Daily Fantasy Rundown – July 21st MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: The game at risk today is no surprise, Denver looks to be rather wet yet again.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Stack Coors Field: It’s often difficult to write on Coors Field days as we don’t want to bore you by repetitively discussing players in that game for the same reasons. However, we also don’t want to be disingenuous and write up inferior values just for the sake of mixing it up. Today the total in Coors is so extreme and the hitters rank so well in our model, I felt it made sense to discuss the situation as a whole right off the bat.
In cash games, I think you want at least 50 percent exposure to Coors Field bats (assuming the weather cooperates) and the higher the better. We all know Coors Field is the best hitter’s park in all of baseball and it’s by an extreme amount. Coors Field is an outlier. The situation is exacerbated today by two horrific pitching staffs. The Rockies are throwing Kyle Kendrick, who has a 5.94 ERA and 5.96 FIP through 18 starts. His combination of not missing bats (12.0 K percentage), not keeping the ball on the ground (38.7 GB rate) and allowing hard hit contact (34.3 hard hit rate) is a recipe for disaster in any park, but especially this one. Kendrick is backed up by a Rockies bullpen that has the highest ERA in all of baseball (4.55).
The Rangers will be throwing Matt Harrison, who is making just his second start of the season at the MLB level. He struggled mightily in the Minors (sub-2 K/BB ratio, 5.97 ERA in five starts) and his first start for the Rangers was a disaster (three walks against one strikeout and a homer allowed in four innings). Harrison has never been a very effective pitcher (4.21 career ERA) as he doesn’t miss bats and has dealt with plenty of health issues. Projections systems expect him to get smoked this year, with ZiPS calling for a 4.63 ERA and Steamer a 4.97 one. Like Kendrick, Harrison is backed up by an atrocious bullpen. In fact the Rangers bullpen has the second highest ERA in all of baseball, with the Rockies having the highest. As if all this wasn’t enough, the umpire in this game is the least favorable umpire for pitchers to have of all the games in action tonight.
It’s a perfect storm of a variety of factors that should boost scoring (park, starting pitchers, bullpens, umpire), which is why I’m so gung-ho about stacking Coors Field in cash games tonight. Consider that the total in this game is 11 and moving upwards, while the next highest game total is just at 9.5 then 8.5 and then everything else at 8 or lower. Throughout the content, I’ll mark the top and value plays from this game but will only add additional commentary if there’s something more insightful for me to say other than: Coors Field. I’ll also provide alternatives for tournaments and necessary complementary value/cheap plays.
Willin Rosario (COL) – Aside from all the goodness mentioned above, Rosario’s career numbers against LHP need to be pointed out: .414 wOBA, .293 ISO. He’s a top 15 overall hitter in our model tonight and a core play on sites like DraftKings where he’s both cheap and retains C eligibility. Teammate Michael McKenry (COL) (Hundley has caught three straight so I’m guessing McKenry starts) is a very strong value across the industry as well.
Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – Catcher is actually flooded with value tonight, but aside from Rosario on DK, Schwarber represents the best value. He remains cheap across the industry but has mammoth upside and hit second last night. Here’s what Drew Dinkmeyer had to say about him yesterday: “It’s going to be tricky to predict Schwarber’s playing time each day but when he’s in the lineup, he’ll serve as one of the best values at the catcher position. Schwarber hasn’t come with the hype of Kris Bryant but he has come with the production. Schwarber has hit .333/.429/.613 in two minor league seasons while Bryant hit .327/.426/.667 in his three minor league seasons before promotion.” If Schwarber is in the same lineup spot tonight, he’ll be tough to ignore given the power potential in Great American Ballpark and holding the platoon edge on Raisel Iglesias, who has had problems with LHBs in a very limited sample and multiple projection systems expect him to have a 4-plus ERA while allowing more than a homer per nine (just a 36.4 GB rate so far).
