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6/14 MLB DFS: Invest in Ortiz while on Sale

Photo of David Ortiz by Keith Allison by CC 2.0
6/14 MLB DFS: Invest in Ortiz while on Sale
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 14th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com. 

Weather: Two moderate concerns in terms of delays are in DET and PIT today. I think the threat is slightly higher in DET but I feel there is good chance of delays in both places after 3 PM (can not be completely ruled out before 3 PM but the chances are lower). Several locations have the threat of pop-up thunderstorms affecting games in NYC, BLT, STL, TEX and CHC. But much like we saw yesterday in TEX and CHC, there is little threat for a cancellation (well STL is a bit of a different story, see the notes) but delays are a small worry there.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Top Plays:

Brian McCann (NYY) – McCann hasn’t sat out a game this week so there is a decent chance he’s unavailable on Sunday. If he is in the lineup, he’s our top play at the catcher position. As of this writing, Vegas hasn’t released a line on the Orioles-Yankees game but we fully expect it to have the highest total on the slate. The Yankees face rookie Mike Wright who has been homer prone (1.48 HR/9) in his first four starts at the big league level. ZiPS projection system isn’t optimistic on Wright, projecting a .336 wOBA and .152 ISO allowed to LHBs along with a 4.76 ERA rest of season. Lefties have hit him hard (32.4 percent hard hit rate, 2.53 HR/9) early on as he’s allowed a .372 wOBA to the first 45 LHBs he’s faced at the big league level. McCann has shown good power against RHP (.192 ISO since 2012) and Camden Yards is a good park for power. If in the lineup, he ranks inside our Top 45 hitters and is our top option at the position.

Evan Gattis (HOU)/Russell Martin (TOR) – Gattis and Martin rank a bit below McCann but are acceptable alternatives and more likely to find their way into the lineups. They both get the platoon advantage in good offensive environments. Gattis is a bit more volatile as the Astros lineup as a whole is boom-or-bust and without Jose Altuve they take a hit in expected support. He’s posted a .333 wOBA against LHP but an impressive .230 ISO since 2012. Roenis Elias is ground ball oriented but he’s been vulnerable to RHBs (.323 wOBA and 1.04 HR/9). Martin is a more well-rounded option and part of a better overall offense against LHP, but faces potentially a more difficult matchup. Eduardo Rodriguez has been dominant in his first three starts at the big league level and he’s missing a ton of bats. ZiPS thinks Rodriguez will be average against RHBs (.320 wOBA, .141 ISO projected) which suggests he’s wildly out-performing expectations so far. The Blue Jays are so good against LHP that I think Martin will earn strong opportunities. Martin has posted a .345 wOBA and .169 ISO against LHP since 2012. Gattis’ power pushes him up our model rankings a bit more, but I think the two are essentially interchangeable. I’m currently leaning to Martin as slightly ahead of Gattis for cash games.

Value Play:

Wilson Ramos (WAS) – Ramos got a day off on Thursday and the Nationals played a day game on Saturday, so I think there is a good chance he’s in the lineup on Sunday. Ramos has been hitting fifth of late and he’s demonstrated strong power potential against RHP (.161 ISO since 2012). With a nice park shift for power and a good lineup spot, Ramos is simply underpriced around the industry. He’ll face Taylor Jungmann who was struggling mightily at AAA (6.37 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 11.2 BB Rate) before injuries forced him into the Brewers rotation.

Additional catcher notes: Catchers often get the day off on Sundays so you’ll want to emphasize players from early games where we have confirmed lineups. This also may open up some punt options, which we’ll tackle via our alerts.

First Base

Top Plays:

As usual there are a number of top plays at the first base position, but with an emphasis on high end pitching, it’s less realistic to spend on them in cash games. In addition, David Ortiz (BOS) is discounted around the industry and he ranks as our Top First Base option. As a result, he’ll represent our primary target in cash games. The expensive options at first base that rank well in our model and represent strong tournament options include: Edwin Encarnacion (TOR), Anthony Rizzo (CHC), Prince Fielder (TEX), and Jose Abreu (CHW). They make the most sense in tournaments as a part of stacks or mini-stacks.

