Daily Fantasy Rundown – July 17th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Luckily, a very quiet weather day to start back up. Only game with any sort of delay potential is in CIN with several ballparks featuring good hitting conditions (warm and humid). CHW stands out as one of those ballparks.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Buster Posey (SF) – Posey is the clear cut top catcher in our model and is the second highest rated hitter overall. The Giants offense in general, along with Posey, get a significant park shift, moving from San Francisco (worst hitter’s park in the league according to parkfactors.com) to Arizona (ninth best). Throw in a Giants team total over four, and the environment is good for Posey. How about the individual matchup with the pitcher? Posey has destroyed LHP since 2012, posting a 174 wRC+, topped only by Paul Goldschmidt. Meanwhile, opposing pitcher Robbie Ray has allowed a .335 wOBA and 40.6 hard hit rate to RHBs. On the surface it looks like he’s been good this season (2.16 ERA, 2.86 FIP), but a combination of his xFIP (4.15) and hard minus soft hit rate (24.5) indicate the ERA should rise dramatically moving forward. He’s easy to pay up for on DraftKings where he’s just $4,100, a huge bargain given the matchup.
Salvador Perez (KC) – Perez and the Royals get a massive park shift in their favor, playing in US Cellular Field, one of the friendliest ballparks for right handed power. Temperatures and air density will be favorable for hitting in Chicago tonight as well. We always like to pick on John Danks has he’s been one of the most consistently bad starting pitchers in MLB the last several years, posting ERAs of 4.74 or worse in four consecutive seasons. Not surprisingly, Danks is particularly susceptible to RHBs, allowing a .356 wOBA and 1.50 HR/9 to them since 2012. Perez has always had solid splits against southpaws (.328 wOBA, .183 ISO) and will benefit from Alex Gordon‘s injury as he’ll move into a top six lineup spot. Perez is very cheap across the industry and near minimum priced on FanDuel.
Additional catcher notes: Secondary value options include John Jaso (TB) (nice park shift, Hutchison struggles against LHBs), Stephen Vogt (OAK) (much improved power this season and Santana is homer prone; particularly nice price on DraftKings) and Derek Norris (SD) (way too cheap in a matchup where he holds the platoon edge against a below average LHP). On FanDuel, Evan Gattis (HOU) remains catcher eligible and is a high upside option to use if you find yourself able to upgrade Perez but not all the way up to Posey. Simply based on price, Matt Wieters (BAL) should be considered in tournaments as should Yan Gomes (CLE), who is very cheap considering the great hitting environment he’s in (Cincinnati).
Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) – Even with locking in a top starting pitcher in cash games, it’s possible to pay up for Paul Goldschmidt (due to cheap values at other positions) at what I view as a muddled first base position. No hitter averages more Fantasy points per game than Goldschmidt on either FanDuel or DraftKings. Goldschmidt’s Fantasy dominance is spurred on by real life dominance across the board. He’s elite in several underlying categories such as EYE (.91), hard hit rate (41.7) and ISO (.270). That has translated to his surface statistics: .340-21-16 in BA-HR-SB. He’s at home tonight facing Matt Cain, who is far from the ace he used to be. Cain has posted back to back ERAs of 4.00 or higher and really struggled with the home run ball the past couple of seasons. This year he’s made just two starts following a prolonged DL stint to begin the season. In these two starts, he’s done nothing to show he’s “back”, having walked six batters in 11 IP and allowing a pair of long balls. His velocity also sat at a career low 96.0 mph. So while there’s not a huge platoon edge, gigantic park shift or mis-pricing to be had here, it does make sense to pay up for the best DFS player at a position lacking clear cut mid-tier values.