Additional catcher notes: While Rosario, Schwarber and McKenry are our preferred values at the position, there are other bargains to be had at the position today. Yadier Molina (STL) hit fifth against a LHP last time out and he sees a significant boost in park factor playing in US Cellular Field. He’s not as attractive on DraftKings (Rosario has C eligibility and is actually cheaper), but on FanDuel he’s cheaper than the other catchers mentioned. Matt Wieters (BAL) plate discipline numbers are all out of whack, preventing me from using him in cash when opportunity cost is so high. However, he should be considered in tournaments given a dropping price tag, the platoon edge on Nate Eovaldi (.346 wOBA allowed to LHBs since 2012) and a great park (Yankee Stadium is ideal for LHBs). John Jaso (TB) is overpriced on DraftKings, but his on base ways against RHP make him a safe, secondary value on FanDuel. Robinson Chirinos (TEX) deserves consideration due to game environment, but his skills, lineup spot and price tag that is elevated due to park factor make him a better tournament option than a cash game one.
Prince Fielder (TEX)
David Ortiz (BOS) – While I’ll try hard to pay up for Fielder and keep the Coors Field theme going, it’s possible to make a concession here and save some money with Ortiz, who ranks as a top five overall hitter in our model today. Opposing pitcher Vincent Velasquez can miss bats but he has really been playing with fire (3.94 BB/9, 26.4 GB rate). Thanks to a 6.7 HR/FB rate he is yet to be burned, but the power potential for opposing hitters is there. Ortiz is most likely to take advantage as he has a .407 wOBA and .278 ISO against RHP since 2012 and doesn’t show many signs of decline despite his age (.387/.255 this season).
Mitch Moreland (TEX)
Additional first base notes: Chris Davis (BAL) is a solid secondary value. He swings and misses a lot but he also makes a very high quality of contact when he connects, which has led to some elite power numbers against RHP over the years. He’ll face a pitcher in Nathan Eovaldi who has trouble missing left-handed bats and can take advantage of the short porch in right. Evan Gattis (HOU) is at home versus a rookie LHP making him a secondary cash game option and a nice tournament play. Tournament options include high priced non-Coors guys such as Paul Goldschmidt (ARI), Anthony Rizzo (CHC) and an apparently 27-year-old Albert Pujols (LAA).
Rougned Odor (TEX)
Jose Altuve (HOU) – Altuve is better for tournaments than cash games as Odor takes priority at a cheaper price tag. However, Altuve has been great against LHP throughout his career (.375 wOBA) and obviously carries elite stolen base upside. It’s also important to note that Altuve became a star last year by cutting down on his Ks and hitting for slightly more power. He’s more or less held the contact gains (striking out just 9.0 percent of the time) and currently has a career best .124 ISO. Altuve will face Boston rookie LHP Brian Johnson.
DJ LeMahieu (COL)
Robinson Cano (SEA) – We’ve been harsh on Cano for much of this season as he kept hitting the ground balls that limited his power last season and also saw a complete deterioration in his plate discipline (EYE of .27, .90 last season). While those concerns haven’t been alleviated, it is good to see that Cano has been elevating the ball a ton more in the month of July (GB rate dropped nearly 20 points). Not surprisingly, Cano has five homers in 71 July PAs after hitting just four over the season’s first three months combined (314 PAs). We’re a little bit more tolerant of using him as a result, and today he faces Shane Greene who has been absolutely horrific. Greene has a 6.32 ERA on the season. He got sent down to AAA where he really didn’t fare much better (just 4.78 K/9) and in his first start back up (7/12) he got smacked around by the Twins. Greene’s ability to miss bats from last season is completely gone and he has now allowed a .381 wOBA to LHBs for his career.
Additional second base notes: If differentiating yourself in a tournament, I’m a fan of two high upside second basemen who will be leading off for a couple of our contrarian stacks: Jason Kipnis (CLE) and Brian Dozier (MIN). The best alternative second base play for cash games is Jimmy Paredes (BAL) who is very affordable, in a good lineup spot and in a very good hitter’s park.
Troy Tulowitzki (COL) – While I don’t expect Matt Harrison to last long, it still makes sense to get most of your COL exposure with their RHBs, while placing less emphasis on the LHBs (Blackmon, CarGo). Harrison actually has the best wOBA split against LHP of any starting pitcher tonight, but he’s allowed a .345 wOBA to RHBs since 2012 (only Carlos Rodon‘s split is worse and his sample size is about a quarter the size). Tulo ranks as the top overall hitter in our model. Given that he plays at a scarce position and is surprisingly affordable relative to a lot of the other bats in this game, I’m considering him a core play.
