside than LeMahieu but a slightly lower expected production simply due to the difference in scoring environments.

Evening Slate:

Additional second base notes: The evening slate is easier to cover in a notes format. Yangervis Solarte (SD) is the best target with second base eligibility. He’ll likely earn a strong lineup spot and comes with a near minimum price tag. He’s not much of a hitter against RHP (.306 wOBA, .107 ISO since 2012) but Colby Lewis struggles mightily against LHBs (.351 wOBA, 35.6 hard hit rate allowed since 2012). A big park shift and a plus matchup makes Solarte a premier value play at a relatively thin position. The challenge is he’s not second base eligible everywhere. Joe Panik (SF) is the safest option for positive production and with salary not as much of a concern on the evening slate is likely the next best universal cash game target. David Buchanan is one of the weaker starters on the slate and Panik owns a solid .334 wOBA against RHP. Danny Espinosa (WAS) represents the cheap option with a shot at power. We touched on how he struggles against RHP and is best used against lefties but a premier lineup spot in a good park for power makes him a viable punt play with home run upside. Jason Kipnis (CLE) is the top overall play at the position but is caught in that unusual 6:35 EST game that likely won’t fit into many slates. He’s also exceptionally expensive and makes more sense for tournaments.

Shortstop

Top Play:

Troy Tulowitzki (COL) – Tulowitzki ranks inside our Top Five hitters overall. With SS a thin position, spending on Tulowitzki comes with a lot of added positional value. The challenge is he’s a part of the afternoon slate where high end pitching takes a priority. If you can fit him in, without compromising your pitching, he’s a strong play. Otherwise, he’s more of a tournament option.

Additional shortstop notes: Much like first base, it’s just easier to tackle the entire position in a notes section. If you’re not paying for Tulowitzki in the early slate, Andrelton Simmons (ATL) is the next best option according to our model. He hasn’t compiled great results against LHP (.291 wOBA, .136 ISO) but a 1.00 EYE and .136 ISO aren’t bad for a shortstop. The lineup spot limits premium plate appearances but if you can get him at a cheap price tag, he’s the next best option. If you’re not looking to Coors Field in the early slate, you just want to punt the position altogether. Ruben Tejada (NYM) looks like the best option on DraftKings. He’ll hit second and have the platoon advantage. He’s not that bad against LHP (.319 wOBA) and is hovering around the minimum. The evening slate has two options that rank closely when you adjust for price. Ian Desmond (WAS) and Xander Bogaerts (BOS) have acceptable skills against RHP. Desmond owns a .328 wOBA and .177 ISO against RHP since 2012. Miguel Gonzalez‘s issues with the long ball against RHBs (1.63 HR/9 since 2012) really plays into his power. Bogaerts has been better against RHP this season (.369 wOBA and .137 ISO) and gets the premier lineup spot (third) in a Red Sox offense with the highest expected run total of the evening slate. Bogaerts is the stronger play but if Desmond earned a strong lineup spot, the gap would narrow considerably.

Third Base

Afternoon Slate:

Top Plays:

Nolan Arenado (COL) – Arenado rates as our top third baseman of the entire day. He faces a below average RHP in the top hitting environment of the day. He’s exceptionally expensive and there are viable alternatives on all the slates, so I think he’s reserved for tournaments. He ranks within our Top 20 overall hitters thanks to his .204 career ISO against RHP.

Value Play:

Chris Johnson (ATL) – Chris Johnson has been really good against LHP (.373 wOBA, .140 ISO) since 2012 and generally hits fourth or fifth against LHP. Jorge de la Rosa has allowed a .338 wOBA and 1.06 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. The Braves project as a weak offense overall against LHP but with the huge park shift and a couple cheap price tags, there are options we can exploit. Johnson represents one of the stronger value plays to get into your lineups for the afternoon slate. He cracks our Top 30 overall hitters on Saturday.

Evening Slate:

Top Plays:

Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – Rodriguez has been incredible this season and he’s hit both LHP (.373 wOBA, .203 ISO) and RHP (.383 wOBA, .229 ISO) exceptionally well. Since 2012, he’s compiled a .371 wOBA and .166 ISO against lefties. Eduardo Rodriguez has been impressive as a rookie, especially his skill set against RHBs (21.3 K Rate, 26.9 hard hit rate, and .278 wOBA) but Vegas has the Yankees with one of the higher implied run totals of the slate. With a strong park shift in A-Rod’s favor, he rates as our top option for the evening slate and a Top 45 hitter overall for Saturday.