Value Plays: There’s not a single mid-tier value that really pops over the rest. Joey Votto (CIN) ranks the best in our model as he’s at home and facing Trevor Bauer, who continues to struggle against LHBs (12.7 BB percentage against them) and doesn’t do a good job of holding runners. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Votto on base multiple times tonight with some steal opportunities. Jose Abreu (CHW) is a boom or bust option in a same handed matchup against the extremely fly ball oriented Chris Young, who may not get away with that makeup in US Cellular Field. Albert Pujols (LAA) has been on an absolute tear and looks like he was priced for a different matchup on DraftKings. The $4,300 tag certainly sticks out there with Pujols having a plus matchup against LHP Wade Miley. One value our model likes a lot if he gets a top five lineup spot is Chris Carter (HOU). He’s always a bit of a boom or bust guy due to his combination of raw power but always high K percentages. Carter will have the platoon edge on Martin Perez, who doesn’t miss a lot of bats and is making his first MLB start post-TJS. It starts off as a good matchup and Perez, who won’t pitch too long, is backed up by a bad bullpen (third highest xFIP in MLB).
Cheap Plays: There are a trio of cheap first base options that are viable tonight, and I’ll list them in order of preference if salary is the same: Adam LaRoche (CHW), Michael Morse (MIA) and Ike Davis (OAK). LaRoche has certainly struggled this season, but he’s at home against the fly ball oriented Chris Young (.345 wOBA, 1.41 HR/9 allowed to LHBs since 2012). At the bare minimum on FanDuel, LaRoche is a great value even if his baseline needs to be readjusted downwards from where it was to begin the season. Morse has also been horrendous, but also has enough favorable contextual factors and a low enough price tag to be used in cash games. Opposing LHP Adam Morgan is not good (4.74 ERA at AAA prior to call up, 5.52 ZiPS projected ROS ERA) and injuries to Miami will force Morse into a premiere lineup spot. He’ll get a nice park shift hitting in Philadelphia. Davis is the member of the trio I’m least likely to use in cash games (pinch hit risk), but if he’s top five or six in the order he makes for a great source of cheap power upside as Ervin Santana has allowed 1.25 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012.
Additional first base notes: The Royals duo of Eric Hosmer and Kendrys Morales serve as secondary value plays. Hosmer lacks the platoon edge and Morales lacks desirable skills but a very below average opposing pitcher and great park shift keep them in play. Additional tournament options are Anthony Rizzo (CHC), Mark Teixeira (NYY) and particularly Pedro Alvarez (PIT).
Jose Altuve (HOU) – As mentioned above in reference to Carter, the Astros get to face a rusty southpaw in Martin Perez who is backed up by one of the league’s worst bullpens. Altuve has dominated against LHP since 2012 (.377 wOBA) and of course carries elite stolen base upside. He’s particularly favorably priced on DraftKings and is a logical target if not paying up for Goldschmidt at first base.
Next in line: Jason Kipnis (CLE) (price finally more reasonable but that’s because production has come back down to earth; nice upside in Cincinnati with platoon edge on Leake but the gap in expected production in our model between him and Altuve is larger than the price gap between the two)
Ben Zobrist (OAK) – It’s tough to tell what you’re going to get with Ervin Santana who has had one great start and one horrible start since returning from a half year suspension. What we do know is that Santana will likely struggle with LHBs as he’s allowed a .332 wOBA and 1.25 HR/9 to them since 2012. That makes Ben Zobrist an attractive option at a mid-tier price, particularly considering the staunch plate discipline peripherals he’s boasting. Zobrist has a 1.27 EYE and is striking out less than 10 percent of the time, which correlates with a .300+ BA hitter (hitting just .261 so there is room for growth there) and has also allowed him to regain his career power numbers (.167 ISO).
Cheap Plays: Like at first base, there are a variety of cheap options that carry a bit more value than simply being called a punt. On both FanDuel and DraftKings, Johnny Giaovetella (LAA) continues to carry a near minimum price tag despite remaining the leadoff hitter for an Angels lineup that is sixth in MLB in wRC+ against LHP. He’ll face Wade Miley (4.80 ERA, 4.29 xFIP). Two DraftKings specific cheap options are Matt Duffy (SF) and Martin Prado (MIA). Both hitters project to have top five lineup spots while holding the platoon edge against subpar LHP in parks that represent a favorable shift in hitting environment.
