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6/21 MLB DFS: Grab some Brews on Father’s Day

6/21 MLB DFS: Grab some Brews on Father’s Day
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MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 21st, 2015

Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Weather: Only concern for a delay today is in KC. COL continues to be a great hitting environment and is joined today by WSH, PHL, KC and ATL as the wind blows strongly out and it is very warm at those stadiums.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.


The Play:

Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – Lucroy is the top play at the catcher position by a wide margin (top five hitter in our model and the only catcher that’s ranked inside our top 70 hitters). Lucroy has been a good hitter against LHP (.383 wOBA, .198 ISO against LHP since 2012) and his contextual factors couldn’t get any better (facing Chris Rusin, who has allowed a .376 wOBA and 1.37 HR/9 to the last 451 RHBs he has faced, at Coors Field). Lucroy is a staple of cash games this afternoon.

Additional catcher notes: It’s not often that I’ll write one catcher option as “the play” on a full slate but Lucroy is an exception. It’s easy to lock him in at a scarce position (on FanDuel he’s priced as an average hitter) and quite frankly no other catcher option comes close in terms of value. If you’re looking for other catcher options for cash games, Nick Hundley (COL) is a fine option. He gives you Coors Field exposure for a good price on DraftKings ($3,200). Matt Wieters (BAL) has a good FanDuel price ($3,200) and he will have the platoon edge against contact friendly Scott Copeland at Rogers Centre. While Lucroy is the superior value in a vacuum and the market will agree (should be high owned everywhere), I don’t mind being contrarian and taking a shot at Wieters in multi-entry tournaments. It’s weird not naming Buster Posey (SFG) the top catcher play when he’s facing a LHP but Lucroy’s contextual factors and skills against southpaws for a team that has a superior total (Brewers have a team total of 5.5 runs, Giants have a team total of 3 runs) is a big reason why we’re not touching Posey in cash games at full price points. Like Wieters, I don’t mind taking Posey in a multi-entry tournament and hope that his elite skills shine today but Lucroy is the correct play in cash games.

First Base

As it usually is on a 15 game slate, there’s no shortage of good first base options. However, Coors Field is a priority for us (especially when it’s easy to fit lower dollar values in that type of environment) so most of these options listed below are better tournament targets. Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) and Joey Votto (CIN) rank inside our top 20 hitters and they’re in elite hitting environments facing pitchers that struggle with the long ball. They deserve your attention in tournaments and the depth at first base on a 15 game slate should keep their ownership relatively low. Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) and David Ortiz (BOS) have discounted price tags around the industry (particularly on FanDuel) and they warrant some cash game consideration on sites that have priced them below the average cost of a hitter. They have good matchups against pitchers that should come down to earth sooner rather than later. Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) and Anthony Rizzo (CHC) rank inside our top 25 hitters. They’re intriguing tournament options for different reasons. Goldschmidt has a matchup against a pitcher that struggles with the long ball at Chase Field. Rizzo has a matchup against a pitcher that keeps the ball in the ground and limits home runs but he doesn’t miss bats (Kyle Gibson has a 10 percent K rate vs. LHBs since 2012). Mark Reynolds (STL) has a matchup against a pitcher that didn’t miss any bats at AAA and had an ERA close to 5.00. Reynolds is a cheap source of power and he should be on your radar in multi-entry tournaments. Rounding out the first base selections are Chris Carter (HOU) and Evan Gattis (first base eligibility on DraftKings). They don’t deserve cash game consideration due to their inability to make contact but their massive power skills puts them on the radar in tournaments against J.A. Happ (southpaw who struggles with the long ball).

Top Play:

Chris Davis (BAL) – I’m cheating a little bit here since I noted above that there are lower dollar values that have first base eligibility playing at Coors Field but I’ll get back to those shortly. In the mean time, Chris Davis ranks as our top first baseman and his price tag is accessible around the industry (particularly on FanDuel). Davis struggles with making contact (33 percent K rate this season, 31 percent for his career) but when he does make contact, it’s usually the hard variety (.277 ISO against RHP since 2012). I struggle with rostering Davis in cash games because I like to avoid the boom or bust natures of hitters with these qualities but he’s always on my mind when opposing pitchers are contact friendly. This is the case with Scott Copeland, who accumulated a puny 5.52 K/9 at AAA this season and in a small sample size at the major league level (14 IP), nothing has changed (3.21 K/9). He has a ZiPS projected ERA of 5.66 this season. Our priority in cash games is Coors Field but the Orioles are our third ranked offense and Davis has a great probability off success against a contact pitcher at Rogers Centre (elite hitting environment). I don’t mind reaching outside of Coors Field and grabbing a piece of this offense as a complement to those players in cash games. On a site like FanDuel, where Coors Field is priced up, Davis makes for a strong value play.

