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6/1 MLB DFS: Going Gonzo for the Dodgers

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6/1 MLB DFS: Going Gonzo for the Dodgers
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 1st MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather: Boston and Washington are problem spots tonight. UPDATE: BOS-MIN has already been postponed. This news broke as we were editing. We’ve left the analysis to help explain our thought process to attacking that game in preparation for tomorrow.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.


Top Play:

Yasmani Grandal (LAD) – Grandal probably won’t catch tonight, but if he does make the starting lineup; he represents your top option at the position. Throughout today’s content you’ll see an emphasis on the Dodgers. It’s not unusual to emphasize an offense in Coors Field but Monday’s slate really exaggerates it. The Dodgers have an implied run total close to 5.5 which is a full run higher than every other offense. They’re the top ranked offense in the league in wRC+ against RHP (124) and the gap between the Dodgers and second place Giants is equivalent to the gap between the Giants and the 13th place Rays. They’re also facing one of the weakest starters on the slate in Kyle Kendrick. Despite spending most of his career outside of Coors Field, Kendrick has posted a career 4.50 ERA with a 12.6 percent K Rate. Grandal is an above average hitter against RHP (.354 wOBA, .180 ISO) and he’s getting a huge park shift in his favor. He ranks within our Top 10 hitters overall in our model, which makes him a relatively nice bargain as well. Unfortunately, Grandal doesn’t often catch Clayton Kershaw. Typically that falls on A.J. Ellis, who is not the hitter Grandal is (.302 wOBA, .111 ISO) against RHP. If Grandal is in, he’s a terrific play.

Value Plays:

Miguel Montero (CHC) – Montero gets a favorable lineup spot (typically fourth or fifth) in a decent offense against a RHP making his second big league start. Jose Urena (MIA) was knocked around in his first outing against the Pirates and there isn’t a ton in his profile that scares you away from hitters. He hasn’t missed bats at the minor league level (15-18 percent K Rate) and ZiPS projection system calls for a 4.64 ERA rest of the season as a starter. Montero is probably overrated as a hitter against RHP (.339 wOBA, .139 ISO) since most of his career has been in favorable hitting environments, but he gets a great lineup spot and is an above average hitter against RHP. With a reasonable price tag around the industry, he’s a fine investment.

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