Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 30th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Scattered thunderstorms could cause a delay(s) in NYM, BLT, PHL, DET, CIN but not concerned about cancellations. All these games bear watching.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Russell Martin (TOR) – Martin has hit LHP very well in recent years (.346 wOBA, .169 ISO since 2012) and he’s done most of that damage in a tough hitting environment in Pittsburgh. This year, in Toronto, he’s been even more remarkable (.433 wOBA, .195 ISO with a 1.29 EYE against LHP). The lineup spot sometimes drifts into that sixth spot which is a slight negative but most catchers don’t hit in favorable lineup spots so the drop-off is less significant. Martin ranks as our top option at the position and a Top 35 hitter overall.
Next in line:
Yasmani Grandal (LAD) – Grandal ranks right behind Martin in our model but his value is a bit more tied to the lineup spot because sometimes he gets shifted down to seventh. Fifth is our dream scenario and we can handle sixth, but seventh starts cutting into the expected plate appearances and value of those plate appearances (pushing him further from the Dodgers best OBP guys) substantially. Rubby de la Rosa has struggled mightily against LHBs in his career (.372 wOBA, 1.24 HR/9, and 33.2 percent hard hit rate allowed) and Grandal has posted a .357 wOBA and .190 ISO against RHP during that same span. If Grandal gets a premium lineup spot, I’d happily play him above Martin for a few less bucks.