Daily Fantasy Rundown – July 24 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: COL is the game with the most worries tonight (ppd risk looks low). Smaller worry for a delay in BOS, other locales should be good.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Brayan Pena (CIN) – There are a handful of mid-tier to cheap catcher options on the day, but the one I’ll be targeting most in cash games is Pena. He generally hits fifth, and is playing in just about the only park that would represent a positive park shift for him (Coors Field). Pena is inexpensive across the industry and the easiest way to get Coors Field exposure given his price and position. While Pena has a pathetic -2.9 hard minus soft hit rate leading to a .036 ISO, he’ll at least take a walk (8.6 BB percentage) and make contact (7.5 K percentage). That’s enough for him to be along for the ride today as the Reds offense has the highest team total. As the road team in Coors Field, no team projects to get more at bats, and opposing pitcher Eddie Butler is a train wreck. He had a 4.80 ERA in 11 starts while walking more than he struck out. So naturally he got sent down to AAA….where he proceeded to post a 6.27 ERA before getting called back up for this start.
Victor Martinez (DET) – This is FanDuel specific as Martinez is not catcher eligible on most sites, but his price is really tempting there. Rick Porcello has turned to his four seam fastball more than in any other season since his rookie year. The result has been more strikeouts, but it’s come at a cost. His GB rate has dropped to a career low 44.5 percent, which in conjunction with a career high 31.6 hard hit rate, has led to him allowing way more power numbers than ever before and ultimately a 5.79 ERA. The quality of contact Martinez is making has dropped off exponentially, which has resulted in lower overall production. However, he’s still making plenty of contact and July represents his highest hard minus soft hit rate of any month. It’s a good time to buy.