Value Plays:

Ben Paulsen (COL)/Jason Rogers (MIL) – If you want cheap exposure to Coors Field at first base, Paulsen (.394 wOBA, .242 ISO) is the best option ($3,400 on DraftKings). Rogers isn’t much of a hitter and he doesn’t project to be very good (ZiPS projected .310 wOBA, .146 ISO) but a top six spot with the platoon edge against Chris Rusin (awful against RHBs) at Coors Field is enough to warrant cash game consideration. I want Paulsen if the price points are similar but Rogers serves as a good value alternative.

Second Base

Top Play:

Dee Gordon (MIA) – Gordon’s upside deserves your attention this afternoon, particularly on a site like FanDuel where he’s priced as an average hitter and there are no points taken away for caught stealing. Gordon isn’t a great hitter (.308 wOBA, .081 ISO) but his DFS value is attached to his speed (65 SB upside over a full season). This type of speed upside plays very well in DFS, especially against catchers that aren’t very good at controlling the running game. Opposing catcher Brayan Pena is very bad at controlling the running game, posting a -5 rSB over his career. Opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen isn’t very good (.361 wOBA allowed to LHBs) and run scoring opportunities will likely be there for Gordon in this matchup. He ranks within our top 25 hitters today and I have no issues with stepping outside of Coors Field and investing in Gordon (particularly on sites where he’s priced down).

Value Play:

DJ LeMahieu (COL) – LeMahieu is consistently priced as a great DFS value today. He’s not much of a hitter against RHP (.312 wOBA, .098 ISO against RHP since 2012) but hitting second at Coors Field against Matt Garza (K rate has dropped three straight seasons and he’s allowing harder contact, particularly home runs) is enough to warrant top value consideration at scarce middle infield position. On a site like DraftKings where the gap in pricing is significant between Gordon ($4,800) and LeMahieu ($3,700), we’re opting for more Coors Field exposure and going with the better cost-effective value.

Additional second base notes: Jimmy Paredes (BAL) and Robinson Cano (SEA) are two lower dollar values to consider on FanDuel (both are close to the bare minimum on that site). If choosing between the two, I’d rather invest in Paredes who’s enjoying the better season and will hit in a better environment against a contact pitcher. Derek Dietrich (MIA) is a fun tournament option today. He will hit second (in front of Giancarlo Stanton) and will have the platoon edge against Michael Lorenzen (hasn’t figured out how to get LHBs out at the major league level) at Great American Ball Park and he has good power (.182 ISO against RHP in the few seasons despite playing in a bad hitting environment). He went off for two home runs last night in this same venue, which shows the type of upside he has in good matchups.


Top Play:

Troy Tulowitzki (COL) – Tulowitzki has been a very good hitter against RHP over his career. However, when you look at what he’s done at home (.435 wOBA, 242 ISO since 2012), it’s easy to see why he’s always the top selection at the shortstop position (which usually is a scarce position to begin with). He won’t have the platoon edge today but Matt Garza is not the pitcher he once was (run prevention and K rate have dropped to concerning levels) and a start at Coors Field won’t help him.

Value Play:

Jean Segura (MIL) – Segura isn’t a very good hitter (.298 career wOBA) but leading off and having the platoon edge for an offense that has an implied run total of 5.5 runs at Coors Field gives him all the contextual factors that anyone can ask for at the shortstop position. Tulowitzki is the superior value on DraftKings (easy to fit him) but on a site like FanDuel where the gap in pricing is a bit more severe, Segura adds more value to cash game rosters.

