Daily Fantasy Rundown – July 26th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Slight ppd risk in STL. Minor delay risks in NYM, MIN, COL and BOS. COL’s hitting environment is off the charts great while the wind is blowing out in BOS as well.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Michael McKenry (COL) – We expect McKenry will get the start on Sunday as Nick Hundley has caught six straight including back-to-back night games. McKenry always ranks well in our model because he’s demonstrated power against both RHP and LHP in a brief major league career. He’s played about half of his games in a great pitcher’s park and half in Coors Field and he’s compiled a career .167 ISO while the projection systems peg him for an ISO closer to .195-.200 in Coors Field. I don’t expect a good lineup spot with the Rockies fully healthy again but the price tag is discounted and he’s the most skilled of the potential Coors Field catchers on Sunday. Opposing starter, Michael Lorenzen, has allowed a 1.11 HR/9 to RHBs and owns a 5.51 FIP this season. He’s arguably the weakest starter on the slate and pitching in the toughest ballpark. McKenry is one of the more affordable ways to get exposure to Colorado, but you’ll need to confirm he’s in the lineup before locking him in on sites without late swap.
Brayan Pena/Tucker Barnhart (CIN) – It’s debatable whether Lorenzen or Kendrick is the worse starter in this game. Kendrick has allowed a .337 wOBA and 1.12 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. Neither Barnhart (.313 wOBA, .114 ISO) nor Pena (.302 wOBA, .093 ISO) are great hitters but they’re cheap and come with good lineup spots. Pena typically hits fifth which is great for RBI opportunities and expected plate appearances, while Barnhart typically hits seventh which is in front of the pitcher and great for Walt Weiss’ affinity for the intentional walk. Unlike Colorado, the Reds typically have their lineups out with plenty of time to spare, so I assume we’ll know which one is in before lock.