Best Value:

David Ortiz (BOS) – Ortiz has been a staple of our content against RHP of late. Yes, there is risk of decline in his skill set, but his price point has dropped too far. He’s shown signs of life this week, homering in two of the last three games. On the season, he’s posted a .377 wOBA and .224 ISO against RHP. He’ll face Marco Estrada who has allowed just a .305 wOBA to LHBs since 2012 but 1.38 HR/9. Ortiz relies heavily on his power for his value, so the matchup with an extreme fly ball starter (46.7 FB Rate vs. LHBs) is an exceptional one. The Red Sox are mild favorites in one of the two games with a total of nine (we expect the Orioles-Yankees will make it three) and as a result have one of the highest implied run totals on the slate. Ortiz is an inexpensive way to Red Sox exposure and comes with the highest home run score in our model. He’s a Top Five overall hitter in our model and our top first baseman.

Additional Values:

Lucas Duda (NYM) – Duda has crushed RHP in recent years (.364 wOBA, .222 ISO since 2012) and he faces Mike Foltynewicz who has allowed a .404 wOBA and 1.74 HR/9 to LHBs as a big leaguer. Foltynewicz has great stuff and been great against righties but he’s giving up a 51 percent FB Rate to LHBs. The Mets offense doesn’t project great as a whole but the individual matchup for the power LHBs (Duda and Granderson) are great. Duda cracks our Top 15 overall hitters.

Chris Davis (BAL) – Davis gets a mediocre RHP at home. He’s posted a .377 wOBA and .278 ISO against RHP since 2012 and the price point is down a bit around the industry. Adam Warren does a good job limiting LH power (.315 wOBA, 0.95 HR/9 allowed to LHBs since 2012) but he doesn’t miss bats (11.1 percent K Rate against LHBs this season). The biggest negative with Davis is contact issues so I love deploying him in matchups against pitchers that struggle to miss bats. He’s a Top 15 hitter in our model and isn’t priced like it around the industry.

Additional first base notes: Joe Mauer (MIN) has a plus matchup against Nick Martinez (.337 wOBA allowed to LHBs since 2012) and hits third in a good park environment. Mauer doesn’t have great power against RHP but he’s a good bet to get on base a few times. His .360 wOBA against RHP since 2012 makes him a high probability option. Unfortunately, the lack of power puts him in a weird pricing limbo. He’s too close to Duda, Davis, and Ortiz that all profile stronger and he’s not a great tournament option because of the lack of power. Chris Carter (HOU) ranks a bit below Mauer in our model (Top 25) but has that elite power against LHP (.242 ISO) that makes him a favored tournament play.

Second Base

Value Plays:

Jimmy Paredes (BAL) – Paredes hasn’t historically hit RHP well (.310 wOBA, .128 ISO) but he’s crushed it this season (.372 wOBA, .190 ISO) thanks to a healthy 29.5 percent hard hit rate and 29.1 percent line drive rate. I’m hesitant to pay full price for Paredes given the lack of history but the price has come down on most sites. On FanDuel he’s just $2,500 and even on DraftKings the price is approaching that of an average hitter. We expect the Orioles-Yankees game to have a total around nine, which would put the game on par with the other top scoring environments of the slate. Paredes hits second or third against RHP and faces a below average RHP in Adam Warren.

Robinson Cano (SEA) – Cano is pretty much the opposite of Paredes. He’s struggled mightily against RHP this season (.280 wOBA, .096 ISO) but has historically crushed RHP (.400 wOBA, .225 ISO since 2012). He’s also hit the ball extremely hard all season (34.7 percent hard hit rate, 23.5 percent LD Rate) but has a BABIP approaching a career low (.284). Lance McCullers is a difficult matchup to assess because he’s so wildly outperformed expectations early on, but in the minors he was vulnerable to LHBs. This play admittedly comes with a lot of risk. Both Cano and McCullers baseline are a bit of an unknown, but with a depressed price point I’m willing to take the risk. He’s in a plus park with a premier lineup spot and the platoon advantage.

Additional second base notes: Jace Peterson (ATL) gets the leadoff spot and the platoon advantage against Dillon Gee (.344 wOBA, 1.28 HR/9 allowed to LHBs). Peterson isn’t much of a hitter but it’s a good matchup and the price is fine. Jeff Baker (MIA) has been a nice source of value against LHP but he’s hit sixth of late. If he’s hitting fourth, he’s a solid value against Jorge de la Rosa (.341 wOBA to RHBs since 2012). If he hits sixth, I’d only consider him a tournament option. Jason Kipnis (CLE) and Brian Dozier (MIN) are the top options at the position but carry very expensive price tags. I’d prefer exposure in tournaments. Jose Altuve (HOU) is too cheap for a matchup with a LHP but we expect he’ll remain out of the lineup with an injury. If he’s in, he’s a fine value play.