Todd Frazier (CIN) – Frazier is a touch more expensive but he’s likely facing a weaker opposing starter, albeit in a tougher park environment. Adam Conley will make his first major league start for the Marlins on Saturday. Conley is a LHP, so Frazier will have the platoon advantage. Frazier has hit for a lot of power against LHP (.238 ISO since 2012), but Conley has oddly dominated RHBs (.544 OPS allowed) and been crushed by LHBs (.779 OPS allowed) this year in AAA. In 2014, the splits were more normal for Conley in AAA, so we’re assuming this year is mostly the result of a small sample. Frazier is our next in line alternative to Rodriguez.

Value Play:

Pablo Sandoval (BOS) – The only knock on Sandoval is a poor lineup spot (typically sixth), but on a short slate it’s easier to accept. Sandoval has compiled a .350 wOBA and .164 ISO against RHP since 2012 and he’s done most of that damage in a brutal hitting environment in San Francisco. We’ve touched on Ivan Nova‘s projected struggles against LHBs and the Red Sox represent the top offense to target on the evening slate. With a discounted price tag around the industry, Sandoval is our top value at the position.

Outfield

Top Plays:

Afternoon Slate:

Coors Field – Carlos Gonzalez (COL), Charlie Blackmon (COL), and Cameron Maybin (ATL) all rank within our Top 15 hitters overall for Saturday. Blackmon and Gonzalez rank inside our Top Seven. They all have the platoon advantage in the best hitting environment of the day. Gonzalez and Blackmon rank higher and are a bit more reasonably priced around the industry, so they represent the best cash game options. They rank so similarly that I’d simply let price dictate the decision. Maybin’s expensive tag makes him better as a part of a Braves stack or mini-stack in tournaments.

J.D. Martinez (DET) – Phil Hughes struggles with RH power (.352 wOBA, 1.62 HR/9 allowed since 2012) and J.D. Martinez is one of the hottest power hitters in the game. He’s priced fully but this is a very good matchup for his skill set. Since the start of last season, Martinez has posted a .385 wOBA and .243 ISO against RHP. He has a lower overall value than the Coors outfielders but a higher home run score in our model.

Value Plays:

Jonny Gomes (ATL) – Gomes is the other cheap entry point into the Braves offense with a strong history of success against LHP. Since 2012, Gomes has posted a .367 wOBA and .186 ISO against LHP. The lineup spot isn’t always ideal but he’s got a better chance of a decent spot against LHP. On sites, he’s priced below the average cost of a hitting spot, he’s a strong value. He cracks our Top 20 overall hitting options before adjusting for lineup spot.

Evening Slate:

Top Plays:

Bryce Harper (WAS)/Mike Trout (LAA) – They both rank inside our Top Five overall hitters and have matchups that favor their skill sets. Harper gets a big park shift against a fly ball prone starter. Trout gets to face a same handed starter that has really struggled with home runs to RHBs. Iwakuma has allowed 1.33 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012 and he’s already surrendered nine home runs in just 21 1/3 innings this season. It’s viable to afford one of these big bats in the evening slate and I’d let price dictate my decision between the two. They rank almost identically in our model.

Hanley Ramirez/Mookie Betts (BOS) – Ramirez and Betts check in after Harper and Trout in our preferred targets for spending. Ramirez’s longer track record is negated by Betts speed component and plate appearance advantage. They both have hit RHP well in recent years (Ramirez – .352 wOBA, .188 ISO and Betts – .348 wOBA, .169 ISO) and come with similar price points around the industry. Ramirez comes with SS eligibility on DraftKings which adds to his value, while Betts speed component plays better on FanDuel where there are no negatives for caught stealing.  Hanley ranks within our Top 25 hitters overall while Betts cracks our Top 35.

Value Play:

Will Venable (SD) – We always want to attack Colby Lewis with LHBs and unfortunately the Padres just don’t have many. Will Venable is the primary option and we’ll need a good lineup spot to deploy him. Venable has compiled a .321 wOBA and .161 ISO against RHP in poor hitting environments. Lewis is an elite matchup for LH power, allowing a .351 wOBA and 1.21 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012, and Venable gets a nice park shift. He cracks our Top 30 overall hitters before accounting for lineup spot. With a near minimum price point on most sites, he’d represent our top value of the evening slate.

