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June 14 MLB DFS: Madison Garners Your Attention
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June 14 MLB DFS: Madison Garners Your Attention

00:40 Starting Pitchers
07:17 Catchers
09:03 First Base
12:33 Second Base
14:22 Shortstop
16:44 Third Base
18:56 Outfield
23:10 Cash Game Roster Construction & Stacks



June 14 MLB DFS Pro Tip

Starting Pitcher Rankings

Tier One

1) Madison Bumgarner (SF)

Tier Two

2) Jacob deGrom (NYM)

3) Drew Pomeranz (SD)

4) David Price (BOS)

Tier Three

5) Taijuan Walker (SEA)

6) John Lackey (CHC)

7) Kenta Maeda (LAD)

8) Julio Teheran (ATL)

9) Gio Gonzalez (WAS)

Madison Bumgarner (SF) headlines a rather deep day for pitching but he’s a very clear cut top option and someone we’re prioritizing in cash games. Bumgarner faces a Brewers’ lineup that is certainly scarier against LHP but ranks just 21st in wRC+ and is receiving a monstrous park downgrade. They strike out the 12th most in the league against LHP and Bumgarner’s implied team total against is a full run lower than almost every other starter on the slate. The second tier of starters is filled with strong options but all are in unappealing matchups. Jacob deGrom (NYM) has the most appealing of the group against a RH heavy Pirates’ lineup that have lost Francisco Cervelli and are playing through other injuries. Jacob deGrom is the only other starter on the slate with an implied team total against below 3.5 (3.3). Drew Pomeranz (SD) is next in line against a Marlins’ offense that has the 11th highest K Rate against LHP and ranks just 18th in wRC+. With Stanton struggling, they’re a lot less intimidating of an offense against LHP. David Price (BOS) is a little behind with a tough matchup against the Orioles in a park that really helps RH pull power. All three of these options are in play as complementary starters to Bumgarner on multiple SP sites, but may become a touch too expensive a combination with a Coors Field game on the slate. If you can’t afford one of those tier two starters, we recommend turning your attention to a slightly cheaper option in our third tier. Taijuan Walker (SEA) has always had these wide home/road splits that are a bit of a nuisance but it’s a strong pitching environment in Tampa against a Rays’ offense that has the third highest K Rate against RHP and ranks 11th in the league in wRC+ against RHP.

The rest of the third tier represents some solid tournament targets. Julio Teheran (ATL) is one of our favorites as the Reds’ offense is primarily RH outside of Votto and Bruce and Teheran has dominated RHBs (27.6 K Rate, .233 wOBA allowed this season). Gio Gonzalez (WAS) draws a tough Cubs’ offense that is a bit more contact oriented against LHP but his recent strikeout bump earns him consideration as a tournament target as well.

Catcher Rankings

1) Victor Martinez (DET) – where eligible

2) Brian McCann (NYY)

3) Buster Posey (SF)

4) Nick Hundley (COL)

5) J.T. Realmuto (MIA) – if leadoff

Catcher is a really difficult position on Tuesday as most of the top options are priced up and salary relief is really an emphasis at these positions without a lot of depth and opportunity cost. Victor Martinez (DET) rates as our top catcher option on FanDuel and he’s priced rather reasonably but using him will put a bit of a squeeze on the roster if paying for Bumgarner and trying to fit in Coors Field exposure. Brian McCann (NYY) might not even draw the start against a lefty and paying full price for him as opposed to spending on other more premier bats with the platoon advantage in Coors Field is a poor allocation of resources in cash games. If in the lineup, he’d represent a fine tournament target. Buster Posey (SF) has a nice matchup with Matt Garza, but again is largely full price. As a result, we’re looking for punt options on both sites as potential ways to create salary cap for spending at more premium positions. These punts will most likely emerge during alerts.

First Base Rankings

1) Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – where eligible, no DH?

