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6/11: There’s safety in Garrett on Thursday

6/11: There’s safety in Garrett on Thursday
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 11th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Thursday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Weather: We’re keeping an eye on Chicago. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.


Top Play:

Buster Posey (SFG) – Posey is facing a below average LHP this evening and he’s usually the top play when he’s facing a southpaw due to his amazing skill set. Posey has accumulated a .420 wOBA, 175 wRC+ and .244 ISO against LHP since 2012. It amazes me that Posey has been this type of hitter while playing the majority of his games in one of the worst hitting environments in baseball (AT&T Park). He faces Jon Niese (has allowed a .324 wOBA, 22 percent LD rate and has struck out 17 percent of RHBs since 2012) in a bad hitting environment (Citi Field). If you’re paying up for a catcher today, Posey is the best available option (only catcher to rank inside our top 15 overall hitters).

Next in line:

Matt Wieters (BAL) – Wieters is priced like Posey on most sites and he has been a very good hitter against LHP (.377 wOBA and .231 ISO against LHP since 2012). He’s playing in a superior hitting environment (Camden Yards) and Wade Miley isn’t all that good (.323 wOBA allowed to RHBs since 2012). He’s not quite Buster Posey but he’s a switch hitter (good for his DFS value) and he hits cleanup for an Orioles offense that’s approaching 4.5. It makes sense to have exposure to this offense, especially at a scarce position.

Value Plays:

Miguel Montero (CHC) – Montero is priced favorably around the industry and even though he’s not a great hitter against RHP (.338 wOBA and .141 ISO against RHP since 2012), he usually hits cleanup. Michael Lorenzen is a pitcher we would like to target against (16 percent BB rate, 34 percent LD rate against LHBs and has a rest of season ERA above 5.00, according to ZiPS projections). The Cubs have a team total approaching 4.5 runs and Montero gives you exposure to a good lineup spot in this offense at a scarce position.

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