Additional shortstop notes: There are a couple salary relief options around the industry but they’re site dependent. Hernan Perez (MIL) won’t have a good lineup spot but he gives you Coors Field exposure at a very low cost on DraftKings ($2,500). He’s usable in cash games if you’re trying to fit in a high priced pitcher like Matt Harvey or multiple higher dollar outfielders. On FanDuel, Francisco Lindor (CLE) makes sense as a salary relief option. He doesn’t fit our Coors Field plans but he has a good lineup spot (second), which maximizes his plate appearances and he’s a switch hitter (good for his value). Opposing pitcher Alex Colome isn’t very good and he struggles with LHBs. Jose Reyes (TOR) is a decent cash game target around the industry but if stepping away from Coors Field, I’d rather utilize punt options. Reyes has more value in tournaments (lower ownership since the market will be on Tulowitzki and Segura).

Third Base

The Play:

Aramis Ramirez (MIL) – Ramirez is our top play at third base and top 10 hitter in our model (next third baseman in our model is Manny Machado and he’s our 30th ranked hitter). Like Lucroy, Ramirez is a play that should be highly owned in all formats, especially cash games. Ramirez has obliterated LHP (.413 wOBA, .300 ISO against LHP since 2012) and opposing pitcher Chris Rusin is highly susceptible to RHBs (.376 wOBA, 1.37 HR/9 allowed to RHBs). We’ve talked enough about the awesome hitting environment that is Coors Field and having the platoon edge against a below average pitcher only increases our level of confidence in these type of investments across all formats. Ramirez is a Top 10 hitter often priced outside the top 50 around the industry. He’s a tremendous value and your starting point at third base.

Next in line:

Nolan Arenado (COL)/Manny Machado (BAL) – Arenado and Machado are top 35 hitting options today according to our model. I’m less likely to deploy them in cash games since Aramis Ramirez is too good of a value investment to pass up but they have great matchup against below average pitchers in environments we’re targeting today (Coors Field and Rogers Centre). They also represent investments in two of the top three offenses that we love today (Rockies and Orioles). I view them as better tournament targets and that’s mostly due to their elevated price tags (not a concern with Ramirez).

Additional third base notes: Josh Donaldson (TOR) is someone I want to target in tournaments today. He’s priced fully on most sites (except on DraftKings, where he has a good price tag) but a matchup against homer prone Chris Tillman at Rogers Centre gives him great upside. Aramis Ramirez is the correct play in cash games but fading him in multi-entry tournaments makes sense. Chris Davis (BAL) has third base eligibility on DraftKings, where he remains a nice option regardless of the format. However, I would rather target him on a site like FanDuel where his price is too good to pass up in cash games.


Like first base, the outfield position is littered with top plays that won’t make it into our cash game section. Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) and Jose Bautista (TOR) are ranked inside our top ten hitters and their matchup against homer prone pitchers in great hitting venues gives them great upside despite their large price points. Bryce Harper (WSH) is someone I’ve manually upgraded in our model (top 15 hitter). He won’t benefit from a good hitting environment but he’s been the best hitter in all of baseball this season (huge improvements in power, plate discipline, etc). He will have the platoon edge against a pitcher that doesn’t miss many bats. Make sure to look at our additional outfield notes section for added commentary on tournament plays we like today but don’t rank as well as the hitters above.

Top Play:

Ryan Braun (MIL) – Braun is our top ranked hitter on this slate and for very good reasons. Braun has monstrous skills against LHP (.420 wOBA, .298 ISO against LHP since 2012) and he faces Chris Rusin (terrible against RHBs) in the best hitting venue in all of baseball (Coors Field). Braun is easier to fit on DraftKings than on FanDuel but he’s worth the investment in all types of formats this afternoon.

Value Plays:

Charlie Blackmon/Carlos Gonzalez (COL) – Blackmon (10th) and Gonzalez (6th) rank very well in our model and both are priced favorably on most sites (especially on DraftKings). Gonzalez (.389 wOBA, .257 ISO) has historically been a better hitter against RHP than Blackmon (.354 wOBA, .161 ISO) but Blackmon has a lineup spot (leadoff) that maximizes plate appearances and he has speed upside (30 SB upside over a full season). It’s difficult to fit both in cash games alongside Ryan Braun but hedging isn’t a bad idea (I’ll likely have one on FanDuel and the other on DraftKings).

Travis Snider/Chris Parmelee (BAL) – While Snider (.301 wOBA, .128 ISO) and Parmelee (.303 wOBA, .146 ISO) aren’t good hitters, they bring useful salary relief around the industry, they’re part of an offense we love today (Baltimore) and one of them has typically garnered a strong lineup spot. They have a great matchup against the contact oriented Scott Copeland at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays have a solid bullpen (around league average) but a couple of premium plate appearances for these hitters in this venue are worth the low dollars in cash games.