2) Miguel Cabrera (DET)

3) David Ortiz (BOS)

4) Joey Votto (CIN)

5) Paul Goldschmidt (ARZ)

6) Rob Refsnyder (NYY)

7) Eric Hosmer (KC)

8) Carlos Santana (CLE)

9) Adrian Gonzalez (LAD)

10) Brandon Belt (SF)

Alex Rodriguez (NYY) ranks as our top first base option on DraftKings where he’s eligible but we question whether he’ll take the field without a DH in a National League park. Even if he is in the lineup, we’d rather our exposure to Rodriguez come at third base, a position that is much weaker. This is a position that has a lot of depth to it and one we’re looking to get as much value out of as possible due to that depth. On FanDuel, Rob Refsnyder (NYY) would emerge as the top value play at the position if he were to hit in the Top Five, as he has of late against LHP. Refsnyder has a solid, but unspectacular, projection against LHP (.323 wOBA, .155 ISO) but gets the big park shift and Jorge de la Rosa has yielded a .348 wOBA and .188 ISO to RHBs since the start of last season. On DraftKings, Miguel Cabrera (DET) has a phenomenal price tag ($4,100) that gives you exposure against Miguel Gonzalez who has allowed a .326 wOBA and .151 ISO against RHBs since the start of 2015. The Tigers are getting a nice park shift themselves, especially for power, and they have a solid implied team total just shy of five. Joey Votto (CIN) is the secondary target with a strong individual matchup against Julio Teheran (.378 wOBA, .212 ISO to LHBs since 2015), but the success of a very RH heavy lineup may limit his favorable opportunities.

Second Base Rankings

1) Starlin Castro (NYY)

2) Matt Carpenter (STL) – where eligible

3) Jose Altuve (HOU)

4) Jurickson Profar (TEX)

5) Jason Kipnis (CLE)

6) Ian Kinsler (DET)

7) DJ LeMahieu (COL)

8) Robinson Cano (SEA)

9) Daniel Murphy (WAS)

10) Dustin Pedroia (BOS)

Starlin Castro (NYY) is our primary target at second base and he represents the best value by a wide margin. Castro has repeatedly hit Top Five against LHP and without the DH, we’d expect Castro to hit right in the middle of the lineup. Castro isn’t a very good hitter against LHP (.316 wOBA, .115 ISO since start of 2014 against LHP) but the position is pretty shallow and a huge park shift on a team with the highest implied run total (nearly six), makes him your primary target. Jurickson Profar (TEX) and Jason Kipnis (CLE) are viable pivots, better in tournaments if Castro lands in a good lineup spot.

Shortstop Rankings

1) Manny Machado (BAL)

2) Carlos Correa (HOU)

3) Corey Seager (LAD)

4) Francisco Lindor (CLE)

5) Trevor Story (COL)

6) Xander Bogaerts (BOS)

Manny Machado (BAL) tops our shortstop rankings but a matchup with David Price makes for an unappealing way to allocate resources in cash games. This is another position we’re really prioritizing salary relief. On DraftKings, Alcides Escobar (KC) is just $2,300 and is the best way to free up salary to afford Madison Bumgarner and still field a healthy offense. On FanDuel, Escobar is a little more expensive ($2,600) and he ultimately might be our best cheap option but if Tim Anderson (CHW) leads off again he’d represent a nice pure punt as well. The rest of the top ranked shortstop options are all strong tournament targets.

Third Base Rankings

1) Nolan Arenado (COL)

2) Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – no DH?

3) Kris Bryant (CHC)

4) Manny Machado (BAL) – where eligible

5) Matt Carpenter (STL)

6) Jurickson Profar (TEX) – where eligible

7) Danny Valencia (OAK)

8) Jake Lamb (ARZ)

9) Chase Headley (NYY)

10) Justin Turner (LAD)

Nolan Arenado (COL) barely edges out Alex Rodriguez (NYY) as our top third base option. Nate Eovaldi is pretty tough on RHBs (.293 wOBA, .112 ISO since 2015) which makes it a tough matchup to pay full price on Arenado. The depth at third base is solid, but few individual values really stand out so paying up is viable in cash games. If Rodriguez does play, he represents the better value around the industry. Chase Headley (NYY) leaves a lot to be desired from a skill set, but might hit fifth and is priced fairly around the industry. He’s another way to access Coors Field, though our model thinks options like Jurickson Profar (TEX), Jake Lamb (ARZ), and Justin Turner (LAD) are all viable alternatives. Headley’s a switch hitter that will hold the platoon advantage throughout the game and while he isn’t a great hitter (.311-315 wOBA, .115-.120 ISO against RHP and LHP) he’s in a nice situation for Fantasy production.

