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6/21 MLB DFS: Grab some Brews on Father’s Day

6/21 MLB DFS: Grab some Brews on Father’s Day
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MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 21st, 2015

Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Weather: Only concern for a delay today is in KC. COL continues to be a great hitting environment and is joined today by WSH, PHL, KC and ATL as the wind blows strongly out and it is very warm at those stadiums.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.


The Play:

Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – Lucroy is the top play at the catcher position by a wide margin (top five hitter in our model and the only catcher that’s ranked inside our top 70 hitters). Lucroy has been a good hitter against LHP (.383 wOBA, .198 ISO against LHP since 2012) and his contextual factors couldn’t get any better (facing Chris Rusin, who has allowed a .376 wOBA and 1.37 HR/9 to the last 451 RHBs he has faced, at Coors Field). Lucroy is a staple of cash games this afternoon.

Additional catcher notes: It’s not often that I’ll write one catcher option as “the play” on a full slate but Lucroy is an exception. It’s easy to lock him in at a scarce position (on FanDuel he’s priced as an average hitter) and quite frankly no other catcher option comes close in terms of value. If you’re looking for other catcher options for cash games, Nick Hundley (COL) is a fine option. He gives you Coors Field exposure for a good price on DraftKings ($3,200). Matt Wieters (BAL) has a good FanDuel price ($3,200) and he will have the platoon edge against contact friendly Scott Copeland at Rogers Centre. While Lucroy is the superior value in a vacuum and the market will agree (should be high owned everywhere), I don’t mind being contrarian and taking a shot at Wieters in multi-entry tournaments. It’s weird not naming Buster Posey (SFG) the top catcher play when he’s facing a LHP but Lucroy’s contextual factors and skills against southpaws for a team that has a superior total (Brewers have a team total of 5.5 runs, Giants have a team total of 3 runs) is a big reason why we’re not touching Posey in cash games at full price points. Like Wieters, I don’t mind taking Posey in a multi-entry tournament and hope that his elite skills shine today but Lucroy is the correct play in cash games.

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