Additional outfield notes: Adam Jones (BAL) is another Baltimore outfielder that I love today (especially on FanDuel due to his modest price tag) but he’s more expensive than Snider/Parmelee. He’s obviously the better hitter out of the three but he also costs you exposure to Coors Field. I’m willing to fade some of my exposure to Coors Field in tournaments and Jones is a nice upside alternative in that type of format. Starling Marte and Andrew McCutchen (PIT) won’t get the benefit of a good hitting venue and opposing pitcher Gio Gonzalez is a solid pitcher but these two hitters are elite against LHP. I’m willing to give them a shot in multi-entry tournaments. Nelson Cruz (SEA) won’t have the platoon edge today but opposing pitcher Vincent Velasquez has a projected ZiPS ERA close to 5.30 this season. Cruz is underpriced on FanDuel, where I view him as a good target for tournaments. Michael Brantley (CLE) has a great matchup against Alex Colome and he’s another hitter that’s not priced correctly on FanDuel. Like most of the non-Coors Field/Baltimore outfield options, he’s worth the investment in tournaments. I’d give teammate Brandon Moss a shot in that style of format too (great power upside but he comes with significant strikeout risk). George Springer (HOU) is a good high upside option for tournaments. The Astros strike out a ton and they’ve been a better offense against RHP this season but their individual skill sets are geared towards hitting for a lot of power against LHP. J.A. Happ struggles with the long ball but has a decent K rate so I don’t see cash game value here. High event players like Springer are worth the investment in tournaments as long as the matchup is favorable. Billy Hamilton (CIN) has a terrible lineup spot but his speed upside plays really well in DFS. I don’t mind using a speedster like Hamilton in a multi-entry tournament on sites where he’s priced down (FanDuel comes to mind). Yasiel Puig and Joc Pederson (LAD) are priced way down on DraftKings and they’re in consideration for cash games due to their price tags alone. Since we won’t have a Dodgers lineup before lineups lock (Dodgers play at night) and manager Don Mattingly keeps us guessing with his lineups, they’re better targets for tournaments. If your risk tolerance is high and you don’t mind taking the risk in cash games, rostering one of those outfielders isn’t a bad idea on that particular site. Opposing pitcher Tim Lincecum is headed in the wrong direction as a starter so we don’t mind targeting him with good price plays.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier 1

1) Matt Harvey (NYM)

Tier 2

2) Jake Arrieta (CHC)

3) Michael Wacha (STL)

4) Masahiro Tanaka (NYY)

Tier 3

5) Jose Quintana (CWS)

6) Julio Teheran (ATL)

7) Scott Kazmir (OAK)

Tier 4

8) Anibal Sanchez (DET)

9) Gio Gonzalez (WSH)

10) Andrew Cashner (SD)

11) Garrett Richards (LAA)

Tier 5

12) Vincent Velasquez (HOU)

Top Plays:

Matt Harvey (NYM) – Harvey is likely the most talented pitcher on the slate (arguments could be made for a few others) and he’s facing a Braves offense likely without Freddie Freeman. Harvey’s peripherals mirror his pre-Tommy John surgery numbers in almost all categories. His swinging strike rate (12.5 percent vs. 12.6 percent), BB Rate (4.1 percent vs. 4.5 percent), and batted ball data (26.7 percent hard hit rate vs. 26.7 percent hard hit rate) are all nearly identical. He’s allowed a few more fly balls (37.6 percent vs. 32.5 percent) and a lot more home runs (14.1 percent HR/FB Rate vs. 4.7 percent HR/FB Rate) but over time we expect that number to regress closer to his career average (8.4 percent). This matchup should be good for avoiding the long ball. The Braves rank 16th in wRC+ against RHP but 27th in ISO against RHP. Without Freddie Freeman they struggle to produce one hitter that grades out as above average against RHP. The one downside to the matchup with Atlanta is they don’t strike out very much (16.7 percent). Given how important strikeouts are to DFS value, there is some reason to consider secondary options on this slate. Harvey does rate as our clear number one but the tier two pitchers (where discounted heavily) are viable alternatives if you opt for a little extra salary relief at the pitcher position.