Additional shortstop notes: The move in cash games is Tulowitzki but here are some of the best alternative options if you want to diversify in tournaments or lose money in cash games: Carlos Correa (HOU) is expensive so it’s tough to view him as anything but a tournament option with Tulowitzki not much more or even less expensive in some cases. Jhonny Peralta (STL) is viable on FanDuel. He gets a massive park shift in his favor and Carlos Rodon is volatile and has struggled with RHBs. Cheap options at the position include Brad Miller (SEA) and Francisco Lindor (CLE). Elvis Andrus (TEX) isn’t high in our model despite the elite environment but still an okay value at his price point. Bump him up if I’m right and McKenry starts for Colorado, as he is horrific at throwing out runners on stolen base attempts. Cesar Hernandez (PHI) remains a viable punt on DraftKings.
Nolan Arenado (COL)
Next in line:
Adrian Beltre (TEX) – Beltre is dealing with a thumb injury, which has me a bit hesitant to get too much exposure to him. However, it didn’t slow him down at all last night and the matchup is too good to rule him out of consideration over health concerns.
Kyle Seager (SEA) – I talked about why I like to pick on Shane Greene in Cano’s blurb, and Seager is a nice value. I expect his DFS salary to rise as the season continues as he’s made some nice overall strides that are hidden by his surface statistics, most notably a reduction in his K rate from 18 percent to 13.4. Seager has a .351 wOBA and .183 ISO against RHP since 2012.
Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – There’s nothing crazy about today’s matchup as Wei-Yin Chen has actually been very good this year. However, his 2.78 ERA is likely not sustainable (4.20 FIP), and Chen has served up plenty of power to RHBs for his career (1.31 HR/9). Rodriguez is at home in a favorable park and he’s been turning back the clock all season long with his power numbers (38.9 hard hit rate, 22.9 HR/FB rate. .238 ISO).
Additional third base notes: Pablo Sandoval (BOS) serves as a salary cap relief option, but his batting spot (sixth) isn’t ideal nor are his peripherals (.117 ISO, 24.4 hard hit rate). Another struggling third baseman who is affordable as a result is Evan Longoria (TB). He’s a secondary value as he’ll receive a nice park shift in his favor and take on Aaron Nola, a good prospect but making his first ever MLB start. Some strong tournament options are Manny Machado (BAL) and Kris Bryant (CHC).
Mike Trout (LAA) (tournament only due to high price tag, park and an improving Kyle Gibson)
Charlie Blackmon (COL) (elite upside despite L/L matchup, although you’re better off emphasizing the COL RHBs and saving a bit more on TEX OFs in cash games)
Josh Hamilton/Delino Deshields/Mitch Moreland (TEX) – Aside from the obvious factors going in favor for this trio, Hamilton and Moreland will benefit from Kendrick’s .335 wOBA and 1.10 HR/9 allowed to LHBs since 2012. Meanwhile, Deshields will lead for a team with a total of 5.5 and has a lot of stolen base upside, especially if McKenry is catching for Colorado.
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) – McCutchen is in a bad park for hitters, but it’s actually a slight upgrade to his home park. He’s obliterated LHP throughout his career (.440 wOBA, .248 ISO, 1.02 EYE) since 2012 and gets to face Jason Vargas. Vargas is having an awful year (36.4 hard hit rate) and is making his first start since landing on the DL with elbow problems. There’s plenty of power potential here for McCutchen. I probably won’t use him in cash since the park and KC bullpen drag down his overall value, but he’s a fine pivot off Coors Field guys in tournaments. Teammate Starling Marte (PIT) is a secondary value as well.
Matt Holliday (STL) – In a small sample size, Carlos Rodon has allowed a .361 wOBA to RHBs, as his wildness has led to a high hard hit rate (35.3) and high walk rate (14.4). Holliday has a middle of the pack price but given he has the platoon edge, Rodon’s small sample splits problems and the significant park shift, he’s a solid cash game value.