Shortstop

Top Play

Troy Tulowitzki (COL) – Tulowizki ranks inside our Top 25 hitters despite the big downgrade in park. Dan Haren is vulnerable to power but he’s solid overall. The Rockies offense has struggled mightily away from Coors Field and I don’t see much need to pay full price in a low scoring environment.

Value Plays:

Ian Desmond (WAS) – Desmond continues to hit in poor lineup spots which makes him an inconsistent value play. He ranks inside our Top 30 overall hitters and is priced favorably around the industry, but we don’t know where he’ll hit. If he’s inside the Top Five lineup spots, he’s a fine value against Taylor Jungmann who was really struggling at AAA before the promotion.

Carlos Correa (HOU) – Correa was destroying LHP before his promotion (.441/.487/.868) in a small sample (76 plate appearances). ZiPS projection system isn’t particularly optimistic on Correa’s major league skill set (.306 wOBA, .111 ISO projected against LHP) but he’s been hitting second and surrounded by good hitters against LHP (Springer, Gattis, and Carter). On sites the price is still depressed, he’s a solid value play.

Xander Bogaerts (BOS) – Bogaerts hasn’t hit RHP well at the big league level (.283 wOBA, .107 ISO) but he’s been thrust into premier lineup spots of late. Marco Estrada is really vulnerable to RH power (.314 wOBA, 1.42 HR/9) and he allows a hefty pull rate (40.5 percent). Pulled fly balls in Fenway Park have a great chance at home runs or extra base hits which inflates Bogaerts value a bit. With Sandoval banged up, we expect Bogaerts to garner another solid lineup spot making him a nice value around the industry.

Additional shortstop notes: Shortstop is a really difficult position to project on Sunday because many of the best options have volatile lineup spots. In general, you want to save money at the position and try to find someone in a decent lineup spot. We’ll monitor the position via alerts. Yunel Escobar (WAS) consistently gets a strong lineup spot and faces a below average RHP. He’s not a great hitter but the price is fair. If Bryce Harper is able to play on Sunday, he remains a fine play. If Harper is out, Escobar loses some value since he drives so much of his value through runs scored. If Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) leads off again, he’ll represent a fine value play against Jorge de la Rosa. Stephen Drew (NYY) and J.J. Hardy (BAL) have nice power upside but typically hit so low that they’re only viable in tournaments. Ivan DeJesus Jr. (CIN) has earned good lineup spots of late and is priced as a pure punt. The risk is we don’t have a long history of his usage to project a lineup spot in a Sunday night game. He’s only a pure punt option (DraftKings).

Third Base

Top Play:

Josh Donaldson (TOR) – Donaldson is a ridiculous hitter against LHP (.420 wOBA, .303 ISO since 2012). Eduardo Rodriguez has been so good that it’s hard to pick on him in cash games, especially with fully priced Blue Jays but Donaldson is very clearly the top play at the position. The position is deep with values so I’m more likely to get my exposure to Donaldson in tournaments.

Value Plays:

Chase Headley (NYY) – Headley has been hitting second with Ellsbury out and it’s been a nice boost to his value. He’s hit RHP well in recent years (.344 wOBA, .155 ISO) and faces a below average RHP in Mike Wright. Headley ranks within our Top 20 overall hitters and comes with a discount below the average cost of a hitter on most sites. On FanDuel, Headley is the bare minimum ($2,200).

Joey Gallo (TEX) – Gallo faces an extreme fly ball pitcher who has struggled limiting the long ball in his career. Phil Hughes has been more vulnerable to RHBs (.353 wOBA, 1.59 HR/9 since 2012) than LHBs (.304 wOBA, 1.01 HR/9) but a 44 percent FB Rate is something to attack with Gallo’s immense power. Gallo was assaulting RHP in AA (.286/.390/.667) and he’s continued that at the major league level early on (.421/.500/.632 in 22 PA). It’s a very small sample and Gallo is a volatile hitter, but a fly ball prone RHP is a good matchup. I’m more likely to play Headley in cash games as he’s a more projectable asset, but Gallo is a fine alternative.