Additional second base notes: Neil Walker (PIT) has great power upside for a second baseman as he gets a positive park shift and has the platoon edge against the fly ball oriented Mike Fiers. Salary aside, our model likes him as much as Ben Zobrist. Robinson Cano (SEA) is a nice tournament option. He’s been really bad and the matchup is poor overall. However, Tanaka has been homer prone and Cano will benefit from being back in Yankee Stadium where he can take advantage of the short porch in right (if he’s able to hit the ball in the air). Jedd Gyorko (SD) is a cheap tournament option who could potentially be used as a punt in cash games depending on lineup spot. Joe Panik (SF) is another cheap option for tournaments as he’ll likely carry low ownership due to the L/L matchup but park and expected team success still leaves him with reasonable upside.
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) – Hechavarria’s career splits aren’t very good against LHP (.311 wOBA), but he’s been much better each of the past two seasons (.327, .423) thanks to reducing his Ks and consistently increasing his hard hit rate. Those slight improvements make him a fine salary cap relief option at extremely cheap prices around the industry, especially when you weight the contextual factors in his favor. He’s been hitting third, which is the best lineup spot for DFS production and one rarely filled by a cheap shortstop. Hechavarria gets a large park shift in his favor moving from Miami to Philadelphia. Finally, he faces one of the weaker SPs in action out of the break in Adam Morgan. In an extremely small sample size, Morgan has been smoked by RHBs (.419 wOBA, 3.86 HR/9 against 49 batters faced). That’s certainly not reliable, but it is indicative of the pessimistic ZiPS projections on him: overall 5.51 ERA and 1.51 HR/9, .360 wOBA and .194 ISO against RHBs.
Additional shortstop notes: For cash games, there are three names besides Hechavarria that I’m interested in. The first is the top play at the position, salary aside, Carlos Correa (HOU). His price is more reasonable than it was before the break and if you want a bit more upside at the position, he’s the one guy I view as worth paying up for (we’ve already highlighted this matchup for Astros RHBs). Following Correa is Alcides Escobar (KC). He’s only a secondary option on DraftKings as he’s actually more expensive than Correa there. However, he’s very cheap on FanDuel and a viable alternative to Hechavarria there. Escobar gives you exposure to a Royals offense we like a lot tonight at a low actual cost and low opportunity cost. The final option I’m less fond of but Francisco Lindor (CLE) is definitely a viable punt in all formats due as he faces an average RHP in a great hitter’s park, with the platoon edge, with a good lineup spot (second) and most importantly with a very low price tag.
Additional third base notes: The third base position, like its corner counterpart first base, is a bit muddled today and it makes sense to cover the position as a whole. The top two plays, salary aside, are Todd Frazier (CIN) and Alex Rodriguez (NYY). Frazier doesn’t have mismatch but Bauer’s volatility, Frazier’s home park and Frazier’s elite power peripherals (.65 GB/FB ratio, 38.9 hard hit rate, .301 ISO) give him plenty of upside. He’s not worth chasing where he’s priced more aggressively than Rodriguez, but the pair are priced similarly on FanDuel. Rodriguez also has a great home hitting environment but he’ll also have the platoon edge on his side, taking on LHP Mike Montgomery. Don’t be fooled by Montgomery’s 2.29 ERA as a 4.16 xFIP and 10.2 hard minus soft hit rate (about average) indicate some regression is coming. The mid-tier option I like best is Jake Lamb (ARI). I touched on Cain’s poor performance the last several years, obvious rust in his past two starts and significant downgrade in park factor in Goldschmidt’s blurb. That all of course works in Lamb’s favor as well. He holds the platoon edge and is someone I’ve been higher on than the market all season long. Based on projection systems and Lamb’s loft improvement, I’m banking on improved power over the season’s second half (6.5 HR/FB rate could double). On the lower end of the salary range of viable options are players we touched on at other positions who carry third base eligibility on some sites as well. Those include Matt Duffy (SF), Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) and Martin Prado (MIA). Since third base is a bit scarce, I’d boost the stock of Pedro Alvarez (PIT) from a tournament play to an option in all formats where he holds eligibility. Some additional tournament options include Evan Longoria (TB) and Kris Bryant (CHC).
