Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 16th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Weather issues today: high threat for a cancellation for TEX tonight as rain from Tropical Storm Bill moves into the region. Small concerns for a delay in NYC and BLT.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
NOTE: With the weather forecast bleak in Texas, I have not included players from that game in today’s content. If the weather forecast improves between now and roster lock, we’ll make sure to cover the impact of that via our alerts system.
Matt Wieters (BAL) – When Matt Wieters is healthy, he’s one of the best offensive catchers in the game. He’s posted a .182-plus ISO every season since 2011 and is a virtual 20-plus HR lock over a full season. Those skills make him arguably the most talented catcher eligible player for tonight’s slate but he also carries the best contextual factors. Wieters will command a top five lineup spot for a Baltimore offense with the highest implied run total this evening (over 5) at home in Camden Yards (seventh best hitting environment according to parkfactors.com). Opposing pitcher Jerome Williams has allowed a .342 wOBA and 1.05 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. He’s been particularly bad this season (5.71 ERA) as he’s suffering from high BABIP and HR/FB rates, something that shouldn’t simply be dismissed as bad luck given his age and declining velocity. Wieters is mid-priced across the industry and there’s virtually no opportunity cost at the position tonight, making him the go to catcher for cash games.
Additional catcher notes: Alternative options for cash games are Travis d’Arnaud (NYM) (top four lineup spot, no platoon edge but decent all-around skills and opposing pitcher Scott Copeland projects to be very bad), Miguel Montero (CHC) (should hit clean up with the platoon edge against Trevor Bauer who can be volatile) and James McCann (DET) (if he gets a top six lineup spot he makes for a decent cash game punt as the Tigers have a high team total right around 5). My preferred options in tournaments are Brian McCann (NYY) (not a great price and huge downtick in park factor but opposing RHP David Phelps is allowing a ton of hard contact and not missing bats) and Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) (not a great option when looking at wOBA splits but definite power upside at home against an extreme fly ball pitcher in Chris Young; underpriced in general based on overall skills and batting position).