Additional third base notes: Alex Rodriguez (NYY), Anthony Rendon (WAS), and Manny Machado (BAL) are all strong options with reasonable price points. They’re alternative value plays to Headley and Gallo. Pablo Sandoval (BOS) has that great matchup with Marco Estrada‘s fly ball tendencies we’re happy to attack, but he left Saturday’s game early with an injury.

Outfield

Top Plays:

Five of our top six hitters in the model are outfielders. They rank as follows: Giancarlo Stanton (MIA), Bryce Harper (WAS), Jose Bautista (TOR), Mike Trout (LAA), and George Springer (HOU). Stanton and Harper are the two I’m most likely to pay up for if I can spend big on an outfielder. Harper’s health is a mild question mark so I’d need a confirmed lineup to invest in him. Springer comes at the most reasonable price point across the industry. Trout cracks the Top Five on his offensive merits but the matchup (Sonny Gray) isn’t particularly compelling. I’d only get exposure to him in tournaments. Brett Gardner (NYY) is generally expensive around the industry but where he’s cheaper than the options above, I’m comfortable using him as a top end outfield option in cash games. The Yankees offense is one of the top offenses to target. Brandon Moss (CLE) and Michael Brantley (CLE) are two other potential high priced cash game outfielders.

Value Plays:

Shin Soo Choo/Mitch Moreland (TEX) – Choo, especially, and Moreland both hit RHP well and hit it for power. Choo owns a .391 wOBA and .197 ISO against RHP since 2012 while Moreland is at .337 and .196 respectively. They come with premier lineup spots in a good environment for power and Phil Hughes does struggle with home runs. Hughes is a bit more vulnerable to RHBs than LHBs but with Choo and Moreland at reasonable price points, I think they’re strong value plays. Choo is my preferred target. I also don’t mind Delino Deshields Jr. (TEX) on sites where the price point is depressed (like DraftKings).

Curtis Granderson (NYM) – Granderson is a slightly above average hitter against RHP (.334 wOBA) but he has hit for a bunch of power (.199 ISO) since 2012. We’ve profiled Mike Foltynewicz‘s issues with LH power in the Lucas Duda recommendation and all the same reasons apply here. Foltynewicz allows a ton of fly balls and so far that has turned into a lot of home runs from LHBs. Granderson cracks our Top 40 hitters overall.

Additional outfield notes: Unfortunately, the outfield position is really muddled on Sunday. There are a lot of potential value plays if they garner elite lineup spots, but we’ll have to wait on alerts to sort through most of them. Travis Snider (BAL), Eddie Rosario (MIN), and Logan Morrison (SEA) are all potential value plays with the right lineup spot. Joc Pederson (LAD) is cheap on DraftKings and a strong site specific value play against homer prone James Shields. Denard Span (WAS) is overpriced on DraftKings but more reasonable on other sites. He ranks similarly to Granderson in our model and is a higher probability play. The key is finding a price point similar to Granderson. Angel Pagan (SF) and Nick Markakis (ATL) are rather boring, but acceptable, secondary value plays. Rubby de la Rosa and Dillon Gee both have extreme splits against LHBs. Neither Markakis nor Pagan have much upside, but they’re likely to get on base a time or two given the extreme splits.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier One

1) Chris Sale (CHW)

Tier Two

2) Max Scherzer (WAS)

3) Corey Kluber (CLE)

4) Jon Lester (CHC)

Tier Three

5) A.J. Burnett (PIT)

6) Cole Hamels (PHI)

7) Mike Bolsinger (LAD)

8) James Shields (SD)

9) Sonny Gray (OAK)

Tier Four

10) Lance McCullers (HOU)

11) Chris Heston (SF)

Top Play:

Chris Sale (CHW) – Sale ranks as our top starter on a day with plenty of aces. He gets a huge park shift in his favor and is facing a Rays’ offense that has outperformed expectations against LHP. The Rays currently rank fifth in wRC+ against LHP but also rank just outside the Top 10 in K Rate against LHP (22.2 percent). Evan Longoria is a plus hitter against lefties and the Rays have gotten strong performances from Souza, Forsythe, and Butler; but ZiPS projection system calls for .319, .305, and .298 wOBAs respectively for those hitters against LHP. Even if you take the current production from those bats, the big upgrade in park pushes Sale above the remaining starters.

