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6/29 MLB DFS: We like Lance a Lot

6/29 MLB DFS: We like Lance a Lot
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 29th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather: Only game to watch for delays tonight is in CIN and even there the risk does not look huge.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.


Top Play:

Matt Wieters (BAL) – Wieters has obliterated LHP the last few seasons, posting a great triple slash of .290/.345/.523 since 2012. He should hit cleanup against a southpaw tonight and the game is in a strong hitting environment at home where the Orioles have a team total right around five (tied with the Dodgers for the highest of the day). Wandy Rodriguez hasn’t been nearly as bad as we hoped, but with some recent regression pushing his ERA above 4.00 and in line with expected ERAs, it’s easy to see why we continue to pick on him. Even if he’s not horrible, he’s certainly a below average pitcher who allows a lot of hard hit contact and lacks the platoon edge on Wieters.

Next in line:

Yasmani Grandal (LAD) – The Dodger offense in general is in a great spot tonight. Not only do they get a sizable park shift by playing in Arizona’s Chase Field, but they’ll face one of the worst starting pitchers in the game in Allen Webster. Projection systems think Webster will be bad but not horrific (around a 4.50 ERA), but his actual results don’t line up. We have to keep in mind that it’s a small sample size (104.2 career innings at the MLB level), but in three separate MLB stints Webster has posted ERAs of 8.60, 5.03 and 6.46, in large part due to some horrendous control (BB/9 of 5.34, 4.27 and 5.87). These issues have led Webster to allow a .375 wOBA to LHBs and 1.37 HR/9. Meanwhile, Grandal (who has hit fifth in two of his last four starts against RHP) has a career .355 wOBA and .186 ISO against RHP.

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