Marlins LHBs – While I have ARI starter Jeremy Hellickson written up as a tournament option, I still have no problems picking on him a bit in all formats. Hellickson has yielded a very high hard hit rate and has struggled with LHBs mightily, allowing a .322 wOBA and 1.16 HR/9 to them since 2012. Playing in Chase Field represents a significant positive park shift for the Marlins and Christian Yelich (MIA) (mid-tier price across the industry) as well as Ichiro Suzki (MIA) (leading off and near min price on DraftKings) are viable options.
Additional outfield notes: All of the Cubs outfielders merit tournament consideration. He’s struggling, but I can’t get over how favorable Yasiel Puig‘s (LAD) price is. On that basis alone I’d plug him in as a contrarian tournament option if multi-entering. David Peralta (ARI) is a bit overpriced, but he has significant upside with the platoon edge on Mat Latos, who will have to pitcher in a much smaller park than usual. Peralta has a .227 ISO, which is buoyed by a 24.8 hard minus soft hit rate, just a 3.2 IFFB rate and a growth in EYE from .27 to .48. Other groups of outfielders I’d consider in tournaments are Mookie Betts/Hanley Ramirez (BOS) and Kevin Kiermaier/Steven Souza (TB).
Rankings (price not considered):
1) Jacob DeGrom (NYM)
2) Gerrit Cole (PIT)
3) Danny Salazar (CLE)
4) Chris Heston (SF)
5) Michael Wacha (STL)
6) Jason Hammel (CHC)
7) Brett Anderson (LAD)
8) Joe Ross (WAS)
9) Nate Karns (TB)
10) Alex Wood (ATL)
11) Jeremy Hellickson (ARI)
12) Taijuan Walker (SEA)
13) Carlos Rodon (CHW)
14) Kyle Gibson (MIN)
15) Aaron Nola (PHI)
16) Matt Shoemaker (LAA)
17) Brian Johnson (BOS)
Jacob DeGrom (NYM) – DeGrom is the top starting pitcher in our model by a large margin. Drew talked about the Nationals depleted lineup yesterday (no Span, Rendon, Zimmerman), and this rates as a very plus matchup for DeGrom as a result. Of course, his skills don’t hurt either. DeGrom’s 2.61 xFIP is right in line with last season’s breakout (2.67). He’s striking out a healthy amount of batters (25.3 percent), and the only negative (a drop in GB rate) has been mitigated by a reduction in hard hit rate allowed. On single SP sites he may be too expensive if you want heavy Coors exposure, but on multi-SP sites there are enough cap relief options to use at second pitcher (like Ross below) where using DeGrom shouldn’t cost you necessary Coors exposure.
Joe Ross (WAS) – I opened today’s content urging you to stack or at least mini-stack Coors Field in cash games, and the pitcher that best fits in with this strategy is Joe Ross. It’s certainly not a risk free selection, but the combination of matchup, price and expensive Coors Field bats makes Ross the pitcher I’ll have the most exposure to today. He’s just $5,000 on both FanDuel and DraftKings and has a matchup against a lowly Mets offense. The Mets are 26th in wRC+ against RHP and also have the 10th highest K percentage on the season. Over the past 30 days they are 29th in MLB in wRC+. Ross has surprisingly strong upside for such a cheap starting pitcher, having posted FD point totals of 18 and 21.33 his past two starts. Through three starts he’s been remarkable across the board with great marks in K, BB and GB rates. Ross obviously won’t keep up his current pace but his Minor League numbers and Steamer projections indicate he can hold an above average K/BB ratio and limit the long ball. To show you how atrocious the Mets offense is, Ross is only listed as a slight underdog (+110) in a game with a very low total (7, slightly pushing downwards) despite facing an elite opposing pitcher in Jacob DeGrom. Note: One concern with Ross is that his pitch counts have been limited in the Minors. We’ll try and see if we can get information on a possible pitch count.