Mike Trout (LAA) – Trout is the top ranked overall hitter in our model, but I’m giving him a bit less priority than other top plays we’ve hit on, specifically Paul Goldschmidt and Jose Altuve as outfield has plenty of high upside options in the mid-tier. Trout is behind only Goldschmidt and Harper in Fantasy Points Per Game, and he faces the worst pitcher of the bunch in Wade Miley (.326 wOBA allowed to RHBs since 2012). Trout hits both handedness of pitchers at an absolutely elite level and continues to improve, which is scary. He’s managed to continue his increasing power from last year but this time he has brought his K rate back down to career levels as well. Trout’s 30.3 hard minus soft hit rate is the best of his career.
Hunter Pence/Angel Pagan (SF) – As mentioned in Posey’s blurb, Robbie Ray‘s success has been a bit of a mirage, and he’s struggled against RHBs in his short career. That puts Pence and Pagan as strong value plays with the platoon edge in hitter friendly Chase Field. Both should occupy top five lineup spots. Pence has a .354 wOBA and .210 ISO against southpaws since 2012 while the switch hitting Pagan has a .320 wOBA and .116 ISO, but also carries some stolen base upside.
Josh Reddick (OAK) – Reddick rates will in our model based on his price and the power upside facing Ervin Santana as a LHB carries. On top of his solid model rating (top 40 overall hitter), Reddick has some excellent in season peripherals that aren’t being fully accounted for in the model. Most important is his reduced K rate. After striking out 18.6 percent of the time for his career, Reddick is striking out just 10.8 percent of the time. This reduction in K rate is supported by a reduced SwStr rate and chase rate. That equates to around 50 extra balls in play over a 650 plate appearance season, or one every three games. That might not sound like a lot but over the long run he’s underpriced at his current tag as a result.
Justin Upton (SD) – Upton gives you top tier upside at a mid-tier price (close to a bottom tier price on FanDuel). While he’s not the most consistent of performers, it makes sense to target his upside when the price is right, particularly given two specific skills. First, he has always crushed LHP (.383 career wOBA, .237 ISO). Secondly, he’s running more than ever before. Upton comes out of the break with 17 stolen bases already and is on a 32 steal base over a 162 game season. Since stolen bases can be tough to predict, it make sense to target speedsters based on price. Of course all of this is aided by Jorge de la Rosa’s splits against RHBs since 2012 (.338 wOBA). Teammate Matt Kemp (SD) is also viable but a touch more expensive with a touch less upside.
Gregory Polanco (PIT) – An injury to Josh Harrison means Polanco finds himself back in the leadoff spot against RHP. Polanco’s had a down season as he hasn’t progressed as hoped. He continues to strike out too often to be a good BA guy but doesn’t generate enough loft or power at this point in his career to compensate for that. As a result, I’ve got him as a tournament only option on DraftKings. However, on FanDuel at a near minimum price tag he’s a value as the matchup becomes more important at that price point. He has a very big park shift moving from Pittsburgh to Milwaukee and will hold the platoon edge against Mike Fiers, who has allowed a ton of hard hit balls this season (admittedly been better recently).
Additional outfield notes: Another high upside mid-tier cash game option is David Peralta (ARI). Michael Brantley (CLE), unsurprisingly, has seen his power regress this season but an elite EYE and the platoon edge still make him a viable mid-tier alternative against Mike Leake in Cincinnati. Lorenzo Cain (KC) will be a popular choice tonight and for good reason (elite matchup and improved power this season). He’s a top 10 overall hitter in our model but he’s priced appropriately. Tournament options at different price levels that I like are Andrew McCutchen (PIT), Gerardo Parra (MIL) (cash viable), Jay Bruce (CIN), Brandon Moss (CLE), Alex Rios (KC) and Jake Marisnick (HOU).
