Week six was one hell of a weekend in sports, but more specifically for college football. We saw giants fall and other ranked teams stumble. Week seven gives us great matchups, but more storylines involving injuries and replacements than ever. If this was the case every week we’d never have a dull moment in college football. Let’s get this ball rolling.
Florida State is hurt. I talked about Rashad Greene in The Fifth Quarter, but it has recently come out that Karlos Williams and the FSU center could miss this week’s game as well. FSU is going to head to Syracuse a three TD favorite, so there must be offensive value in this game though. I talked about Jesus Wilson yesterday and the fact that he is a good option remains the same. What should be interesting though is who replaces Karlos Williams at running back. Mario Pender is the second leading rusher for FSU, but Dalvin Cook is right behind him. They are both PPR options and with a low price tag I could see both of them providing value for us this weekend.
Todd Gurley has been an automatic play, but not this week. With a matchup against Missouri I don’t think I can spend up and get Gurley in week seven. He is obviously a top three running back if not the best in the country, but I like that Tigers defense to keep him from a monstrous game. Missouri had success against Mike Davis in their last game, but gave up big games to Toledo’s rushing attack and Tevin Coleman. What is the difference between South Carolina and Toledo/Indiana? Well, South Carolina was terrible passing the football while Toledo/Indiana can really sling it. I don’t see Hutson Mason throwing well enough to get Gurley in the 175+ yards plus 2-3 TD range.
Melvin Gordon has the best matchup of the weekend. And honestly, it’s not even close. Gordon is coming off a huge day against Northwestern and gets an even better matchup against Illinois. The “Fighting” Illini have given up 807 rushing yards and nine TDs in their last two games. While a big day from Nebraska against Illinois isn’t a huge surprise, a big day from Purdue is. Purdue had rushed for 323 yards in their previous three games with only two TDs. Melvin Gordon could be in for a huge day and is THE guy to pay up for on Saturday.
Is it time to fade Deshaun Watson? Watson has been one of the biggest surprises in the last three weeks putting up unbelievable numbers and winning some Ludawgs members a ton of money. This week against Louisville though they face the 12th best pass defense in terms of passing yardage. In fact, the Cardinals haven’t allowed a 200-yard passer in four straight games. They also haven’t allowed a passing TD in three straight games. With his recent performances, Watson is likely to have a big price tag everywhere. And because of that, I think it’s time to fade him.
Everett Golson’s bad game against Stanford was expected. Against UNC though, I expect for a huge game. The Fighting Irish are 17-point favorites and I’ve already talked about how their offense is based off of Golson. In fact, 17 of 19 offensive TDs from Notre Dame are because of Golson. North Carolina is coming off a nice game against Virginia Tech, but it’s not like they’re big in the passing department. Golson and his receivers are much better than Brewer and the Hokies.
Oklahoma running backs are risky this weekend against Texas. In GPPs I can see some love for Keith Ford or Samaje Perine, but they kind of offset each other. Sure Perine could have success like last week due to goal line carries, but Ford coming back (if he does) makes them both risky. It also doesn’t help that Texas’ run defense allows just a 3.81-yard per carry average. They are ranked 100th though when it comes to total rushing yards allowed, so some will think it’s a defense to pick on. The Longhorns have allowed just six rushing TDs this season and five came against the Taysom Hills.