July 17 MLB DFS Picks: Kipnis Found the Leake
Welcome to this Friday’s MLB DFS picks. It’s been forever since we last had MLB action, but the All Star break is finally over and we have something to watch at night again. Today we’re taking a look at the best options to use on FantasyAces. I find it relevant to look at this site with the way people have been discussing their desire to try out new sites. Let’s take a look at the most intriguing options on FantasyAces for Friday night.
I think it’s safe to say that Jose Fernandez ($7,850) has the most upside of any pitcher Friday. While he is pitching in Philadelphia, a hitter’s park, the Phillies will have to put it in play to use the dimensions to their advantage. Fernandez has an amazing 10.31K/9 in his career (237.1 innings) and is prime for another lights out performance due to the fact the Phillies have the league worst wOBA against RHP (.284).
If you don’t spend up at the pitcher position then you’ll have plenty of salary to spend on Buster Posey ($5,600). Posey is a beast against southpaws posting a wOBA of .404 in his career. I bring up that stat because he’ll be facing a southpaw in Robbie Ray. While Ray has been a stud in limited innings this season, you can’t ignore his struggles against right-handed hitters. They have posted a .335 wOBA against him over his career.
First Base/Third Base
If you’re looking to save some money then one first base option I consistently like is James Loney ($4,600). Loney is a much better hitter in his career against RHP than LHP and it’s very clear in his numbers. He walks almost 2% more, strikes out 5.6% less, and has a .341 wOBA against RHP in his career. His career ISO is only .139, so use Loney as a pivot play or cash game option. Maybe we get lucky and Loney finds his power stroke in hitter-friendly Toronto!
David Freese ($4,600) is another way to save money at this corner infield position and should be a great option against Wade Miley. Freese has struggled some in 2015, but the days off should only help him right now. In his career, he has a .363 wOBA and a .163 ISO against southpaws. This is .38 and .32 points better than how he has fared against RHP. Miley has had trouble against right-handers in his career with a .330 wOBA against them and he has been even worse this season (.353).
We’ve shopped at TJ Maxx at the corner infield spots, so that means we should be able to hit up Macy’s here for the middle infield positions. The first target I want to put on the squad is Jose Altuve ($5,500). He’ll be facing Martin Perez, a southpaw making his first start since coming off the 60-day disabled list. While the Astros might only see Perez for 80 pitches or so, that’ll be more than enough to make it worth it for Altuve’s star qualities against LHP.
I know Mike Leake has been a great pitcher in some of his recent starts, but I just can’t buy him giving up zero runs in eight innings like his last start against the Marlins. For that reason, I’m staring hard at Jason Kipnis ($5,500). He has an outstanding .424 wOBA against RHP this season and an above average .353 wOBA for his career. Before that great start against the Marlins, Leake gave up 17 hits in 10 innings to the Brewers and Twins.
Lorenzo Cain ($5,250) has been dominant against southpaws this season with a .430 wOBA and he’ll be facing a below average one in John Danks on Friday. Danks has given up five plus earned runs in five of his last 10 starts, giving up more hits than innings pitched in seven of those 10 starts as well. I don’t think Cain needs to be talked up to be used with this kind of matchup. Use him and feel safe when he faces off against Danks.
L.J. Hoes ($3,500) was just called up the other day and responded with a two for four day at the plate. Like Altuve, he’ll be facing a southpaw on Friday. He’s a .308 wOBA hitter against them, which isn’t impressive, but he’s extremely cheap. Take a look at where he’s hitting and if he’s hitting seventh or better then I would really consider him a great punt option on Aces.
David DeJesus ($4,000) can also provide some salary relief, as he’ll likely be in the lineup against the right-hander Drew Hutchison in a great hitter’s park (Toronto). DeJesus has had hits in four of his last six games totaling five hits. In those six games, he has added two walks, two RBI, and five runs to his stat line to boost his value. I like him more than usual because he’ll be getting a nice edge from park factors going from hitting in Tampa to Toronto.