Outfield Rankings

1) Bryce Harper (WAS)

2) Mike Trout (LAA)

3) Carlos Gonzalez (COL)

4) Charlie Blackmon (COL)

5) Carlos Beltran (NYY)

6) Rob Refsnyder (NYY) – where eligible

7) Mookie Betts (BOS)

8) Jacoby Ellsbury (NYY)

9) Brett Gardner (NYY)

10) Michael Conforto (NYM)

11) Giancarlo Stanton (MIA)

12) Curtis Granderson (NYM)

13) Kris Bryant (CHC) – where eligible

14) Ian Desmond (TEX)

15) David Peralta (ARZ)

16) Mark Trumbo (BAL)

17) J.D. Martinez (DET)

18) Gregory Polanco (PIT)

19) Cameron Maybin (DET)

20) Lorenzo Cain (KC)

As is typically the case, the outfield is loaded. Bryce Harper (WAS) and Mike Trout (LAA) outpace the Coors Field bats in our model. Carlos Gonzalez (COL), Charlie Blackmon (COL), and Carlos Beltran (NYY) follow them to round out our Top Five in the outfield and they represent five of our top six hitters overall. Rob Refsnyder (NYY) carries outfield eligibility on DraftKings and due to the positional depth at first base, we’d prefer to use Refsnyder in the outfield. His $3,300 price tag is a very cheap way to get Coors Field exposure. David Peralta (ARZ) and Michael Conforto (NYM) rate as two strong values on both sites and represent a nice source of salary relief with the platoon advantage. Coco Crisp (OAK) is an exceptional way to get cheap exposure to an Athletics’ offense we like against LHP on DraftKings ($2,700). Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) gets a lefty, but a good one in Drew Pomeranz. The price tag remains viable on FanDuel ($2,900) but he still feels like a better tournament target than cash game option until he gets going again.

Stack Rankings

Tier One

1) New York Yankees

2) Colorado Rockies

Tier Two

3) Cleveland Indians

4) Detroit Tigers

5) Los Angeles Dodgers

6) Boston Red Sox

7) Texas Rangers

Coors Field always seems to take precedent and that is the case again on this slate. Both teams feel like they might be a little over-owned relative to other offenses. This game is back down to an 11.5 total and not the 12/12.5 totals we saw over the weekend.

As a result any of the tier two stacks are interesting tournament pivots. Cleveland faces Chris Young who is vulnerable to power and stolen bases and doesn’t work deep into games which often gives the opponent looks at the weak long relievers on the Royals. The Royals’ bullpen should also be short-handed as Wade Davis and Kelvin Herrera have both worked on three consecutive days. Chris Young doesn’t work deep into games which means we’re probably seeing Chieng Ming Wang for a few innings. This is a very favorable spot for Cleveland and the park environment plus usual fears of the Royals’ bullpen should keep ownership in check.

The Tigers get a nice park shift for power against a RHP with reverse splits that is fly ball prone. The Dodgers get a huge park shift and while Archie Bradley has been better this time through the majors, the command issues can lead to early exits. The Red Sox are the Red Sox and the Rangers get one of the weakest lefties in baseball. It’s a good night to use the second tier as a way to take advantage of likely inflated ownership on the Coors Field game.

Contrarian Stack

-Houston Astros – Jaime Garcia has seen his velocity down slightly and the BB rate creeping up over the last two outings. The Astros are always interesting against LHP and with the big park shift and Garcia’s GB rate, they’ll come with no ownership. This is a bit dependent on Carlos Correa‘s health but getting Altuve, Correa, Springer, and Gattis as a stack with sub-five percent ownership is intriguing against a LHP that has a history of mid-season DL stints and fading velocity of late.

MLB Daily Analysis

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