Daily Fantasy Rundown – July 21st MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: The game at risk today is no surprise, Denver looks to be rather wet yet again.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Stack Coors Field: It’s often difficult to write on Coors Field days as we don’t want to bore you by repetitively discussing players in that game for the same reasons. However, we also don’t want to be disingenuous and write up inferior values just for the sake of mixing it up. Today the total in Coors is so extreme and the hitters rank so well in our model, I felt it made sense to discuss the situation as a whole right off the bat.
In cash games, I think you want at least 50 percent exposure to Coors Field bats (assuming the weather cooperates) and the higher the better. We all know Coors Field is the best hitter’s park in all of baseball and it’s by an extreme amount. Coors Field is an outlier. The situation is exacerbated today by two horrific pitching staffs. The Rockies are throwing Kyle Kendrick, who has a 5.94 ERA and 5.96 FIP through 18 starts. His combination of not missing bats (12.0 K percentage), not keeping the ball on the ground (38.7 GB rate) and allowing hard hit contact (34.3 hard hit rate) is a recipe for disaster in any park, but especially this one. Kendrick is backed up by a Rockies bullpen that has the highest ERA in all of baseball (4.55).
The Rangers will be throwing Matt Harrison, who is making just his second start of the season at the MLB level. He struggled mightily in the Minors (sub-2 K/BB ratio, 5.97 ERA in five starts) and his