Chris Heston (SF) – You may love or hate Heston depending on when you’ve used him this year, as he’s been very up and down. Despite the volatility, he’s cash game playable today due to a combination of skill set, matchup and price. The rookie isn’t overly dominant as his 19.5 K percentage is right around average. However, when you combine the average K rate with above average control (6.6 BB%) and an elite GB rate (56.3), he has the ability to hold opponents at bay for long stretches, especially considering he isn’t giving up much hard contact (25.5 percent). This solid all-around skill set meets a favorable matchup/environment as Heston will face a heavily right handed Padres team that has a lot of strikeouts in them in Petco Park. Heston is listed as a -130 road favorite in a game with a low total of 7. He makes for a nice complementary option to Ross on multi-SP sites (gives you some upside but still keeps overall cost down) or he can be used on single SP sites if you’re unwilling to risk Ross but can’t pay up for DeGrom and still afford Coors Field bats.
Jeremy Hellickson (ARI) – Hellickson is never going to be a good cash game option as he gives up way too much hard contact, a problem that a favorable home hitting environment doesn’t help. However, he’s quietly flashed quite a bit of upside recently. He’s posted a sub-4.00 xFIP in eight of his past nine starts and has struck out at least 20 percent of batters faced in each of his past seven starts. As a result, there’s likely a lot more upside here than his season long 3.91 xFIP and 19.4 K percentage would indicate. That upside is bolstered by facing a Marlins team sans Giancarlo Stanton. They rank 29th in wRC+ against RHP and strike out slightly more than average. Additional note: It seems as if the whole world is on Joe Ross, so it makes a lot of since in a large field tournament, especially if multi-entering, to fade Ross and pivot to another cheap starting pitcher who will carry much lower ownership.
Raisel Iglesias (CIN) – Iglesias doesn’t crack our top 15 starting options but still has the upside to be worth using in tournaments, especially on DraftKings where he’s extremely cheap: $4,300. There’s significant risk against a Cubs team that has power that will play well in Great American Ballpark. However, Iglesias has an above average 20.6 K percentage, which gives him a high strikeout ceiling against a Cubs team that strikes out 24.5 percent of the time against right handed pitching (second highest mark in MLB). The floor is very low, but what better way to complement Coors Field bats in a tournament than with a pitcher who is $4,300 and carries six-plus strikeout upside.
Additional starting pitcher notes: Gerrit Cole (PIT) is having a phenomenal season but a variety of factors (recent performance, facing an AL team, Royals are a tough matchup) keep him a tier below DeGrom today. Danny Salazar (CLE) is always a phenomenal tournament option due to his 28.6 K percentage. Michael Wacha (STL) is a secondary value on DraftKings where he’s priced in line with Chris Heston. Facing an AL team in a tough park knocked him out of tier two, but there’s still significant upside here as Wacha has been missing bats over his past 10 or so starts and faces a White Sox team that has disappointed offensively all season long. There will probably be much debate over which cheap starting pitchers are the best to use in cash games tonight. Aside from the ones mentioned above, Carlos Rodon (CHW), Aaron Nola (PHI) and Matt Shoemaker (LAA) are options. Rodon is a high risk, high reward option as he has elite strikeout capability but also walks everyone in sight and pitches in an unforgiving ballpark. Nola was the seventh overall pick in the 2014 June Amateur Draft. He’s striking out a batter per inning at AAA and Steamer projects a reasonable 3.91 ERA. The matchup is favorable against the Rays, but it should be noted that they are improved against RHP with Loney and Jaso finally in the lineup together. Shoemaker has been horrific lately, striking out just nine batters over his last four starts. Oddly, though his velocity has actually been at its highest recently. I’m a bit freaked out by the recent reduction in Ks, especially in conjunction with the homer problems he’s had all year long. However, if you think it’s more of a random blip than a red flag, the $5,700 tag on DraftKings is awfully enticing for a home start against the Twins. He’s a heavy -160 favorite in a game with a 7.5 total.
Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:
This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (firstname.lastname@example.org) if you have suggestions.
Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:
1) Coors Field
1) Seattle Mariners (May go overlooked with many better parks in play but Shane Greene is an absolute mess right now; he’s given up 7 ER in four of 14 starts and at least 5 ER in six.)