Rankings (price not considered):
1) Jose Fernandez (MIA)
2) Sonny Gray (OAK)
3) Lance Lynn (STL)
4) Noah Syndergaard (NYM)
5) James Shields (SD)
6) Masahiro Tanaka (NYY)
7) Jordan Zimmermann (WAS)
8) Mike Bolsinger (LAD)
9) Anibal Sanchez (DET)
10) Jorge de la Rosa (COL)
11) Ubaldo Jimenez (BAL)
12) Kyle Hendricks (CHC)
13) Collin McHugh (HOU)
14) Julio Teheran (ATL)
15) Trevor Bauer (CLE)
Jose Fernandez (MIA) – Fernandez is the chalk option at starting pitcher today, and I don’t see any reason to fade the chalk in cash games. He’s been spectacular in two starts, showing no ill effects from TJS (15 Ks, 0 BBs, 95.4 average fastball velocity). In 237.1 career innings, Fernandez has been about as dominant as it gets, striking out 29.1 percent of batters en route to a 2.56 FIP. Throw in a matchup against a Phillies team that ranks dead last in wRC+ against RHP, and there’s not a lot more that needs to be added here. At -175, he’s the second largest favorite on the night in a game with a low total of 7.
Next in line:
Sonny Gray (OAK) – Gray joins Fernandez in the tier one grouping, although I have a clear preference for Fernandez due to added K upside. However, Gray is a very safe option and the only other pitcher I’d consider using in cash games on single SP sites. Gray (-180) is the only larger favorite then Fernandez as he pitches at home in pitcher friendly Oakland (game total of 7, slightly pushing downwards). Gray has been dominant as he’s put together a career best 3.60 K/BB ratio while maintaining an elite 55.6 GB rate. On top of inducing a lot of ground balls, Gray simply forces a lot of weak contact altogether. His 0.8 hard minus soft hit rate is phenomenal and is part of the reason he’s legitimately overachieving (2.04 ERA) on the basis of expected ERAs (2.63 FIP, 3.28 xFIP). The matchup against the Twins is neutral to slightly positive. On DraftKings it’s definitely possible (and likely smart) to play both Fernandez and Gray.
Noah Syndergaard (NYM) – The trio of second tier options are all in good spots, but the best value play of the bunch is Syndergaard as he’s meaningfully cheaper than Lynn/Shields on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Thor faces a Cardinals team that ranks eighth in wRC+ against RHP with a lower than average K percentage. However, when you take into account injuries to Matt Adams and Matt Holliday and a friendly pitcher’s park, we have this as a plus matchup for Syndergaard in every respect other than win probability. Syndergaard has not disappointed as a rookie, putting together a great combination of dominance (26.3 K percentage) and control (5.1 BB percentage), leading to a 2.61 FIP and 2.91 xFIP. On top of that he’s not allowing much hard contact, boasting an impressive hard minus soft hit rate of 2.2.
James Shields (SD) – Like Syndergaard is the best value play on multi-SP sites because of the lowest price, Shields is the best tournament play due to lowest projected ownership. Shields has been much more high risk, high reward than usual this season as a result of his HR problems (1.47 per nine) but also huge K rate spike (26.6 percent). Ultimately, both should regress as the season moves forward but I expect more improvement overall due to the SwStr rate improvement in the NL and a large ballpark that should help with the currently excessive 17.9 HR/FB rate. Tonight Shields faces a Rockies team that is middle of the pack in wRC+ against RHP, but really struggles overall on the road (25th in wRC+, fourth highest K percentage).
Jorge de la Rosa (COL) – I was turned on to de la Rosa as a tournament option this morning by Adam Ronis of RotoExperts on Sirius/XM Fantasy. While my initial reaction is to not mess with a pitcher of de la Rosa’s talent level, it’s tough to determine a true baseline for him given how extreme Coors Field is. What we do know is that de la Rosa sports an above average K percentage (22), faces the team that strikes out most in MLB against LHP and gets a massive park shift in his favor playing in San Diego. He’s far from a safe choice, but those three factors working together give him more upside than the other pitchers in his lower end salary range.
