Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 27th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Major cancellation threats for CHW at DET, WAS at PHL, CIN at NYM, CLE at BLT. Minor delay risk for ATL at PIT
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
Weather Note: All of the content was produced late last night without consideration for weather. With Mark’s forecast this morning, the focus on CHW-DET for hitters followed by WAS-PHI in cash games is no longer advised. We’ll aim to be extra thorough in the alerts, but in general this slate went from one where you can feel confident attacking one game to one where you’ll have to selectively attack weak pitchers in low scoring environments. For slates that include the TOR-TEX game it will take precedence, followed by MIN-MIL and then selectively picking off pieces from SF, BOS, NYY, and LAD. It’s also not a bad slate to take off.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Schedule Note: Today’s content will cover all of the afternoon games. The slates are cut up in unique ways around the industry but generally the afternoon games are separated from the evening games on most sites. We’ll cover the evening games in a dedicated alert.
Buster Posey (SF) – Posey is the top catcher option across the industry and a Top 10 overall hitter for the afternoon slate. Posey has destroyed LHP to the tune of .416 wOBA/.239 ISO since 2012 and will face Chris Rusin who has allowed a .373 wOBA and 1.31 HR/9 to RHBs during that same span. A day game in San Francisco helps the scoring environment but Posey’s price tag is expensive. In general we’d like to save our big bats for Texas-Toronto or White Sox-Tigers as they’re the two premium games to focus on. As a result, Posey is a better tournament play in our eyes as we aim to save some funds at the catcher position.
Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – Kyle Gibson has allowed a .314 wOBA and 1.12 HR/9 to RHBs in his career. He generates a high GB Rate against RHBs (55.7 percent) but isn’t dominant overall (18.6 K Rate). Lucroy gets an elite hitting environment and has posted a solid .344 wOBA and .155 ISO against RHP since 2012. The drop off to Lucroy is rather steep in our model (Top 50-ish hitter) but the price tag is very affordable around the industry.