2) Cleveland Indians (I’m hoping Drew doesn’t read down this far as it may bring up memories to when I had us draft Matt Garza in our NFBC league. Sigh. Garza has a 5.55 ERA on the season and is fresh off of a DL stint. While he hasn’t had any good fortune, his peripherals have all dropped off and his hard hit rate is 3.5 points above his career mark. Look for a heavily left-handed CLE team receiving a nice uptick in park factor to give Garza problems.)
3) Chicago Cubs (I’m actually a fan of Raisel Iglesias in deeper season long leagues, but he hasn’t shown much ability to keep the ball on the ground and this Cubs team can hit for power and run in a friendly hitter’s park.)
4) Houston Astros (Brian Johnson doesn’t project to be a bad MLB starter, but there’s always some uncertainty around any non-elite prospect making their MLB debut. He’ll face a high upside Astros team on the road, that almost always makes this part of the stack section due to their marks in homers and steals.)
5) St. Louis Cardinals (I love Carlos Rodon long term, but he’s a very wild pitcher who struggles with RHBs. Meanwhile, the Cardinals get a massive boost in park factor, giving them plenty of upside this evening.)
6) Boston Red Sox (As mentioned in Ortiz’s blurb, it’s only a matter of time before Velasquez starts serving up more bombs and that could lead to big trouble if his wildness leads to multiple runners being on base when it happens.)
7) Minnesota Twins (Truthfully, I could have listed almost any team in action tonight given the plethora of fringe starting pitchers throwing. However, I wanted to end this list with a team that’s truly contrarian. The Twins in a bad hitter’s park will likely be extremely low owned, but Matt Shoemaker has suffered from an elevated FB and HR/FB rate throughout the season and has all of a sudden stopped missing bats. I’m definitely taking a leap with this one, but hey if I didn’t have to do that it wouldn’t be contrarian, would it?)
MLB Game Weather Forecasts
In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.
BLT at NYY 7:05: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southwest 4-8 mph which blows out to left-center. The wind is a 6.
NYM at WSH 7:05: A 10-20% chance of a delay due to a thunderstorm. Not worried about a ppd. Temps in the low to mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8. Wind west 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.
TB at PHL 7:05: A 10% chance of a delay by a widely scattered thunderstorm. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind west 7-14 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.
SEA at DET 7:08: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind west 6-12 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.
LAD at ATL 7:10: A 10-20% chance of a delay due to a thunderstorm. Temps in the mid to upper 80s falling to near 80. Air density is an 8. Wind west 7-14 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.
CHC at CIN 7:10: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 80s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind north-northwest 7-14 mph lessening to nearly calm. The wind blows out to right early in the game. The wind is a 6 becoming a 5.
STL at CHW 8:10: Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind northwest 5-10 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.
PIT at KC 8:10: Dry. Temps near 80 falling to near 70. Air density is a 7. Wind northeast 4-8 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 4.
CLE at MIL 8:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind west 4-8 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.
BOS at HOU 8:10: Retractable roof. A 20% chance of a popup thunderstorm around. If the roof is open, temps will be in the low 90s falling into the mid 80s. Air density is a 9 becoming an 8. Wind south-southeast 6-12 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.
TEX at COL 8:40: Similar weather to last night, maybe a bit more pessimistic. Plenty of rain and thunderstorms around though it is not a steady nor heavy band of rain, kind of numerous showers and thunderstorms. While I think there is a ppd risk, it is low (20% at the most). Risk of a delay is real, 40-60%. Temps in the low to mid 70s falling into the upper 60s. Air density is a 10. Wind south-southeast 10-20 mph with gusts past 25 mph early in the game. The wind blows out to left-center and is a 9.
MIA at AZ 9:40: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the low 100s falling into the mid 90s. Air density is a 9. Wind west 9-18 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.
MIN at LAA 10:05: Dry. Temps in the mid 70s falling to near 70. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind west-southwest 10-20 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 9.
TOR at OAK 10:05: Dry. Temps near 70 falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind west-northwest 10-20 mph which blows out right. The wind is a 9.
SF at SD 10:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 70s falling into the low 70s. Air density is an 8. Wind west 7-14 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.