Additional starting pitcher notes: Lance Lynn (STL) has a great home matchup against the Mets, but a combination of his price point and the Mets getting five LHBs in the top six of the lineup in their last game means I probably won’t have exposure here. Masahiro Tanaka (NYY) is always a nice tournament option due to his K and IP upside if he can just keep the ball in the park. The total on the Nationals-Dodgers game is low, making Jordan Zimmermann (WAS) a relatively safe option. However, if I want safe, I’ll pay up for Sonny Gray as Zimmermann has less K upside and faces a much more difficult opponent.
Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:
This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (email@example.com) if you have suggestions.
Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:
1) Kansas City Royals
2) Houston Astros
3) San Francisco Giants
All three of these teams were covered throughout the position by position analysis. As a recap: Royals get to face the well below average John Danks while also getting a huge park shift and favorable weather. The Astros are always a high upside offense because they homer and run. Today they face a pitch to contact LHP in his first MLB start since TJS. He’s backed up by a bad bullpen. The Giants don’t carry the third highest overall team upside, but due to the park shift and a handful of RHBs up top, carry a lot of per dollar value at multiple positions.
1) Arizona Diamondbacks (take a chance that Matt Cain is simply broken, worst case scenario you’re picking on an average pitcher in a hitter’s park)
2) New York Yankees (For Mike Montgomery, regression is coming)
3) Miami Marlins (similar to the Giants, perhaps not a great lineup top to bottom but a lot of value when considering opposing pitcher, park shift and cheap guys thrust into good lineup spots)
4) Pittsburgh Pirates (huge park shift and facing a fly ball oriented pitcher who has yielded a lot of hard contact)
5) Chicago White Sox (will be low owned since they…are not very good; however, Chris Young‘s fly ball ways could get him in trouble in the cell, especially given the weather here and Jose Abreu gives you legitimate double dong upside)
MLB Game Weather Forecasts
In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.
LAD at WSH 7:05: Dry. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid to upper 70s. Air density is an 8. Wind south 8-16 mph which blows out to left-center. The wind is a 7.
SEA at NYY 7:05: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind south-southwest 4-8 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.
MIA at PHL 7:05: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7. Wind south- southeast 4-8 mph which blows out to left-center. The wind is a 6.
TB at TOR 7:07: Retractable roof. There will be some showers and thunderstorms around so the roof will likely be closed.
BLT at DET 7:08: maybe a leftover shower or a thunderstorm at the scheduled start of the game. More likely than not this rain will be long gone and the game is dry. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southwest 10-20 mph lessening to 7-14 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5. Not worried about this game.
CLE at CIN 7:10: A 20-30% chance of a delay due to a thunderstorm. I think the chances of a cancellation. Are small (10% or less) due to the scattered nature, the thunderstorms will not be severe and they are moving. Temps in the mid to upper 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8. Wind southwest 7-14 mph lessening to nearly calm which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.
CHC at ATL 7:35: Dry. Temps in the low 90s falling into the low to mid 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5.
PIT at MIL 8:10: Retractable roof. A 20% chance of a thunderstorm at anytime. If the roof is open, temps will be in the low to mid 80s falling into the mid to upper 70s. Air density will be an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southwest 5-10 mph lessening to 3-6 mph which blows from right to left.
TEX at HOU 8:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the low 90s falling into the low to mid 80s. Air density is a 9. Wind south-southeast 7-14 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.
KC at CHW 8:10: Dry. Temps in the upper 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8. Wind southwest 7-14 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.
NYM at STL 8:15: Dry. Temps in the low 90s falling into the mid 80s. Air density is a 9 becoming an 8. Wind southwest 7-14 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.
SF at AZ 9:40: Retractable roof. A 10-20% chance of a thunderstorm around. Temps near 100 falling into the low 90s. Wind variable at 5-10 mph. The wind is a 5.
BOS at LAA 10:05: Dry. Temps in the low 70s falling into the mid 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-southwest 8-16 mph lessening to 6-12 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6.
MIN at OAK 10:05: Dry. Temps in the low 70s falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind west-northwest 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7.
COL at SD 10:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 70s falling into the mid 60s. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind west- northwest 7-14 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.