Next in line:

Max Scherzer (WAS)/Corey Kluber (CLE) – These two rank very closely in our pitching model. Ultimately, the opposing lineups will help separate them. The Brewers have a history of resting a lot of starters on Sundays, so if we get a lineup without Lucroy, Gomez, Braun, and Aramis (entirely possible), Scherzer could catch Sale in our rankings. Even if the Brewers rest a few of those bats, Scherzer may close the gap. Kluber is facing a division rival that is a playoff contender so I don’t expect any lineup benefits for Kluber.

Value Plays:

Jon Lester (CHC) – The Reds lineup has lost Marlon Byrd, Devin Mesoraco and Zack Cozart and replaced them with Eugeno Suarez/Ivan DeJesus Jr., Tucker Barnhart and Chris Dominguez. It’s a meaningful drop off in talent and the lineup now projects well below average against LHP. Lester has struggled this season (4.25 ERA) but his 3.20 xFIP suggests better results are ahead. His batted ball distribution is a bit line drive heavy and his hard hit rates are elevated, but his swinging strike rates and first strike rates are still in line. Against a watered down lineup, we expect Lester to take advantage of a discounted price tag and deliver value. He’s best utilized on multiple starting pitcher sites.

Mike Bolsinger (LAD) – Bolsinger has flashed above average skills in the big leagues. He’s posted an elite 53.9 percent GB Rate to go with above average K Rate (20.7 percent) and BB Rate (7.7 percent). He gets the benefit of a strong park environment at PETCO and faces a Padres offense that ranks 25th in wRC+ against RHP with a 21.7 percent K Rate. The Padres have upgraded their lineup slightly of late. Wil Myers is back and they’ve shifted Yonder Alonso to third base to try and upgrade their offense. Still, they project as below average against RHP and all their premier bats are right handed. Bolsinger has done most of his damage against RHBs (23.7 K Rate, 6.9 BB Rate, and 50.6 GB Rate for a .304 wOBA allowed) so he should benefit immensely from the platoon advantage in the key lineup spots. He rates firmly in our third tier of starters and is priced very differently than all the starters ranked around him.

Additional starting pitcher notes: There are a lot of great starters throwing on Sunday and we generally get watered down lineups as managers use Sundays more liberally for rest days. As a result we end up getting some values plays in new lineup spots and it allows you the opportunity to spend on pitching. We’d recommend building cash game lineups with an emphasis on pitchers in the first three tiers. Cole Hamels (PHI) and Sonny Gray (OAK) are the two options that appear slightly overpriced for their matchups. A.J. Burnett (PIT) and James Shields (SD) are fairly priced and in strong pitching environments. Burnett gets the weak Phillies offense and makes for a safer cash game option, though Shields has more strikeout potential. If you’re straying from the third tier, Lance McCullers (HOU) is my favorite tournament option. He’s demonstrated the big strikeout potential early on and his price is still buried on most sites. I do think the matchup presents risk for cash games. Seattle is very left handed and McCullers has significant command issues against LHBs (12 percent BB Rate) in AA last season. He also has a below average umpire for starting pitchers behind the plate. McCullers has pitched like an ace early in the year, but with ample options I’m hesitant to use him in cash games. He’s far and away my favorite option for tournaments.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) New York Yankees

2) Texas Rangers

3) Baltimore Orioles

These are the three offenses we seem to most frequently touch on in the content. They all are playing in elite hitting environments against pitchers that are vulnerable to stacks. I like the Yankees offense the most overall on this slate, but pieces from Baltimore and Texas rank well in our model.

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Toronto Blue Jays

2) Houston Astros

3) Seattle Mariners

4) Washington Nationals

5) Boston Red Sox

6) Cleveland Indians

The Blue Jays against LHP represents the most severe split in all of baseball. Fenway Park is great for RHBs, especially extreme pull hitters, and the Blue Jays offense is filled with the, The only reason they don’t hit our content more frequently is they’re so expensive and we’d prefer to target high end pitching. It’s difficult to do that while stacking or mini-stacking the Blue Jays, but they’re the offense with the best chance of scoring double digit runs.