Value Plays:

Jake Arrieta (CHC) – While Arrieta was disappointing in his last outing, we shouldn’t rely on a one game sample for a pitcher’s future valuation. Arrieta lost his command during his last outing but perhaps that was a result of a lefty-heavy lineup. Anyways, Arrieta is enjoying a great season. He has posted a 27 percent K rate, six percent BB rate (lowest of his career), 50 percent GB rate and an elite hard minus soft hit rate of one percent. The Twins can hit LHP but they’re a below league average offense against RHP (ranked 26th in wRC+ and striking out 21 percent of the time against RHP). I’m not willing to call Arrieta a must play on a full slate with other intriguing options but his chances for success this afternoon are very good given his awesome skill set, the matchup and pitching environment (Target Field is a nice pitcher’s park).

Michael Wacha (STL) – Wacha has the best matchup of the day (Phillies are ranked dead last in wRC+ against RHP) and he’s the largest favorite on this slate by a wide margin (-240). Wacha is having a weird season from a strikeout perspective. He has posted a 18 percent K rate (lowest of his career) but the underlying peripherals are very good (35 percent chase rate, 65 percent F-Strike rate and 9.4 SwStr rate). His SwStr rate is lower than it has been in previous seasons but that still doesn’t explain why his K rate is so low. Wacha is likely going to see a boost in his K rate moving forward and despite the Phillies not striking out a whole lot (18 percent K rate against RHP), they also have the lowest run total (three implied runs). Wacha is the top value play on FanDuel but there are other values (like Jake Arrieta) that have my attention on DraftKings.

Jose Quintana (CHW) – Quintana has a favorable matchup with a Rangers offense that just can’t get RH enough against LHP. Quintana has held LHBs to a .297 wOBA since the beginning of 2012. Coors Field has our attention for offensive purposes today so Quintana’s favorable price tag (only $7,300 on DraftKings) and matchup deserve a look in cash games despite the bad environment (U.S. Cellular Field).

Tournament Play:

Gio Gonzalez (WSH) – The Pirates have a few RHBs that can do damage (McCutchen, Marte and Kang) but I’m hoping that this keeps DFSers away from Gonzalez in tournaments. Gonzalez continues to struggle with his command (56 percent F-Strike rate has led to a 9.4 BB rate) but he has posted an above league average K rate (21 percent) and he’s yielding a ton of ground balls (56 percent GB rate). His expected ERAs are more than a full run below his actual ERA (4.82 ERA/3.21 FIP/3.52 xFIP) and his luck stats haven’t been kind to him (.368 BABIP and 68 percent strand rate). We’re taking a shot here in tournaments with a pitcher that “should” be better with some marginal gains in luck stats and run prevention. This matchup could help him as the Pirates are ranked 20th in wRC+ and are striking out 24 percent of the time against LHP while not working counts (6 percent BB rate as a team, fifth worst mark in MLB). Gonzalez is priced as the pitcher he has been and we’re paying for the pitcher we believe he could be once the batted ball data normalizes a bit. Gonzalez is my favorite tournament play around the industry.

Additional starting pitcher notes: Masahiro Tanaka (NYY) is arguably the second most skilled starter on the slate and Yankees Stadium isn’t as bad of an environment to pitch in when facing a nearly all RH lineup. However, the Tigers project as a well above average lineup that doesn’t strike out a ton. This pushes Tanaka down in our rankings despite a -165 favorite in a game with just a 7.5 total. He’s a viable cash game alternative but we think he comes with a touch more risk than the other top options. Julio Teheran (ATL) is having a tough campaign but he has some cash game appeal today. He’s not getting ahead of batters, which has led to higher hard hit contact. His matchup today could help (Mets are ranked 23rd in wRC+ against RHP and have posted a below league average BB/K). I like Scott Kazmir (OAK) for tournaments today. He has a matchup against a below average offense and he has been dominant from a strikeout perspective this season (23 percent K rate, fueled by a 64 percent F-Strike rate and 11 percent SwStr rate) and run prevention (2.84 ERA). His expected ERAs are a full run above his actual ERA so we expect some regression moving forward but I don’t mind taking advantage of his potential low ownership in tournaments. Anibal Sanchez (DET) is another good option geared for tournaments. I wouldn’t touch him in cash games due to the environment (short porch at Yankee Stadium for LHBs) but he has neutralized LHBs very well (.280 wOBA, 0.57 HR/9 allowed to LHBs since 2012). He will likely be low owned in tournaments due to the hitting environment and a lefty-heavy offense. I love to target these situations in large field tournaments. If you’re looking for a cheap source of Ks, Andrew Cashner (SD) makes sense on DraftKings ($6,600). He’s striking out around a batter per inning but the environment (Chase Field) won’t help his issues with the long ball (1.38 HR/9 this season). His expected ERAs are lower than his actual ERA so we’re expecting some of the batted ball data (particularly his HR/FB) to neutralize. Another option to target in large field tournaments is Vincent Velasquez (HOU). He struck out more than a batter per inning at AAA and has followed it up at the major league level (with some healthy underlying peripherals). His command has been shaky but he’s worth the lower dollar amount on DraftKings ($4,700 and the scoring is K friendly on that site), particularly on multi-entry tournaments.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback ( if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Colorado Rockies

