Welcome to June 1 MLB DFS action here at DailyRoto. Below you’ll find our Daily Fantasy Baseball Premium podcast for June 1 MLB DFS along with our LIVE Premium Chat and cliff notes. Make sure you’re using our customizable projections tool, you’re actively participating in the live chat, and you’re reviewing the cliff notes to supplement your research and roster construction process. Very best of luck in tonight’s action!
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June 1 MLB DFS Position Timestamps
00:53 Starting Pitcher
08:53 First Base
10:49 Second Base
12:26 Third Base
- In cash games, we recommend focusing on value plays to build your rosters (far right hand column of Projections page linked above). Value plays are those we feel have the highest probability of out-earning their current price tag. By packing value plays into your roster, you’re creating a team with a higher floor.
- In tournaments, we recommend building a core of the best value plays and then complementing them with players who have a high ceiling. This combination is essentially turning up the variance on a strong foundation and we believe often is the best recipe for tournament success.
June 1 MLB DFS CLIFF NOTES
For full SP rankings, see our projections: https://dailyroto.com/mlb-customizable-projections
Zack Greinke (ARI) and Marco Estrada (TOR) represent the top projected scorers at the starting pitcher position in this condensed slate. Both have been great this season. Greinke’s (29% K rate, 14.3% SwStr rate) and Estrada’s (28% K rate, 12.6% SwStr rate) strikeouts have taken a step forward this season, and so has their run prevention (3.24 ERA/3.27 FIP for Greinke, 3.15 ERA/3.25 FIP for Estrada) though Greinke has allowed more hard contact (37% Hard% according to fangraphs). Estrada has the tougher matchup for run prevention (Yankees are ranked second in wRC+, which is reflected in the IRTA – Estrada 4.2, Greinke 3.8), but he’s also over $3k cheaper than Greinke on DK and his projection is very similar to Greinke’s. You’re building around one of these pitchers in cash games tonight – our lean is Estrada due to the pricing gap but the allure of safer run prevention for Greinke (in a much better pitching environment than Estrada) keeps him in play. If you’re willing to punt multiple positions, it’s feasible to pair these two on DK.
Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS) and Alex Meyer (LAA) are the other two SPs that will draw some attention in this slate. Rodriguez has a nice matchup for Ks (Orioles are striking out 24.5% of the time vs. LHP, fifth highest mark) but the environment and his fly ball proneness makes him a better target for GPPs at his current price tag. Meyer has big splits (.410 wOBA, 21% K rate vs. LHBs – .326 wOBA, 28.4% K rate vs. RHBs) and this matchup won’t help as the Twins routinely trot out at least five LHBs. The Ks and fine price tag on both sites makes him a viable tournament target, but on DK the lack of alternatives in a short slate makes him a viable SP2 in cash games as well.
Jeff Locke (MIA) is really cheap (sub $5k) on DK but he’s making his first start this season albeit in a good pitching environment. He’s only in play for us in tournaments.
Gary Sanchez (NYY) is by far our top projected scorer at the catcher position though keep in mind that he hasn’t been hitting the ball very well lately (10.3% HHR over L15). It’s not a great matchup against Marco Estrada, but when Estrada struggles it’s because of the longball. Sanchez is in play in all formats.
Russell Martin (TOR) is a viable alternative on FD where he’s $2.7k. Martin will have the platoon edge, and he’s generated a .359 wOBA and .190 ISO vs. LHP since 2015.
Martin Maldonado (LAA) usually hits towards the bottom of the lineup (best case scenario is likely sixth), but he’ll have the platoon edge vs. Adalberto Mejia (.381 wOBA allowed to RHBs this season). Maldonado is usable as a cheap target on both sites.
Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) is our top projected scorer at first base. He’s expensive, but he’ll have the platoon edge against a pitcher that’s making his first start of the season and doesn’t miss bats (Jeff Locke). He’s a strong tournament play.
In cash games, we’re focusing on Hanley Ramirez (BOS). Ramirez’s HHR has been down lately, but he’ll have the platoon edge and we have a .383 wOBA, .233 ISO baseline for Ramirez vs. LHP. Ramirez will face Wade Miley, whose Ks are starting to wane off (2, 3, 3 Ks over L3 games – allowed at least one HR in each of those starts). Ramirez is an excellent play on both sites.
Albert Pujols (LAA) and teammate Jefry Marte represent viable alternatives. Pujols’ HHR has been on the rise lately (31.8% over L15) while Marte is simply cheap and carries 1b eligibility on DK. Kendrys Morales (TOR) can be considered in tournaments, particularly on FD where he’s $3.3k.