Additional outfield notes: Yoenis Cespedes (DET) and Marlon Byrd (CIN) are the secondary outfield values for the afternoon slate. Cespedes has most of the things we like about J.D. Martinez against Phil Hughes, but he’s a bit less consistent. Fortunately, the price tag accounts for it. Byrd gets a rookie LHP and he’s posted a .366 wOBA and .213 ISO against LHP since 2012. For the evening slate, Angel Pagan (SF) and Hunter Pence (SF) are strong secondary options. Pagan is more consistently underpriced, so he represents the better industry wide value. The Indians LHBs are strong targets on slates they’re included. Michael Brantley (CLE) is particularly underpriced on FanDuel while David Murphy (CLE) is a secondary punt play.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier One

1) Chris Sale (CHW)

Tier Two

2) Matt Harvey (NYM)

3) Dallas Keuchel (HOU)

4) Carlos Carrasco (CLE)

Tier Three

5) A.J. Burnett (PIT)

6) Jon Lester (CHC)

7) C.J. Wilson (LAA)

8) James Shields (SD)

9) Jake Odorizzi (TB)

Tier Four

10) John Lackey (STL)

11) Patrick Corbin (ARZ)

12) Raisel Iglesias (CIN)

Top Play:

Chris Sale (CHW) – Strikeouts are king in Daily Fantasy and Sale is the king of strikeouts. His 33.4 percent K Rate leads all big league starters. The Cubs offense is strong against LHP (fifth in wRC+ and surprisingly a league average K Rate) but Sale easily projects for the highest K Rate of all starters. He’s getting a positive park shift and the benefit of a league shift (pitching without the DH). We don’t have a total yet for the Cubs-White Sox game but we’re anticipating an implied run total for the Cubs around three runs. There are other strong starters going on Saturday, but we feel Sale has the greatest upside and the safest floor. He’s our primary cash game target in afternoon and all day slates.

Next in line:

Matt Harvey (NYM) – Yesterday we noted how the Diamondbacks offense is league average against RHP and how exceptionally RH they are as a team. This leads to vulnerability against RH dominant starters which played out nicely with Noah Syndergaard. Harvey has also dominated RHBs in his career (.269 wOBA, 22.8 percent hard hit rate allowed, and 23.7 K Rate). Even this season Harvey has manhandled them (53.5 GB Rate, 21.2 hard hit rate, 22.2 K Rate and .265 wOBA). There are some concerns about Harvey pitching on extra rest (something he’s been vocal about this season), but for his career he’s been better with more rest (OPS allowed: four days rest -. 634, five days rest – .578, and six or more days -.489). Harvey is a heavy favorite (-160) in a game with a total of 6.5. Our second tier of starting pitchers all rank very closely, but Harvey is my personal favorite of the group.

Value Plays:

A.J. Burnett (PIT) – Burnett is our top option for the game starting after 7:05 PM EST. He faces a depleted Cardinals offense in the friendly confines of PNC Park. The Cardinals maxed out their ability to get LH last night against Gerrit Cole and they created a lineup with four LHBs. Burnett has always dominated RHBs (.284 wOBA, 24 K Rate, 56 GB Rate, and 27.2 hard hit rate since 2012) but been vulnerable to patient LHBs (.321 wOBA, 10.7 BB Rate allowed since 2012). The Cardinals do possess a few of these LHBs that can give Burnett problems but his GB Rate should limit the damages to single bases at a time and allow him to live off dominating the RHBs. Vegas lists Burnett as a -130 favorite in a game with a total of just 6.5. Without any true aces throwing in the evening slate, the lack of immense upside from Burnett isn’t as much of a concern. He’s allowed two or fewer earned runs in 14 of his 17 starts this season. He’s the most consistent option on the evening slate and priced affordably in a favorable pitching environment (which includes a very favorable umpire).

C.J. Wilson (LAA) – Wilson doesn’t rank far behind Burnett in my preferences for the evening slate. He has one of the most favorable umpires in all of baseball behind the plate and he faces a left hand heavy Mariners offense that ranks 18th in wRC+ against LHP. The Mariners possess only two above average hitters against LHP (Cruz and Trumbo) and with an expected wider strike zone, Wilson should be able to take advantage of both hitters chase rates. He’s allowed just two earned runs over 15 innings in two prior outings against the Mariners this season. With all these factors in his favor, we expect he’ll pitch well again on Saturday. He’s our top complement to Burnett on multiple starter sites and a viable alternative if you’d like a bit more salary room to work in hitters.