The Astros and Mariners have alternated days with big offensive outings. Houston is a sneaky good offensive park and both offenses have the platoon advantage against a young opposing starter. No one is going to pick on McCullers given the skills he’s demonstrated early on at the big league level, but he’s nine starts removed from posting a 5.47 ERA in A ball last season. I think the Mariners are one of the sneakier tournament stacks available. The Astros stack I’d have more confidence in if Jose Altuve is in the lineup. They’ve added depth with Carlos Correa but Altuve really gives them five good options against LHBs, creating a nice stack. Without Altuve, the lineup’s depth becomes a bigger challenge and they’re a better mini-stack. They have big power from the right side in a park that inflates pull power well.

The Nationals face the weakest starter on the slate but they’re banged up. If Bryce Harper isn’t able to go, the lineup lacks an anchor in the middle and could really thin out. I’m far more likely to stack or mini-stack if Harper is in the lineup.

The Red Sox have one of the higher implied run totals on the slate but the offense is also banged up and two first base eligible players in key spots makes them more difficult to stack. I see some mini-stack potential with Ortiz, Bogaerts, Pedroia, and Holt/Sandoval but they’re more difficult to full stack.

The Indians are great against RHP and Alfredo Simon struggles to miss bats. If his command is off a little, he’s very hittable and he’s backed up by a terrible bullpen. The low total will likely keep the Indians lower owned and Detroit isn’t a bad offensive park, especially during the day.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.

CLE at DET 1:08: Thunderstorms of the hit and miss variety to begin the game give way to a solid line of potentially severe thunderstorms around 3 PM. A risky game for sure. Chance of a cancellation is rather low because there will be dry periods between the start of the game and 3 PM but there is a high likelihood of a delay. Chance of a cancellation is 20%, chance of a delay at some point is between 60-80%, chance of multiple delays is 30-40%, chance of a shortened game is 30%. Temps in the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind south-southwest 8-16 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 3.

ATL at NYM 1:10: A slight (10% chance) of a thunderstorm. Not worried about this game. Temps in the mid to upper 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5.

COL at MIA 1:10: Retractable roof which will likely be closed.

CHW at TB 1:10: Dome.

NYY at BLT 1:35: A 20% chance of a thunderstorm rising to 30% by the end of the game. Not worried about a cancellation and the threat for a delay is low (20%). Temps in the mid to upper 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind south-southwest 5-10 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.

TOR at BOS 1:35: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind east-northeast 8-16 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 3.

PHL at PIT 1:35: Widely scattered thunderstorms up until 3 PM. After 3 PM, a more concentrated area of thunderstorms will push through the city. Not concerned about a cancellation (~10%) because of the nature of the rain early but a chance of a delay (especially after 3 PM) is rather high (60%). Chance of multiple delays is 20%. Chance of a shortened game is also 20%. Temps in the low 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind southwest 6-12 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

WSH at MIL 2:10: Retractable roof. Thunderstorms around. The roof will likely be closed.

SEA at HOU 2:10: Retractable roof. A 20-30% chance of thunderstorms. The roof may be closed but if it is open temps will be in the mid 80s. Air density will be a 9 (very humid). Wind southeast 10-20 mph which blows out to left. The wind is an 8.

KC at STL 2:15: A severe thunderstorm around. Getting to be a broken record, but not overly concerned about a cancellation due to the nature of thunderstorms. However, because of the severe potential of these thunderstorms, a cancellation can not be ruled out if there is a tornado or strong winds/hail. Chance of a cancellation is then 10%. Chance of a delay is 40-60% (this is not going to be a solid line of thunderstorms like PIT and DET). Temps in the low 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind south-southwest 8-16 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7.

MIN at TEX 3:05: Widely scattered thunderstorms. Much like we saw yesterday, there is very little chance of a cancellation but if a thunderstorm moves over the ballpark there can be a delay (20-30% chance of a delay). The threat of a delay would be slightly higher later in the game as compared to early in the game. Temps in the mid 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind south-southeast 10-20 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 2.

OAK at LAA 3:35: Dry. Temps near 70. Air density is a 7. Wind west-southwest 6-12 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

AZ at SF 4:05: Dry. Temps near 70. Air density is a 6 (lower humidity than SAN or LAA). Wind west-northwest 10-20 mph which blows out to right-center. The wind is an 8.

LAD at SD 4:10: Dry. Temps in the low 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind west-southwest 6-12 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

CIN at CHC 8:00: Scattered thunderstorms. A delay is possible (20%) but there is little threat of a cancellation. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind west-southwest 6-12 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

MLB Daily Analysis

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