Sam Travis (BOS) is a fine salary relief play in GPPs as part of a Red Sox stack.
We’re once again interested in Josh Rutledge (BOS), who replaced Dustin Pedroia in the two-hole on Monday. Even if Rutledge doesn’t get to hit second, a top six lineup spot is acceptable at his prices around the industry and that’s likely where he’ll land in the lineup. If he happens to hit second, Rutledge becomes a cash game lock at a position that’s shallow.
Brandon Drury (ARI) is another 2b punt we’re interested in. Like Rutledge, Drury’s projected lineup spot in our projections is the two-hole and he’ll have the platoon edge as well. Even if you don’t get these options in the desired lineup spots, we’ll have to pursue them in cash games at a position with no opportunity cost.
Brian Dozier (MIN) has more upside than our punt options, but he’s fully priced. He’s a fine target in tournaments.
Josh Donaldson (TOR) and Manny Machado (BAL) carry the top projections at third base. Machado has been scuffling of late and his HHR is down over the L15, but there’s no way that he’s a $3.9k player on DK and $3.6k on FD. The prices alone make a player of his caliber a strong target, then you throw in a strong hitting environment and a matchup against a fly ball pitcher and Machado becomes very attractive. Donaldson has smashed LHP, generating a .411 wOBA and .279 ISO vs. southpaws since 2015. We’d prefer to stay in this tier of third basemen in cash games.
Cheap options like Luis Valbuena (LAA) and teammate Jefry Marte (on FD) are viable alternatives in tournaments though we much prefer Miguel Sano (MIN) from a pure upside perspective even if the price is appropriate.
Ideally, we’d like to keep our cash game exposure to Xander Bogaerts (BOS) and Chris Owings (ARI) at the shortstop position, which won’t be an issue over on FD. Bogaerts’ HHR is up to 29.4% over the L15 and Owings has flashed more event upside this season (already at 6 HRs, 9 SBs – ZiPS is projecting six more HRs and 13 more SBs for ROS).
Bogaerts and Owings are priced fully on DK, where the position is trickier. On that site, Nick Ahmed (ARI) is a fine salary relief target even if he doesn’t grab a good lineup spot though note that last time Arizona faced a LHP, Ahmed hit second. If we see him in that lineup spot once again, Ahmed would likely vault to the very top of our value column in our DK projections. Jorge Polanco (MIN) hit second yesterday, and if he’s in that same lineup spot tonight he’d emerge as a fine value as well. He’s priced very similarly to Ahmed on DK.
Mookie Betts (BOS) is our top projected hitter in this slate regardless of position. Betts’ event upside alone makes him a strong target in all formats, though the appropriate price tag might be hard to squeeze in cash games on DK if pursuing Greinke and Estrada is your end game. Betts is an easier fit on FD no matter what route you choose at SP.
Betts’ teammate, Chris Young (BOS), is our best OF value on FD where he’s just $2.4k. Young carries PH risk, but the cheap price tags coupled with very strong production vs. LHP (.403 wOBA, .232 ISO vs. southpaws since 2015 – 290 PAs) makes him a great play in all formats.
You can fill the rest of your OF with targets like Kevin Pillar (TOR) (better on DK), Kole Calhoun (LAA) (on DK), Aaron Hicks (NYY) (on FD) and Joey Rickard (BAL) (PH risk). All of these outfielders have good lineup spots and outside of Calhoun, they’ll carry the platoon edge as well. If Chris Owings doesn’t lead off for Arizona, we could see Rey Fuentes (ARI) make an appearance in that spot and he’s cheap around the industry.
1) Boston Red Sox
2) Toronto Blue Jays
The Red Sox and Blue Jays carry the highest IRTs in this slate at 4.7 and 4.8 respectively and it’s not difficult to have access to either offense. The Red Sox are likely going to be more chalky, but a healthier Blue Jays lineup vs. a LHP makes them an attractive stack in a condensed slate.
3) Los Angeles Angels
No Trout, but there’s some speed upside with Maybin (if he returns to the lineup), power upside with Pujols and cheap targets like Calhoun and Maldonado on DK against Mejia and an awful bullpen makes them viable.
It’s a downgrade in hitting environment for the Dbacks as they’ll be in Marlins Park, and they have been a below average offense vs. LHP this season. However, they’re facing Jeff Locke who’s making his first start of the season. For his career, Locke has generated a 16.3% K rate and a 4.41 ERA/4.23 xFIP. The Dbacks are very aggressive on the basepaths (16 SBs vs. LHP this season – most in the league), and they have a power upside bat in Paul Goldschmidt who can run as well.