Additional starting pitcher notes: Dallas Keuchel (HOU) and Carlos Carrasco (CLE) rank very closely with Matt Harvey in that second tier of starters. Carrasco’s the high upside option that comes with a bit of volatility, while Keuchel is the safer option with a bit less upside against a RH heavy Rays lineup. I think Harvey has the best combination of safety and upside among that group, but our model views all three very similarly. Jon Lester (CHC) is a viable alternative in the afternoon slate as a second starter. The White Sox rank 30th in wRC+ against LHP with an above average 22.4 K Rate. Jose Abreu is their only above average hitter against LHP. The win potential is a challenge opposite Sale and Lester will likely have to work with Taylor Teagarden for the first time all season. Throw in a very challenging umpire for starting pitchers and I think Lester is a better tournament play (while fading Sale) than a cash game option. Other tournament options on the early slate include Jake Odorizzi (TB) and Patrick Corbin (ARZ). Both pitchers are coming back after stints on the disabled list so they may not work deep into games, but they both have good matchups for strikeouts. The Mets have struck out in 23.5 percent of their appearances against LHP while the Astros have struck out in 25.6 percent of their plate appearances against RHP.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Colorado Rockies

2) Boston Red Sox

3) Atlanta Braves

The Rockies, Red Sox, and Braves are the offenses with the highest implied run totals. The Rockies and Red Sox are viable full stack candidates while I’m more likely to mini-stack the Braves.

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) New York Yankees

2) Detroit Tigers

3) San Francisco Giants

4) Los Angeles Angels

5) Milwaukee Brewers

6) Texas Rangers

The Yankees are a part of the game with the second highest total in Fenway Park. They come with a lot of high priced LHBs that will come with low ownership against Eduardo Rodrigez and they have some slightly discounted RH options to balance the spending. They’re also a part of that evening slate that doesn’t require as much spending on SP, so it’s a bit easier to spend up.

The Tigers get Phil Hughes who has seen a huge dip in his swinging strike rate this season and is backed up by one of the weaker pens in the big leagues. Hughes is susceptible to RH power and the Tigers primary offensive weapon is RH power. Although it’s an expensive stack in the afternoon slate, it should be very contrarian up against Coors Field.

The Giants went nuts last night against Cole Hamels and now get to face David Buchanan, one of the weakest pitchers on the slate. Most of their offensive options are affordable and represent secondary value plays. They’ll probably be a bit over owned based on recency bias, but the matchup is quite good.

The Angels have the kind of right handed power to continue taking advantage of Iwakuma’s issues with the long ball. Mike Trout and Albert Pujols are the expensive options and you can stack them with Calhoun, Giavotella and Aybar to get exposure to thin positions and create a stack or mini-stack.

Brandon Beachy’s awful peripherals in the minors make the Brewers an intriguing contrarian option despite the huge negative shift in park effects.

The Rangers get the second best hitting environment of the evening slate and face homer prone James Shields backed up by a weak pen. It’s very hit or miss and the price tags aren’t particularly great, but there is a lot of power to stack against a fly ball pitcher in a good park for power.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.

TOR at KC 2:10: A 10-20% chance of a delay caused by a pop-up thunderstorm. Very little threat of a cancellation. Temps in the mid to upper 80s. Air density is a 9. Wind south 10-20 mph which blows out to left. The wind is an 8.

DET at MIN 4:05: A 30% chance of a delay due to a thunderstorm at anytime but there is only a small chance of a cancellation (10%) due to the fact that there is not a steady shield of rain. Temps near 80. Air density is an 8. Wind southeast 8-16 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

CHW at CHC 4:05: Showers and thunderstorms around. A 30% chance of a delay with only a small chance (10%) of a cancellation. It seems to me that the chances of this rain are equal throughout the game. Temps in the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind southeast 8-16 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7.

AZ at NYM 4:10: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 80s. Air density is a 7 or perhaps an 8 at times. Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5.

ATL at COL 4:10: Looks like a game where the chances of a thunderstorm (10% or less) are small enough where you can just not worry about this game weatherwise at all. Temps in the mid to upper 80s. Air density is off the charts, a 10. Wind east-northeast 8-16 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

CIN at MIA 4:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed.

HOU at TB 4:10: Dome.

OAK at CLE 6:35: Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling into the upper 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5.

WSH at BLT 7:15: Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7. Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5.

NYY at BOS 7:15: Dry. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind south becoming southwest 7-14 mph which blows first out to left and then from right to left later. The wind is a 6 becoming a 5.

STL at PIT 7:15: Dry. Temps near 80 falling into the low 70s. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind northwest 4-8 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.

SD at TEX 9:05: Dry. Temps near 90 falling to near 80. Air density is an 8. Wind south-southeast 8-16 mph which blows in from right-center. The wind is a 3.

PHL at SF 10:05: Dry. Temps near 70 falling into the mid 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west 10-20 mph lessening to 8-16 mph which blows out to center. The wind is an 8 becoming a 7.

LAA at SEA 10:10: Retractable roof. There is the threat of a few showers around tonight. If the roof is open, temps will be in the low to mid 70s. Air density will be a 6. Wind southwest 7-14 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.

MIL at LAD 10:10: Dry. Temps near 70 falling into the mid 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-southwest 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7.

MLB Daily Analysis

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