Daily Fantasy Rundown – June 9th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: No big concerns tonight. A rare, quiet night weather-wise! However, something may pop up in NYC, PIT, ATL, COL and even in California so we’ll keep an eye on those games.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Yadier Molina (STL) – You know the drill by now. We’ve got a total of 10 in Coors Field. The only other game that really comes close is the Marlins-Jays game (total of 9), and 10 of 15 games in action tonight have a total of 7.5 or lower. I know it may be annoying to see the Coors Field names flooding the Rundown once again but they’ll be key to cash games tonight. You’ll particularly want exposure to the Cardinals RHBs against de la Rosa (massive park shift and de la Rosa has allowed a .341 wOBA to RHBs since 2012). Molina has a great .376 wOBA and .190 ISO against LHP since 2012. There’s no doubt he’s in a decline phase now (ISOs have dropped three consecutive years), but with those splits and continued strong BA skills (high contact and LD rates) he’s a good option tonight. It’s pretty easy to stack Cardinals RHBs tonight and not have it cost you the day’s clear cut top pitcher (Corey Kluber).
Rockies catchers – I’m a bit less emphatic about forcing Rockies players into lineups tonight, but there are a few spots where it’s not too difficult to do: paying up for Tulowitzki at SS, Blackmon/CarGo for mediocre prices in the OF, Ben Paulsen as a cheap 1B and the catcher position. Opposing pitcher Michael Wacha will have the platoon edge on the Rockie catcher eligible tri of Hundley/McKenry/Rosario, but Wacha is really struggling to miss bats this season (6.01 K/9), and I’m not sure his reliance on inducing weak contact will serve him well in Coors Field. I’d let price and lineup spot dictate which Colorado catcher to focus on.
Stephen Vogt (OAK) – While the catcher position allows fairly cost effective access to Coors Field, you aren’t sacrificing a ton of upside if you diversify off that game here and pivot to a similarly priced option. If going that route, I’d suggest Stephen Vogt. Opposing pitcher Nick Martinez has been one of the luckiest pitchers in all of baseball this season. He has a 2.89 ERA despite a 4.22 FP and 4.79 xFIP. Martinez allows more hard contact and less soft contact that the average qualified starting pitcher, so there’s not much reason to expect his fortunate HR/FB rate and LOB% (way too high for someone of his K rate) to continue to beat league averages. Even with Martinez’s hot start, he’s allowed a .343 wOBA and 1.13 HR/9 to LHBs for his career. Meanwhile, Vogt is having a phenomenal season. His .391 wOBA is supported by an increase in power numbers (.254) and plate discipline (.78 EYE). Vogt will likely cool off somewhat but it’s clear he’s a better offensive player than we had him pegged as coming into the year.