2) Milwaukee Brewers

3) Baltimore Orioles

The Rockies and Brewers have implied run totals over five and the Orioles face a contact prone RHP in the Rogers Centre. They were the focus of our analysis and they belong in all formats today. With the available value pitchers around the industry, there’s no reason to stray away from these offenses (particularly in cash games).

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

4) Toronto Blue Jays

5) Cincinnati Reds/Miami Marlins

6) Arizona Diamondbacks

The Blue Jays are a righty-heavy offense and they’re facing a RHP today. However, opposing pitcher Chris Tillman has reverse splits and he has problems with the long ball. I don’t mind fading some of the top offenses above and giving the Blue Jays a shot in tournaments (on a full slate they should be lower owned than normal, especially against a RHP).

The Reds and Marlins are grouped together in our contrarian rankings because I don’t believe they should be stacked fully separately. The options that hold tournament value here are Dee Gordon, Giancarlo Stanton, Derek Dietrich, Christian Yelich, Joey Votto, Todd Frazier and Jay Bruce. I don’t mind stacking all of these hitters in a multi-entry tournament and hope that this game features a lot of power (Great American Ball Park is a great hitting environment for power).

The Diamondbacks are a sneaky offense to target today. They’re going against a solid pitcher (Andrew Cashner) but he has problems with the long ball. I’m not stacking this team fully in tournaments but a couple of hitters (like Paul Goldschmidt and David Peralta) make sense in large field GPPs.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

DET at NYY 1:05: Dry. Temps near 80. Air density is an 8. Wind west-northwest 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

BLT at TOR 1:07: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind west-northwest 7-14 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

TB at CLE 1:10: Widely scattered, short-lived showers around. ~10% chance of a delay. Temps in the mid to upper 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind west-northwest 7-14 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

MIA at CIN 1:10: Widely scattered, short-lived thunderstorms with a 10-20% chance of causing a delay. Temps in the mid 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind west 7-14 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.

PIT at WSH 1:35: Dry. Temps near 90. Air density is an 8. Wind west-northwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 9.

STL at PHL 1:35: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind west-northwest 12-25 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 9.

TEX at CHW 2:10: Dry. Temps in the low 80s. Air density is a 7. Wind north 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

BOS at KC 2:10: THE trouble game today. An area of severe thunderstorms is expected to approach the region around 3-4 PM. The thunderstorms are expected to weaken as the get into the city but this is a situation that needs to be watched carefully. Would say at least a 30-40% chance of a delay starting around 3-4pm with a small <10% chance of that the game is called then if the weather is bad enough. Temps in the mid to upper 80s. Air density is a 9. Wind south 10-20 mph which blows out to left. The wind is an 8.

CHC at MIN 2:10: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 80s. Air density is a 7. Wind west 5-10 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.

LAA at OAK 4:05: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-northwest 10-20 mph which blows out to right. The wind is an 8.

HOU at SEA 4:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-northwest 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

MIL at COL 4:10: A 10% chance of a thunderstorm causing a delay. Not worried about this game. Temps blazing hot, in the mid to upper 90s! Air density is off the charts, a 10! Wind south 10-20 mph with gusts past 25 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 9.

SD at AZ 4:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps near 110 to start fall back to the low to mid 100s. Air density is a 9. Wind west 8-16 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

NYM at ATL 5:05: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind west-northwest 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7.

SF at LAD 8:00: Dry. Temps in the upper 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7.

MLB Daily Analysis