Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 25th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Thursday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: We’ll be sending out a morning alert with the game by game forecasts.
Today’s analysis authored by Mike Leone and Chris Pacheco.
Stephen Vogt (OAK) – Vogt ranks inside our top 25 hitters this afternoon and despite being priced adequately around the industry, the upside he provides in this particular matchup is great. Opposing pitcher Colby Lewis has struggled against LHBs (.352 wOBA, 1.18 HR/9 allowed to LHBs since 2012) and his home park (Globe Life Park in Arlington) won’t help his fly ball tendencies (45 percent FB rate allowed to LHBs). Vogt has improved his plate discipline (0.75 EYE, highest of his career), power (.251 ISO, highest mark of his career) and he has become a better overall hitter (.394 wOBA, a career high). If you can afford paying up for a catcher tonight, Vogt’s prime opportunities at Globe Life Park in Arlington against Colby Lewis are worth your investment.
Welington Castillo (ARI) – Castillo got a day off yesterday so he will more than likely start today. Castillo is in a prime position to take advantage of his great hitting skills (.373 wOBA, .174 ISO against LHP since 2012). Opposing pitcher Jorge De La Rosa is susceptible to RH power (1.08 HR/9 allowed to RHBs in the last few seasons) and righties make a good amount of contact (16 percent K rate against RHBs since the start of 2012). This type of pitching profile doesn’t bode well at Coors Field (best hitting environment in all of baseball). Castillo is cheap around the industry, particularly on DraftKings ($3,300). He won’t benefit from a good lineup spot (usually hits seventh) but the salary relief he provides really helps roster construction on tight pricing sites.